Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$181

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

547

Trades

1,532

lifetime

Volume

$49.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 11-01 10:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

60% 63% +$297

Politics

22% 67% -$111

Crypto

8% 66% +$27

Sports

6% 50% +$79

Tech

4% 40% -$128

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+0	-$1	89¢	$0	+$1	08-26 23:25
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?	No	+0	$1	96¢	$0	$0	10-13 14:32
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?	Yes	+0	$0	85¢	$0	$0	10-13 14:32
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	78¢	$0	+$0	10-12 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$598	379	379	+0	Yes	+$98	06-24 22:37
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$555	366	366	+0	No	+$55	08-17 23:31
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$551	391	391	+0	No	+$51	06-27 03:09
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	2	$547	392	392	+0	open	—	06-27 18:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$458	315	315	+0	open	—	07-02 10:38
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	19	$428	362	362	+0	No	-$20	07-05 08:02
Weed rescheduled by December 31?	3	$420	660	660	+0	open	—	06-23 22:40
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$360	293	293	+0	No	-$26	07-09 23:06
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533	2	$347	201	201	+0	open	—	07-19 19:11
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	2	$326	292	292	+0	No	-$63	07-04 07:17
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$325	224	224	+0	open	—	07-05 08:01
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?	2	$311	174	174	+0	open	—	07-02 08:45
iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	2	$291	173	173	+0	Yes	-$6	06-27 21:47
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	2	$289	205	205	+0	No	+$31	08-17 03:28
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	2	$288	185	185	+0	No	+$7	06-29 01:18
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	2	$267	165	165	+0	Yes	+$20	07-10 01:54
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?	2	$263	154	154	+0	open	—	08-26 23:15
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	2	$259	188	188	+0	No	-$53	07-15 13:38
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$256	196	196	+0	No	+$33	08-21 13:51
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	2	$249	168	168	+0	Yes	-$48	06-30 05:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$248	148	148	+0	No	+$17	08-02 15:32
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	2	$245	246	246	+0	No	-$40	07-01 06:50
israel closes its airspace by august 15	2	$241	184	184	+0	No	+$13	07-25 11:02
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	2	$237	154	154	+0	No	+$17	08-15 14:29
bitcoin above 58k on june 29 2026	2	$236	139	139	+0	Yes	+$11	06-29 02:42
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$236	135	135	+0	open	—	09-10 21:39
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	2	$234	176	176	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 07:14
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners first half total 4pt5	3	$231	174	174	+0	Under	+$58	07-05 22:14
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$228	278	278	+0	No	-$28	07-09 23:10
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$226	170	170	+0	Yes	-$15	07-03 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 10:04:31	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x05f5dc…
11-01 10:04:27	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x7adbf0…
11-01 10:04:19	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x60d320…
11-01 10:04:15	Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x85251b…
11-01 10:04:09	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x591f00…
11-01 10:04:03	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$5	0x212662…
10-31 19:05:30	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x69ab66…
10-31 19:05:24	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x760938…
10-31 19:05:12	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0xb99904…
10-31 19:04:52	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x34c09b…
10-31 19:04:37	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x1871d1…
10-31 19:04:06	Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xf2c08c…
10-31 19:04:00	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x26dddb…
10-31 19:03:54	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x07fd19…
10-31 19:03:51	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xf825b2…
10-31 19:03:31	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x0f8062…
10-31 19:03:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x31706e…
10-31 19:03:19	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x7b44c3…
10-31 19:03:15	US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x8b2e35…
10-31 19:03:04	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc12bf1…
10-31 19:02:48	US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcb111e…
10-30 21:08:45	US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xdec19a…
10-30 21:08:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$9	0xb6034d…
10-30 21:07:37	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb91e6a…
10-30 21:07:06	Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xbdc149…
10-30 18:48:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x3daada…
10-30 18:48:48	Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xfd37fd…
10-30 18:48:06	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x566d99…
10-30 18:47:42	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x13a60f…
10-30 18:47:25	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0x5f516e…
10-30 18:47:13	Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xc57b17…
10-30 18:46:54	Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x844a6a…
10-30 12:51:34	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x5e7343…
10-30 12:50:54	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x0b6308…
10-30 11:01:46	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x12d96b…
10-30 11:00:34	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xc95399…
10-29 10:48:46	Map Handicap: PRIV (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8284cd…
10-29 09:08:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x65f573…
10-29 09:08:44	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	17	69¢	$11	0x66dfd1…
10-29 09:08:37	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0xbe6076…
10-29 09:02:35	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	24	65¢	$16	0xe39281…
10-29 09:02:07	Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5f0161…
10-29 09:02:05	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xe4dd4d…
10-29 09:02:05	Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x0c2ffd…
10-29 09:01:44	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	No	SELL	23	89¢	$20	0x95b016…
10-28 21:58:59	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x267fdb…
10-28 14:07:55	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xd1e526…
10-27 13:13:56	Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x42d6e0…
10-27 13:00:18	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0xa7dc7b…
10-27 11:45:30	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x88018b…
10-27 08:08:17	Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x1c1d32…
10-27 08:07:09	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x52c595…
10-27 04:54:20	Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xfab8f3…
10-27 04:54:20	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x449436…
10-27 04:54:20	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x20b097…
10-27 04:53:12	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc1aa33…
10-27 04:53:11	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x633ada…
10-27 03:42:05	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x6c6536…
10-27 03:42:05	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	12	72¢	$8	0x510d4a…
10-27 02:01:38	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x3581b9…
10-27 02:01:38	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x029b85…
10-27 02:01:38	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x0140f2…
10-27 00:19:08	Valorant: Wolves Esports vs World Sports Invictus Gaming (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 2	Wolves Esports	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xebad95…
10-27 00:06:47	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0xc07e6e…
10-27 00:06:47	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x7a498f…
10-27 00:06:47	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x5c5756…
10-27 00:05:38	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x332855…
10-26 22:15:23	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xfae1d4…
10-26 21:10:18	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x78af74…
10-26 21:07:06	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xe24eab…
10-26 21:06:54	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x3add98…
10-26 21:06:53	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfc09f3…
10-26 21:06:53	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xb1e2e4…
10-26 21:06:53	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x5d2d4e…
10-26 21:06:53	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0x47028b…
10-26 21:06:53	Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0x357354…
10-26 21:06:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x058ed4…
10-26 21:06:51	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x3f2b2c…
10-26 10:30:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xb26062…
10-26 10:30:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0xd5987c…
10-26 10:29:44	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x6d5075…
10-26 10:29:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x22d25a…
10-26 10:29:32	Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?	No	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x7019bf…
10-26 09:59:09	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xb773d8…
10-26 09:58:56	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x719fa7…
10-26 09:58:32	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xf0ddfe…
10-22 21:20:00	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x6f921b…
10-21 18:19:38	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x6ec637…
10-21 16:21:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	Yes	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0x7aeeba…
10-21 00:17:45	Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xbe5269…
10-20 23:33:09	Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xc6a18b…
10-20 20:30:26	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc05a49…
10-19 20:04:47	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xdeac5f…
10-19 19:43:27	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbb5cdf…
10-19 18:29:17	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5e8a32…
10-19 13:18:17	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd9be12…
10-19 04:58:00	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x701413…
10-19 01:24:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x5a51f5…
10-19 01:02:50	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x463503…
10-18 19:25:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8a5e3f…