Realized P&L (7d)
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
46
46 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$129
$129 lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$77
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 19:26
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Politics
46%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? No +26 $25 96¢ $25 $-0 05-06 16:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -15 $-13 86¢ $-13 $-0 05-06 18:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $9 78¢ $8 $-1 05-07 19:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? No -16 $-6 38¢ $-6 $-1 05-06 10:37
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No +7 $6 83¢ $6 $-0 05-07 13:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 $-0 05-07 12:31
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -5 $-3 75¢ $-3 $-0 05-06 10:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No -3 $-3 94¢ $-3 $-0 05-06 15:17
Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes +2 $2 86¢ $2 $-0 05-06 16:23
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -2 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 05-06 10:45
Will Trump visit China by May 31? No +18 $1 $1 +$0 05-07 18:56
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +2 $1 82¢ $1 $-0 05-06 17:02
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? No -13 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-06 10:46
Ramp IPO before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 05-06 10:46
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-1 14¢ $-0 +$0 05-06 10:46
Will Trump visit China by May 15? No -3 $-0 15¢ $-0 $-0 05-07 19:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -0 $-0 92¢ $-0 $-0 05-07 14:54