Realized P&L
+$218
Unrealized P&L
+$389
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved
65
Trades
679
lifetime
Volume
$70.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$104
Open exposure
$3.02K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-23 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
63% 77% +$1,326
Politics
37% 64% -$1,108
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +784 $650 96¢ $749 +$99 10-20 14:33
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +481 $386 96¢ $461 +$74 10-23 18:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +324 $300 96¢ $310 +$10 10-16 05:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +352 $250 84¢ $298 +$48 10-20 13:41
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +227 $150 80¢ $183 +$33 08-16 13:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +188 $150 88¢ $166 +$16 10-03 05:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +177 $150 92¢ $162 +$12 09-13 17:11
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +165 $101 98¢ $162 +$61 10-23 17:21
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +218 $100 63¢ $138 +$38 10-04 15:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +175 $100 62¢ $108 +$8 10-11 19:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +127 $100 84¢ $106 +$6 10-21 15:33
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +112 $91 87¢ $97 +$7 10-11 07:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +156 $100 50¢ $79 -$21 10-08 18:33