Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
80.2%
Resolved
21
Trades
89
lifetime
Volume
$458
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$108
12 positions
First seen
2026-09-19
last 10-28 09:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Sports
33% 60% +$1
Other
30% 83% +$0
Politics
23% 100% +$0
Tech
9% 67% +$0
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +26 $25 96¢ $25 $0 09-20 04:43
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +26 $25 96¢ $25 $0 10-05 17:40
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +16 $14 94¢ $14 +$1 09-21 07:48
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 10-16 10:18
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +9 $9 97¢ $9 +$0 09-19 07:39
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 10-28 08:36
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +6 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 09-19 09:37
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $0 10-05 17:40
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-01 06:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-28 09:28
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 10-18 03:07
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-20 05:22