Realized P&L
-$60
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
40
Trades
405
lifetime
Volume
$7.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$774
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-08
last 10-30 12:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
56% 80% +$12
Other
41% 50% -$17
Tech
3% 0% -$55
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +113 $76 70¢ $78 +$3 10-30 03:20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +62 $57 94¢ $58 +$2 10-30 12:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +49 $42 95¢ $47 +$5 10-29 15:08
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +57 $32 78¢ $44 +$12 10-21 14:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +61 $47 70¢ $43 -$4 09-22 08:34
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +96 $56 41¢ $39 -$17 10-22 15:08
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +62 $52 62¢ $38 -$13 09-27 22:35
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +54 $32 70¢ $38 +$6 10-02 14:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +45 $32 78¢ $36 +$3 10-25 18:52
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +56 $19 54¢ $30 +$11 10-06 20:09
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +69 $37 42¢ $29 -$8 10-10 02:41
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $30 68¢ $28 -$2 09-22 15:36
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +73 $23 31¢ $22 $0 10-30 12:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +93 $27 24¢ $22 -$5 10-21 01:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +54 $21 38¢ $20 -$1 10-17 10:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +31 $21 64¢ $20 -$1 10-29 08:23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +26 $15 70¢ $19 +$4 09-15 14:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +38 $23 48¢ $19 -$5 10-13 05:59
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +54 $11 32¢ $17 +$6 10-21 12:36
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +32 $16 53¢ $17 +$1 10-30 12:25
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $12 31¢ $13 +$0 10-06 20:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +45 $6 28¢ $13 +$7 09-14 08:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +14 $11 86¢ $12 +$2 10-11 18:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +39 $15 30¢ $12 -$3 10-21 10:01
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +42 $6 28¢ $11 +$5 10-04 12:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +39 $14 29¢ $11 -$3 10-03 22:09
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +37 $11 30¢ $11 +$0 10-02 13:42
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +34 $11 30¢ $10 -$1 10-30 11:55
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +32 $9 28¢ $9 +$0 10-28 10:32
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +66 $15 12¢ $8 -$7 10-19 01:25