Confused-Priority — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

Trades

764

lifetime

Volume

$4.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-03 10:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

53% 50% +$0

Other

43% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+17	$15	88¢	$15	$-0	07-03 10:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	84	$977	541	464	+77	open	—	03-04 19:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	43	$476	247	247	+0	open	—	03-27 20:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	35	$444	232	232	+0	open	—	04-24 07:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	62	$351	202	194	+8	open	—	01-31 20:52
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	36	$275	138	138	+0	open	—	02-03 19:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	40	$165	220	105	+115	open	—	06-02 11:27
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	4	$115	62	62	+0	open	—	06-24 10:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	12	$114	83	43	+40	open	—	06-17 18:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$104	52	52	+0	open	—	06-17 08:27
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	60	$99	429	400	+29	open	—	03-10 19:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	13	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	03-19 19:04
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	7	$81	46	35	+10	open	—	03-06 14:08
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	8	$73	82	0	+82	open	—	07-01 07:43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$73	37	37	+0	open	—	04-06 17:49
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	5	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	03-10 14:37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$49	33	33	+0	open	—	06-07 19:21
zachxbt investigation post over 30m views on day one	4	$47	25	22	+3	open	—	02-26 20:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$41	35	9	+26	open	—	03-03 21:49
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	15	$31	22	12	+10	open	—	05-21 20:51
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	14	$29	18	18	+0	open	—	05-15 09:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	8	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-24 07:07
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	22	$25	35	27	+8	open	—	05-23 08:23
will there be at least 600 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	6	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	01-31 15:41
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	7	$23	14	8	+6	open	—	02-03 19:14
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	06-21 13:24
will ukraine re enter novomykolaivka by march 31	6	$20	14	7	+7	open	—	03-08 18:19
will germany strike iran by march 31	4	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	03-10 14:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	02-27 14:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	07-03 10:52
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	5	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-03 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 10:52:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xb000c6…
07-01 07:43:53	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x11eb9b…
07-01 07:16:29	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe97ae9…
06-28 11:58:40	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x158cef…
06-28 11:58:37	will russia enter stinky by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x77e070…
06-28 11:57:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x90f9c6…
06-27 09:33:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x945fd4…
06-27 09:22:37	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xda9eef…
06-26 12:20:58	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	19	87¢	$16	0xe2fa6d…
06-25 21:58:49	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x5b14b4…
06-25 20:08:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xeb4019…
06-25 15:22:53	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb5bdb7…
06-25 13:42:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc6b3e8…
06-25 11:07:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x670414…
06-25 10:59:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfbd2f9…
06-24 21:25:35	Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2a7916…
06-24 19:17:53	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd9b11c…
06-24 18:19:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x93561e…
06-24 16:03:53	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd0e963…
06-24 10:01:23	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x51b594…
06-22 20:07:40	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86b1a0…
06-22 18:34:11	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x706721…
06-22 18:33:38	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd37248…
06-22 15:13:50	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfaf410…
06-22 14:52:47	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe680c1…
06-22 13:32:28	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1af343…
06-22 10:11:43	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2af9f8…
06-22 06:39:56	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe0fb41…
06-21 19:45:08	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x914ba5…
06-21 13:24:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xea2cf4…
06-20 10:59:47	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf67ebd…
06-19 06:08:49	ukraine agrees not to join nato by august 31 20260619004335094	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x8015b0…
06-19 06:08:14	ukraine agrees not to join nato by august 31 20260619004335094	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0cd6f1…
06-18 18:55:37	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xab3d29…
06-18 10:03:26	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa5550e…
06-18 10:03:11	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xb2b02c…
06-18 10:01:49	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5d7489…
06-17 18:36:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xabdd26…
06-17 15:40:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x75385c…
06-17 15:36:35	Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1328c4…
06-17 08:27:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xcaccb4…
06-17 07:59:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x496f0a…
06-16 13:00:57	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9209eb…
06-16 11:21:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xeedc46…
06-16 10:07:18	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x58fb45…
06-15 21:58:51	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbacab8…
06-15 07:22:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x46b508…
06-15 07:21:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	19	86¢	$17	0x9f03e6…
06-15 07:19:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x70a7e5…
06-15 07:08:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x32e902…
06-15 07:01:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x0923d9…
06-15 06:55:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0xa99c4d…
06-15 06:55:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x89e7b5…
06-15 06:54:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x160fb0…
06-15 06:53:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x0ee4ec…
06-15 06:51:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x690cf6…
06-15 06:51:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x567814…
06-15 05:59:13	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc44bcd…
06-14 21:50:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc1a310…
06-14 21:37:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x22cf78…
06-14 21:20:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x337252…
06-14 21:17:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3d1881…
06-14 21:17:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x96705b…
06-14 21:17:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4e7cba…
06-14 07:22:46	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xc56b67…
06-13 21:13:40	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x7008b4…
06-13 18:47:31	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x885b21…
06-13 13:40:21	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xadaa57…
06-12 21:20:00	will russia enter stinky by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5dddc5…
06-12 17:35:36	will russia enter stinky by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x59a45c…
06-12 14:57:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaa4291…
06-12 11:12:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc5c2e5…
06-11 19:08:21	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa01812…
06-11 11:01:09	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x887425…
06-10 16:11:21	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	17	86¢	$14	0xd0bba3…
06-07 19:21:09	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xd8ff65…
06-07 19:19:43	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xb341b0…
06-07 19:18:24	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xcc6e91…
06-07 19:18:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x30dcb8…
06-07 19:02:07	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x094060…
06-07 19:02:06	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	79¢	$25	0xdced23…
06-07 16:14:19	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x2b9a71…
06-06 18:38:33	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x023aea…
06-06 15:29:10	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x9d9d30…
06-06 07:27:57	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xa4e01c…
06-06 06:21:43	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x8008d4…
06-05 14:25:06	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x318c4f…
06-04 16:07:04	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x166f38…
06-04 13:50:43	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd3060c…
06-04 13:50:30	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7bc6b5…
06-02 11:27:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9df6a0…
06-02 10:14:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xef3d9c…
06-02 10:13:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xaf32a2…
06-02 10:13:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x83320b…
06-02 10:13:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x338e37…
06-02 10:13:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xea1f26…
06-02 10:13:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xcbc825…
06-02 10:13:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84bf8a…
06-02 10:13:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe6710a…
06-02 10:13:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5c6b94…