(anonymous) 0xea2de3…79d8ba
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$133
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
66.2%
Resolved (30d)
28
Trades (30d)
292
392 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.85K
$7.34K lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$772
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-08
last 10-29 15:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
56% 80% +$12
Other
41% 50% -$17
Tech
3% 0% -$55
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +108 $100 92¢ $100 +$1 10-29 15:09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +101 $68 66¢ $67 -$1 10-29 15:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +49 $42 96¢ $47 +$5 10-29 15:08
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +57 $32 80¢ $45 +$13 10-21 14:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +61 $47 71¢ $43 -$3 09-22 08:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +62 $52 64¢ $39 -$12 09-27 22:35
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +96 $56 40¢ $38 -$18 10-22 15:08
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +54 $32 68¢ $37 +$4 10-02 14:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +45 $32 75¢ $34 +$2 10-25 18:52
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +69 $37 40¢ $28 -$8 10-10 02:41
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +56 $19 48¢ $27 +$8 10-06 20:09
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $30 65¢ $26 -$3 09-22 15:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +93 $27 26¢ $25 -$2 10-21 01:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +38 $23 55¢ $21 -$2 10-13 05:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +54 $21 38¢ $21 -$1 10-17 10:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +31 $21 66¢ $21 $0 10-29 08:23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +26 $15 68¢ $18 +$3 09-15 14:36
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +54 $11 29¢ $16 +$4 10-21 12:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +39 $15 34¢ $13 -$2 10-21 10:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +14 $11 86¢ $12 +$1 10-11 18:43
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $12 30¢ $12 $0 10-06 20:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +39 $14 30¢ $12 -$3 10-03 22:09
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +42 $6 28¢ $11 +$5 10-04 12:41
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +45 $6 25¢ $11 +$5 09-14 08:25
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +33 $10 30¢ $10 +$0 10-21 12:36
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +32 $9 28¢ $9 +$0 10-28 10:32
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +37 $11 23¢ $9 -$3 10-02 13:42
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +25 $10 28¢ $7 -$3 09-13 21:40
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +40 $5 16¢ $7 +$2 10-09 19:01
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6 -$5 99¢ $6 +$11 10-29 15:08