Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$197

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

490

Trades

1,484

lifetime

Volume

$49.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$118

19 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 10-27 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

60% 65% +$308

Politics

22% 66% -$93

Crypto

8% 67% +$30

Sports

6% 50% +$79

Tech

4% 40% -$128

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (19) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	+25	$17	62¢	$15	-$2	10-26 21:06
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	+16	$12	77¢	$13	+$0	10-26 21:06
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+15	$12	80¢	$12	+$0	10-26 22:15
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	+17	$12	70¢	$12	$0	10-27 03:42
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	+16	$12	73¢	$12	$0	10-26 21:06
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+11	$10	89¢	$10	+$0	10-27 02:01
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	+10	$7	71¢	$7	+$0	10-27 04:54
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	+11	$7	64¢	$7	+$0	10-27 00:06
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	+12	$8	57¢	$7	-$1	10-26 21:07
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	+7	$5	83¢	$6	+$0	10-27 04:53
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+8	$4	52¢	$4	$0	10-27 00:06
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	No	+5	$4	68¢	$4	+$0	10-27 08:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	+6	$3	55¢	$3	+$0	10-18 19:25
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	+5	$4	69¢	$3	$0	10-27 04:54
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?	Yes	+8	$3	38¢	$3	+$0	10-27 02:01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	+1	-$13	94¢	$1	+$14	09-28 20:10
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+0	-$1	81¢	$0	+$1	08-26 23:25
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	+0	$0	96¢	$0	$0	10-13 14:31
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	80¢	$0	+$0	10-12 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$598	379	379	+0	Yes	+$98	06-24 22:37
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$555	366	366	+0	No	+$55	08-17 23:31
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$551	391	391	+0	No	+$51	06-27 03:09
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	2	$547	392	392	+0	open	—	06-27 18:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$458	315	315	+0	open	—	07-02 10:38
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	19	$428	362	362	+0	open	—	07-05 08:02
Weed rescheduled by December 31?	3	$420	660	660	+0	open	—	06-23 22:40
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$360	293	293	+0	No	-$26	07-09 23:06
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533	2	$347	201	201	+0	open	—	07-19 19:11
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	2	$326	292	292	+0	No	-$63	07-04 07:17
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$325	224	224	+0	open	—	07-05 08:01
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?	2	$311	174	174	+0	open	—	07-02 08:45
iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	2	$291	173	173	+0	Yes	-$6	06-27 21:47
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	2	$289	205	205	+0	No	+$31	08-17 03:28
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	2	$288	185	185	+0	No	+$7	06-29 01:18
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	2	$267	165	165	+0	Yes	+$20	07-10 01:54
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?	2	$263	154	154	+0	open	—	08-26 23:15
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	2	$259	188	188	+0	No	-$53	07-15 13:38
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$256	196	196	+0	No	+$33	08-21 13:51
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	2	$249	168	168	+0	Yes	-$48	06-30 05:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$248	148	148	+0	No	+$17	08-02 15:32
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	2	$245	246	246	+0	No	-$40	07-01 06:50
israel closes its airspace by august 15	2	$241	184	184	+0	No	+$13	07-25 11:02
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	2	$237	154	154	+0	No	+$17	08-15 14:29
bitcoin above 58k on june 29 2026	2	$236	139	139	+0	Yes	+$11	06-29 02:42
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$236	135	135	+0	open	—	09-10 21:39
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	2	$234	176	176	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 07:14
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners first half total 4pt5	3	$231	174	174	+0	Under	+$58	07-05 22:14
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$228	278	278	+0	No	-$28	07-09 23:10
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$226	170	170	+0	Yes	-$15	07-03 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:13:56	Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x42d6e0…
10-27 13:00:18	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0xa7dc7b…
10-27 11:45:30	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x88018b…
10-27 08:08:17	Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x1c1d32…
10-27 08:07:09	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x52c595…
10-27 04:54:20	Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xfab8f3…
10-27 04:54:20	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x449436…
10-27 04:54:20	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x20b097…
10-27 04:53:12	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc1aa33…
10-27 04:53:11	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x633ada…
10-27 03:42:05	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x6c6536…
10-27 03:42:05	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	12	72¢	$8	0x510d4a…
10-27 02:01:38	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x3581b9…
10-27 02:01:38	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x029b85…
10-27 02:01:38	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x0140f2…
10-27 00:19:08	Valorant: Wolves Esports vs World Sports Invictus Gaming (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 2	Wolves Esports	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xebad95…
10-27 00:06:47	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0xc07e6e…
10-27 00:06:47	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x7a498f…
10-27 00:06:47	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x5c5756…
10-27 00:05:38	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x332855…
10-26 22:15:23	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xfae1d4…
10-26 21:10:18	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x78af74…
10-26 21:07:06	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xe24eab…
