Realized P&L (7d)
-$67
Unrealized P&L
-$541
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
7
135 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$282
$3.69K lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$981
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-25 22:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
63% — —
Tech
18% — —
Sports
17% 57% +$67
Politics
2% 0% -$67
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +1,330 $673 31¢ $412 -$261 10-24 01:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +913 $195 32¢ $287 +$92 10-22 19:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +971 $397 11¢ $108 -$289 06-12 11:38
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +700 -$113 8¢ $55 +$168 05-05 15:42
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +1,003 $199 5¢ $52 -$147 05-11 16:23
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 Yes +698 $77 4¢ $27 -$50 06-12 11:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +500 $65 3¢ $17 -$48 05-31 21:11
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +20 $14 81¢ $16 +$2 05-02 18:21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? Yes +306 $15 2¢ $7 -$8 05-09 15:22