(anonymous) 0xea2de3…79d8ba
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$60
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved (90d)
40
Trades (90d)
384
384 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$7.11K
$7.11K lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$777
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-08
last 10-29 09:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
55% 80% +$12
Other
42% 50% -$17
Tech
3% 0% -$55
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +99 $91 96¢ $96 +$5 10-28 10:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +90 $60 66¢ $60 $0 10-29 09:43
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +57 $32 80¢ $45 +$13 10-21 14:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +61 $47 70¢ $43 -$4 09-22 08:34
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +96 $56 43¢ $41 -$16 10-22 15:08
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +62 $52 62¢ $38 -$13 09-27 22:35
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +54 $32 69¢ $38 +$5 10-02 14:56
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +36 $24 99¢ $35 +$11 10-29 09:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +45 $32 78¢ $35 +$3 10-25 18:52
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +69 $37 44¢ $30 -$6 10-10 02:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +39 $31 76¢ $30 -$2 10-29 09:42
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $30 64¢ $26 -$4 09-22 15:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +93 $27 28¢ $26 -$1 10-21 01:09
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +56 $19 42¢ $23 +$4 10-06 20:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +38 $23 58¢ $22 -$1 10-13 05:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +54 $21 40¢ $21 $0 10-17 10:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +31 $21 68¢ $21 +$0 10-29 08:23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +26 $15 68¢ $18 +$3 09-15 14:36
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +54 $11 29¢ $16 +$4 10-21 12:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +39 $15 34¢ $13 -$2 10-21 10:01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +45 $6 29¢ $13 +$7 09-14 08:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +14 $11 88¢ $13 +$2 10-11 18:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +39 $14 32¢ $12 -$2 10-03 22:09
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $12 30¢ $12 $0 10-06 20:14
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +42 $6 28¢ $11 +$5 10-04 12:41
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +33 $10 30¢ $10 $0 10-21 12:36
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +32 $9 28¢ $9 +$0 10-28 10:32
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +37 $11 24¢ $9 -$2 10-02 13:42
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +25 $10 28¢ $7 -$3 09-13 21:40
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +40 $5 14¢ $5 +$1 10-09 19:01