10-26 21:06:54	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x3add98…
10-26 21:06:53	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfc09f3…
10-26 21:06:53	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xb1e2e4…
10-26 21:06:53	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x5d2d4e…
10-26 21:06:53	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0x47028b…
10-26 21:06:53	Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0x357354…
10-26 21:06:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x058ed4…
10-26 21:06:51	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x3f2b2c…
10-26 10:30:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xb26062…
10-26 10:30:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0xd5987c…
10-26 10:29:44	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x6d5075…
10-26 10:29:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x22d25a…
10-26 10:29:32	Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?	No	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x7019bf…
10-26 09:59:09	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xb773d8…
10-26 09:58:56	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x719fa7…
10-26 09:58:32	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xf0ddfe…
10-22 21:20:00	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x6f921b…
10-21 18:19:38	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x6ec637…
10-21 16:21:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	Yes	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0x7aeeba…
10-21 00:17:45	Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xbe5269…
10-20 23:33:09	Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xc6a18b…
10-20 20:30:26	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc05a49…
10-19 20:04:47	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xdeac5f…
10-19 19:43:27	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbb5cdf…
10-19 18:29:17	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5e8a32…
10-19 13:18:17	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd9be12…
10-19 04:58:00	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x701413…
10-19 01:24:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x5a51f5…
10-19 01:02:50	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x463503…
10-18 19:25:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8a5e3f…
10-18 19:25:17	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0x3eddeb…
10-18 13:26:11	Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x116c62…
10-18 13:26:11	Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x0c2892…
10-18 03:12:33	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x6c9ab8…
10-17 19:48:48	Counter-Strike: Elite Klan vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D	Passion Academy	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa53dd4…
10-17 19:38:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xfaa611…
10-17 19:38:35	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x7ea215…
10-17 16:48:05	will bitcoin reach 82k october 12 18 2026 from october 16	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x041665…
10-16 21:13:05	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xb5ab94…
10-16 07:14:43	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	26	31¢	$8	0xe59ba4…
10-15 04:34:22	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x17a2e5…
10-14 16:56:30	saudi arabia military action against yemen on october 8	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xa85bbd…
10-14 12:36:29	saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by december 31	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xeb02ec…
10-13 14:32:08	Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?	Yes	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x840bab…
10-13 14:32:02	Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x0fe386…
10-13 14:31:58	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x87e004…
10-13 14:31:53	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D	MIBR	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x3a9993…
10-13 14:31:47	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa6f52b…
10-13 14:31:43	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x45fbc9…
10-13 14:31:37	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xf57c92…
10-13 14:31:32	Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?	No	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0x2173b4…
10-13 14:31:28	Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xc2f021…
10-13 14:31:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x21c955…
10-13 14:31:17	Plague case in US by December 31?	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x25c169…
10-13 01:10:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd04936…
10-12 23:24:39	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x51b936…
10-12 23:24:38	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x666248…
10-12 22:14:08	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xdb200c…
10-12 21:53:17	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D	MIBR	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbd722c…
10-12 21:44:24	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x8c42b3…
10-12 21:44:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x288775…
10-12 21:44:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0x5d9407…
10-12 21:44:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x1e8ec6…
10-12 21:44:03	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x8f9f3d…
10-12 21:43:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x79a7ff…
10-12 21:41:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0xd60d84…
10-12 21:40:59	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xbb7a8c…
10-12 21:40:50	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x98b65d…
10-12 21:40:38	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$5	0xe9d879…
10-12 14:02:23	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x177031…
10-12 14:01:12	Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs	Chinggis Warriors	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x28292a…
10-12 11:59:51	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x7b1abf…
10-12 11:55:18	Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs	Chinggis Warriors	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfae007…
10-12 10:32:44	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x454f5c…
10-12 10:02:14	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x14726f…
10-12 09:41:32	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x969461…
10-12 09:41:20	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0xdfbf79…