Damp-Granola 0xef1f43…7ed517
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
587
lifetime
Volume
$2.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$159
18 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 06-13 18:38
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
67% — —
Crypto
19% — —
Tech
7% — —
Other
5% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +37 $35 98¢ $36 +$1 06-05 06:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +21 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 06-04 13:05
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 06-04 12:57
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +21 $17 85¢ $17 +$0 06-09 21:16
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +19 $15 77¢ $15 $-0 06-13 17:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +40 $9 24¢ $9 +$0 06-12 09:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $7 84¢ $8 +$1 06-11 20:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $7 44¢ $7 $-0 06-11 20:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +10 $3 62¢ $6 +$3 06-11 18:06
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 $-0 06-08 23:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +25 $5 18¢ $4 $-0 06-13 17:06
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +52 $28 8¢ $4 $-25 06-10 23:24
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +7 $1 24¢ $2 +$0 06-05 03:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +54 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 06-08 17:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +21 $2 6¢ $1 $-0 06-12 19:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -1 $-11 52¢ $-1 +$10 06-13 16:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-2 48¢ $-0 +$2 06-12 16:21
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $-2 13¢ $0 +$2 06-11 20:01