Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
339
lifetime
Volume
$1.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$68
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-10 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
53% 0% $-12
Other
24% 0% $-12
Sports
18%
Tech
3%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -17 $-17 99¢ $-17 $-0 06-09 12:32
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +8 $6 78¢ $7 +$1 06-03 21:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +10 $5 66¢ $7 +$1 06-08 16:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +8 $6 80¢ $6 +$0 06-06 19:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +9 $6 60¢ $6 $-0 06-05 23:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +10 $5 47¢ $5 $-0 06-03 12:00
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6 $4 66¢ $4 $-0 06-02 21:30
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +13 $4 28¢ $4 $-0 06-04 04:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 +$0 06-05 02:06
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 55¢ $3 $-0 06-05 02:54
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $6 14¢ $2 $-4 06-02 09:47
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 $-0 06-10 00:53
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +19 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 20:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 55¢ $1 +$0 06-04 19:31
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 01:28
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:17
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +34 $6 $0 $-6 06-03 13:51