Realized P&L (7d)
-$87
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
49.7%
Resolved (7d)
10
Trades (7d)
102
397 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.83K
$7.37K lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$769
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-08
last 10-30 07:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
56% 80% +$12
Other
41% 50% -$17
Tech
3% 0% -$55
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +96 $88 94¢ $90 +$2 10-30 03:06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +113 $76 70¢ $78 +$3 10-30 03:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +49 $42 94¢ $46 +$4 10-29 15:08
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +57 $32 78¢ $45 +$12 10-21 14:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +61 $47 70¢ $42 -$4 09-22 08:34
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +96 $56 41¢ $39 -$18 10-22 15:08
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +54 $32 70¢ $38 +$6 10-02 14:56
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +62 $52 62¢ $38 -$13 09-27 22:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +45 $32 78¢ $35 +$3 10-25 18:52
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +69 $37 40¢ $28 -$8 10-10 02:41
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +56 $19 50¢ $27 +$9 10-06 20:09
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $30 67¢ $27 -$2 09-22 15:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +93 $27 24¢ $23 -$4 10-21 01:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +38 $23 50¢ $19 -$4 10-13 05:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +31 $21 62¢ $19 -$2 10-29 08:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +54 $21 36¢ $19 -$2 10-17 10:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +26 $15 68¢ $18 +$4 09-15 14:36
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +54 $11 30¢ $17 +$5 10-21 12:36
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $12 31¢ $13 +$0 10-06 20:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +14 $11 86¢ $12 +$1 10-11 18:43
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +45 $6 27¢ $12 +$6 09-14 08:25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +39 $15 30¢ $12 -$3 10-21 10:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +39 $14 30¢ $12 -$3 10-03 22:09
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +42 $6 25¢ $10 +$4 10-04 12:41
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +33 $10 30¢ $10 +$0 10-21 12:36
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +37 $11 26¢ $10 -$1 10-02 13:42
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +32 $9 26¢ $9 $0 10-28 10:32
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +66 $15 12¢ $8 -$8 10-19 01:25
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +40 $5 15¢ $6 +$1 10-09 19:01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +25 $10 24¢ $6 -$4 09-13 21:40