Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$240

Hit rate

30.6%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$3.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$1.28K

9 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-25 22:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Tech

18% — —

Sports

17% 57% +$67

Politics

2% 0% -$67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	+1,330	$673	36¢	$485	-$188	10-24 01:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+913	$195	47¢	$429	+$234	10-22 19:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	+971	$397	13¢	$129	-$268	06-12 11:38
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	+1,003	$199	7¢	$70	-$128	05-11 16:23
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	+700	-$113	9¢	$64	+$178	05-05 15:42
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	Yes	+306	$15	10¢	$31	+$15	05-09 15:22
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	+698	$77	4¢	$30	-$46	06-12 11:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	+500	$65	6¢	$28	-$37	05-31 21:11
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	+20	$14	75¢	$15	+$1	05-02 18:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	14	$673	1,330	0	+1,330	open	—	10-24 01:27
AI bubble burst in 2026?	6	$501	1,400	700	+700	open	—	05-05 15:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	17	$477	1,200	287	+913	open	—	10-22 19:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	3	$424	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	05-14 17:41
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	11	$397	971	0	+971	open	—	06-12 11:38
Pistons vs. Magic	10	$319	700	400	+300	Pistons	-$79	05-02 01:21
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	5	$199	1,003	0	+1,003	open	—	05-11 16:23
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	3	$99	200	200	+0	Timberwolves	+$39	05-05 03:28
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	12	$93	472	0	+472	open	—	06-14 18:24
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	4	$77	698	0	+698	open	—	06-12 11:15
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	31	$76	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-18 12:46
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$67	190	0	+190	Yes	-$67	10-25 22:11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	2	$65	500	0	+500	open	—	05-31 21:11
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$44	400	0	+400	Thunder	-$44	05-03 21:37
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$40	150	0	+150	Cavaliers	-$40	05-03 17:18
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	1	$39	100	0	+100	Raptors	+$61	04-30 12:02
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$37	100	0	+100	Lakers	+$63	04-30 12:17
Celtics vs. 76ers	1	$33	100	0	+100	76ers	+$67	04-30 11:25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	1	$15	306	0	+306	open	—	05-09 15:22
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	05-02 18:21
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	5	$4	297	0	+297	open	—	05-13 00:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:11:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa4d56f…
10-25 22:11:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x741792…
10-25 22:11:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	98	35¢	$35	0x3296f0…
10-25 22:11:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x9c8ce9…
10-24 01:27:14	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	198	37¢	$73	0x682c30…
10-23 21:06:23	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x14ca47…
10-22 19:46:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	287	49¢	$141	0x58d9a3…
06-18 12:46:05	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xe2cc83…
06-18 07:21:19	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xe53c61…
06-18 07:21:14	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x569fd1…
06-18 07:21:10	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$1	0xae572b…
06-14 18:24:28	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	344	20¢	$69	0xd515aa…
06-12 11:38:04	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x9be389…
06-12 11:15:54	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$3	0xcbbf7b…
06-11 21:31:43	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xfa18d0…
06-11 13:09:24	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x748e17…
06-10 17:10:24	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	642	11¢	$71	0x4428fd…
06-10 16:38:37	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xc2bb7a…
06-02 20:25:30	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf0b69a…
06-02 00:04:10	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xbc8048…
06-02 00:04:08	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	288	6¢	$18	0xc02700…
06-02 00:04:08	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	58	6¢	$4	0xb30566…
06-02 00:04:08	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x850da6…
06-02 00:04:08	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	101	6¢	$6	0x5affc8…
06-02 00:04:08	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x4dc66d…
06-02 00:04:08	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2adeb7…
06-02 00:04:07	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xc3efb2…
06-02 00:04:07	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb0e692…
06-02 00:04:07	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x294ef7…
06-02 00:03:58	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x324717…
06-02 00:03:56	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0ff217…
06-02 00:03:39	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x553956…
06-01 22:43:05	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x66062e…
06-01 22:43:05	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x04f5aa…
06-01 16:20:37	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xb8649a…
06-01 16:20:37	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x7e0301…
06-01 16:20:37	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$3	0x31c02f…
06-01 16:09:24	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	47	39¢	$18	0xc012cd…
06-01 16:05:57	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xdb2f9e…
06-01 16:05:57	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0x9bc172…
06-01 16:05:57	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x01492c…
06-01 16:05:55	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	153	39¢	$59	0x18eca2…
06-01 16:05:33	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xf4ff8a…
06-01 16:05:33	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x0ae458…
06-01 16:05:08	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x702d53…
06-01 16:04:45	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xd89d3e…
06-01 16:04:45	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x70c8cb…
06-01 16:04:45	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x5ad024…
06-01 16:04:45	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0x0898d7…
05-31 21:11:59	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	275	13¢	$36	0xf22914…
05-31 10:24:46	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	215	34¢	$74	0x54d369…
05-30 10:29:11	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	225	13¢	$29	0xacdc4a…
05-29 18:24:23	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0xec6b78…
05-19 06:46:53	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xf19db3…
05-17 20:26:05	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x436128…
05-15 20:43:23	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xd9a57b…
05-14 17:41:34	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0x936f81…
05-14 11:50:56	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x717381…
05-13 21:48:41	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x4f72d0…
05-13 18:13:28	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x61bbe9…
05-13 00:25:23	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	170	61¢	$104	0x91c762…
05-13 00:25:23	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x428d58…
05-13 00:25:23	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2ab754…
05-12 18:50:31	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x7d5abc…
05-12 17:04:09	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x0dba67…
05-12 08:24:24	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	25	42¢	$11	0x35963f…
05-11 23:18:25	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x3c0a46…
05-11 18:24:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x034e5e…
05-11 16:23:25	Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0x73716b…
05-11 14:54:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	130	38¢	$49	0xf9f3c5…
05-11 13:37:08	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xfe81d4…
05-11 11:11:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	170	42¢	$72	0x7f7411…
05-10 18:48:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0x0f2c9d…
05-10 18:13:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xe322c4…
05-10 12:53:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xb79314…
05-10 11:10:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xd956d1…
05-10 11:10:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x54c79c…
05-09 20:37:16	Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	18¢	$9	0x83b4ca…
05-09 15:22:36	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	306	5¢	$15	0x3296c4…
05-09 14:17:05	Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	107	18¢	$19	0x943c59…
05-09 13:20:23	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xaa81a3…
05-08 21:34:52	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	69	61¢	$42	0xef8c48…
05-08 21:23:01	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0xa296d6…
05-08 17:16:30	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$87	0x733d2e…
05-08 13:34:19	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0x2ff9ec…
05-08 07:49:05	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	143	44¢	$63	0x920140…
05-08 04:39:56	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xf9f227…
05-07 02:44:48	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	75	73¢	$55	0x3d32eb…
05-06 12:06:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x4672c5…
05-06 12:02:54	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	28	44¢	$13	0x980ce9…
05-06 12:01:20	Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	241	18¢	$43	0x0e5db2…
05-06 10:52:30	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x90384d…
05-05 15:42:36	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	18¢	$73	0xf1ddb6…
05-05 11:07:46	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xa24f37…
05-05 03:28:08	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x4d813d…
05-05 03:15:42	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x5d1c5c…
05-04 19:37:38	Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	600	21¢	$126	0x222ff9…
05-04 08:21:00	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	44¢	$307	0x165a4d…
05-03 21:37:48	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	96	11¢	$11	0x1e45fb…
05-03 21:34:14	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	304	11¢	$33	0x634e17…