(anonymous) 0xea2de3…79d8ba
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$60
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
40
Trades
393
lifetime
Volume
$7.34K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$775
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-08
last 10-29 20:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
56% 80% +$12
Other
41% 50% -$17
Tech
3% 0% -$55
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +108 $100 94¢ $101 +$2 10-29 15:09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +101 $68 68¢ $68 +$1 10-29 15:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +49 $42 95¢ $47 +$5 10-29 15:08
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +57 $32 80¢ $45 +$13 10-21 14:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +61 $47 70¢ $43 -$4 09-22 08:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +62 $52 63¢ $39 -$13 09-27 22:35
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +54 $32 70¢ $38 +$6 10-02 14:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +96 $56 39¢ $38 -$19 10-22 15:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +45 $32 76¢ $34 +$2 10-25 18:52
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +69 $37 40¢ $28 -$9 10-10 02:41
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +56 $19 48¢ $27 +$8 10-06 20:09
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $30 66¢ $27 -$3 09-22 15:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +93 $27 26¢ $25 -$2 10-21 01:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +54 $21 36¢ $19 -$2 10-17 10:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +38 $23 48¢ $18 -$5 10-13 05:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +26 $15 68¢ $18 +$4 09-15 14:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +31 $21 58¢ $18 -$3 10-29 08:23
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +54 $11 30¢ $16 +$5 10-21 12:36
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $12 32¢ $13 +$0 10-06 20:14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +39 $15 32¢ $13 -$2 10-21 10:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +14 $11 86¢ $12 +$1 10-11 18:43
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +45 $6 27¢ $12 +$6 09-14 08:25
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +39 $14 30¢ $12 -$3 10-03 22:09
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +66 $15 18¢ $12 -$3 10-19 01:25
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +42 $6 26¢ $11 +$5 10-04 12:41
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +37 $11 29¢ $11 $0 10-02 13:42
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +33 $10 32¢ $10 +$0 10-21 12:36
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +32 $9 26¢ $9 $0 10-28 10:32
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +25 $10 24¢ $6 -$4 09-13 21:40
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6 -$5 99¢ $6 +$11 10-29 15:08