Realized P&L
-$29
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
160
Trades
982
lifetime
Volume
$4.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$39
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-01 03:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
34% 49% +$16
Sports
29% 43% $-45
Crypto
25%
Politics
11%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-1 06-05 14:38
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes -8 $-7 87¢ $-7 $-0 07-01 03:27
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -10 $-7 69¢ $-7 $-0 07-01 03:27
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-6 55¢ $-5 +$1 06-07 23:40
US recession by end of 2026? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-1 06-03 08:14
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 10:17
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 16:39
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 03:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 21:56
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 79¢ $1 +$0 07-01 03:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$1 05-28 16:16
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +10 $2 $0 $-2 06-29 11:57
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes -5 $3 $-0 $-3 07-01 03:28