Sizzling-Safari — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

Trades

11,366

lifetime

Volume

$667.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 19:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

62% 33% $-56

Other

28% 50% $-93

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$5

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 222 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1,377	$190.1K	193,524	304,893	-111,369	open	—	04-05 03:32
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	461	$62.8K	67,379	98,969	-31,590	open	—	03-31 00:19
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	245	$21.1K	23,013	35,928	-12,914	open	—	03-21 11:32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	284	$16.5K	16,281	22,640	-6,359	open	—	04-16 04:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	318	$16.0K	17,130	27,274	-10,144	open	—	04-07 13:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	405	$15.5K	15,695	15,464	+231	open	—	05-24 11:25
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	16	$11.4K	6,300	6,300	+0	open	—	03-04 06:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	230	$11.2K	13,613	14,014	-401	open	—	06-14 14:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	175	$10.7K	9,546	8,979	+567	open	—	03-07 23:36
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	63	$10.2K	5,036	13,402	-8,366	open	—	03-17 07:23
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	255	$10.2K	8,978	9,887	-909	open	—	03-15 13:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	46	$9.4K	18,536	18,356	+180	open	—	04-02 08:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	56	$7.4K	5,862	6,473	-611	open	—	04-21 11:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	262	$6.6K	8,728	8,559	+169	open	—	06-14 07:14
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	8	$6.1K	3,072	5,072	-2,000	open	—	03-07 23:28
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	80	$6.0K	4,140	6,506	-2,367	open	—	03-11 08:40
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$5.8K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	02-25 02:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	136	$5.7K	4,988	5,560	-572	open	—	05-23 12:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	123	$5.5K	4,694	4,918	-224	open	—	04-29 16:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	75	$4.8K	6,409	6,858	-448	open	—	04-17 09:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	89	$4.6K	4,723	4,568	+154	open	—	05-05 11:53
italy nordio reform referendum passes	88	$4.0K	3,151	4,528	-1,377	open	—	03-23 10:07
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	96	$4.0K	4,067	5,683	-1,616	open	—	03-22 14:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	74	$3.9K	4,967	4,007	+959	open	—	05-26 06:28
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	75	$3.6K	6,111	4,012	+2,099	open	—	06-14 22:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	60	$3.4K	4,456	4,657	-201	open	—	05-09 06:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	104	$3.3K	6,450	5,951	+499	open	—	05-23 13:30
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	81	$3.2K	3,585	3,619	-35	open	—	07-11 14:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	65	$3.2K	4,279	4,479	-200	open	—	04-17 13:22
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	83	$3.0K	1,897	3,296	-1,399	open	—	03-22 13:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 06:29:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xaf6cec…
08-12 05:08:12	wti up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xb27449…
08-12 05:02:36	wti up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x4059ad…
08-12 05:00:30	wti up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	150	43¢	$64	0xf31ebf…
08-11 19:04:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	168	2¢	$3	0x6a222d…
08-11 16:07:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xcaa8f7…
08-11 14:19:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$11	0x608637…
08-11 06:02:58	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0x14ea0d…
08-11 02:24:36	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x2dac11…
08-11 01:58:39	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xe46a81…
08-11 00:27:49	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xc37105…
08-10 12:23:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x4c23d2…
08-10 11:16:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xc441c4…
08-10 11:16:04	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xcb4abd…
08-10 11:14:55	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xbd7f0a…
08-10 11:14:49	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xfbafbf…
08-10 11:13:16	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x1baa62…
08-10 11:11:52	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd7383f…
08-10 11:11:46	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xcdfa84…
08-10 11:11:33	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd3af57…
08-10 11:11:30	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe9e1f6…
08-10 11:08:03	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x919a28…
08-10 11:08:00	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x1333b2…
08-10 11:07:57	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xf48554…
08-10 11:07:15	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x812765…
08-10 11:07:15	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x79eb93…
08-10 11:07:13	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xd6086f…
08-10 11:07:12	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x309890…
08-10 11:06:31	eth updown 4h 1786348800	Up	BUY	60	4¢	$3	0x3f984d…
08-10 01:53:52	wti up or down on august 10 2026	Down	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x5f5c9a…
