Realized P&L (90d)
-$67
Unrealized P&L
-$136
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (90d)
1
Trades (90d)
7
134 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$282
$3.68K lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$1.39K
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-25 22:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
63% — —
Tech
18% — —
Sports
17% 57% +$67
Politics
2% 0% -$67
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +1,330 $673 38¢ $499 -$174 10-24 01:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +913 $195 38¢ $342 +$147 10-22 19:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +971 $397 32¢ $306 -$91 06-12 11:38
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +700 -$113 10¢ $72 +$185 05-05 15:42
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +1,003 $199 7¢ $72 -$127 05-11 16:23
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +500 $65 6¢ $28 -$38 05-31 21:11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? Yes +306 $15 9¢ $27 +$12 05-09 15:22
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 Yes +698 $77 4¢ $26 -$51 06-12 11:15
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +20 $14 75¢ $15 +$1 05-02 18:21