Realized P&L
-$29
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
160
Trades
876
lifetime
Volume
$4.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$54
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-10 06:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
34% 49% +$16
Sports
30% 43% $-45
Crypto
27%
Politics
9%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +8 $6 78¢ $6 +$0 05-30 22:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 72¢ $-6 +$0 06-05 14:38
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-6 54¢ $-5 +$1 06-07 23:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $4 74¢ $5 +$0 06-04 04:17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 60¢ $5 $-1 05-29 06:58
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 06-05 16:33
US recession by end of 2026? No -5 $-4 82¢ $-4 $-0 06-03 08:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +5 $2 79¢ $4 +$1 06-03 16:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 05-28 13:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 06-04 21:55
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 10:17
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +16 $2 10¢ $2 $-1 06-03 07:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 16:16
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 02:09
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +56 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:44
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +13 $0 $0 $-0 06-03 11:03
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +26 $5 $0 $-5 06-03 20:09