08-10 01:07:42	wti up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xca3ab8…
08-10 01:00:13	wti up or down on august 10 2026	Down	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xaae9b7…
08-09 23:51:01	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6a319e…
08-09 23:38:27	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x51bee4…
08-09 23:30:06	wti up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x775e03…
08-08 01:41:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	41	11¢	$5	0x97c186…
08-08 01:40:51	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	Yes	SELL	70	18¢	$13	0xc8e19d…
08-08 00:04:21	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x3709f4…
08-07 23:51:45	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8f6be0…
08-07 23:50:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0xc167f4…
08-07 23:50:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	117	12¢	$14	0x9fecd6…
08-07 23:34:37	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x01a861…
08-07 23:34:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x0b0183…
08-07 06:01:46	wti up or down on august 7 2026	Down	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0x38abb7…
08-07 04:17:19	wti up or down on august 7 2026	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xc975a4…
08-07 00:38:47	wti up or down on august 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x53b851…
08-06 01:00:36	wti up or down on august 6 2026	Up	SELL	60	48¢	$29	0x9c46b1…
08-05 23:18:14	wti up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x5c9cb8…
08-05 23:18:06	wti up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x91fbab…
08-05 06:08:26	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x1b135e…
08-05 05:37:38	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x512a77…
08-04 23:56:32	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x5ecc1f…
08-04 23:54:14	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xf7c54b…
08-04 09:42:36	wti up or down on august 4 2026	Down	SELL	71	16¢	$11	0xae982e…
08-03 23:55:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x0744e1…
08-03 23:45:30	wti up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xaa321e…
08-03 23:26:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x9bc471…
08-03 23:17:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x2469bc…
08-03 23:16:12	wti up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x29bd0b…
08-03 23:15:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xf83b2a…
08-03 22:55:42	wti up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x2104c5…
08-03 22:54:21	wti up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x742e28…
08-03 14:39:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	140	31¢	$43	0xb24378…
08-03 12:25:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	120	32¢	$38	0x056624…
08-03 07:14:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xcdf3c2…
08-03 06:29:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xeefd7e…
08-01 22:33:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x6e3dbc…
08-01 22:26:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x92a0d8…
08-01 14:08:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xc50345…
08-01 12:32:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xcb112b…
07-31 23:38:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	58	83¢	$48	0x083e08…
07-31 23:32:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xc6d93e…
07-31 23:32:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	41	83¢	$34	0x959ef9…
07-31 22:54:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x749ce2…
07-31 22:36:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xe6a7d4…
07-31 08:31:11	wti up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x4e1992…
07-31 00:44:08	wti up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc0f098…
07-31 00:44:08	wti up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x8cddeb…
07-31 00:44:03	wti up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x80a25f…
07-30 13:41:30	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	55	20¢	$11	0x936913…
07-30 12:02:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	55	21¢	$12	0x3e0468…
07-30 07:14:47	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0xed9a6c…
07-30 02:52:38	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xb3ca46…
07-30 02:52:38	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7896f7…
07-29 23:24:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xea1918…
07-29 22:49:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xd82bb2…
07-29 22:08:56	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x0b8188…
07-27 09:36:25	wti up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	800	1¢	$9	0xa5a97e…
07-27 09:02:04	wti up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x036e18…
07-27 08:50:27	bnb up or down on july 27 2026	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x50f906…
07-27 07:59:00	bnb up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6d19ad…
07-27 06:48:57	wti up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x5e5c34…
07-27 06:33:22	wti up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	171	4¢	$7	0x782cae…
07-27 04:02:28	wti up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x613068…
07-25 05:24:51	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	52	48¢	$25	0xd4c1d8…
07-25 05:22:43	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x70cedd…
07-25 04:51:07	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x321443…
07-25 04:50:40	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x93b825…
07-25 02:49:04	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xa486f2…
07-25 01:57:46	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xe769f5…