Delightful-Pilgrim — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$142

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-11 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

80% 100% +$1

Politics

9% 0% $-0

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-108	$-101	94¢	$-101	$-0	06-08 14:16
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	+11	$10	96¢	$10	+$0	05-30 00:01
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	05-30 17:28
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	05-31 18:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$10	92¢	$10	$-0	06-06 10:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	13	$5.1K	2,598	2,598	+0	open	—	03-17 05:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$1.0K	522	522	+0	open	—	04-22 09:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$680	341	341	+0	open	—	03-31 11:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$601	302	302	+0	open	—	04-17 10:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$600	301	301	+0	open	—	04-23 09:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$401	202	202	+0	open	—	04-03 10:57
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$401	205	205	+0	open	—	03-20 12:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	03-30 22:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	04-10 18:09
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	3	$300	211	104	+106	open	—	04-17 10:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$223	121	121	+0	open	—	04-18 10:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$221	123	103	+20	open	—	05-15 14:04
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	04-15 22:41
highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 22c	2	$203	106	106	+0	open	—	04-14 23:30
nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	03-11 12:09
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$201	102	102	+0	Yes	+$1	04-25 14:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	04-10 18:09
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-30 22:01
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-24 15:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 10:57
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$200	102	102	+0	open	—	03-23 14:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	04-23 09:58
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	03-18 21:25
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$164	122	122	+0	open	—	02-26 14:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	8	$121	63	63	+0	open	—	05-16 10:58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$121	11	118	-108	open	—	06-08 14:16
will hyperliquid dip to 24 in march	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	03-24 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 27?	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	04-26 08:15
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-23 23:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	04-27 09:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 12:01:21	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x890bd2…
06-09 13:53:49	will wti crude oil wti hit high 175 in june	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4345d7…
06-08 14:17:00	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xf618fb…
06-08 14:16:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	118	94¢	$111	0x4ae273…
06-07 10:10:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x62bdf2…
06-06 10:35:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb421df…
05-31 18:47:38	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd41ab4…
05-30 23:02:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f4b09…
05-30 17:28:24	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf9f1c9…
05-30 00:01:42	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xdc1d67…
05-25 22:16:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe539bf…
05-22 11:16:56	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x493f9a…
05-20 11:28:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xed0e0a…
05-19 15:40:21	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a2ddf…
05-19 15:39:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x61f7f7…
05-17 22:30:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd59826…
05-17 14:31:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe0f1b4…
05-16 20:17:47	Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb7bc3b…
05-16 10:58:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$40	0x868f45…
05-15 22:04:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90f437…
05-15 14:04:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdba70a…
05-15 14:04:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d3a45…
05-15 00:24:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x57801d…
05-14 11:12:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32ae26…
05-13 10:24:36	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2fa830…
05-12 09:15:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2bf1eb…
05-09 10:36:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6ec422…
05-08 10:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc601e2…
05-06 17:46:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0x43f210…
05-06 17:46:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xf63aca…
05-02 12:50:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x7fea5e…
05-01 10:56:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x92ad9d…
04-30 19:21:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5e6963…
04-28 10:20:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5e002e…
04-27 09:21:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8e2005…
04-26 08:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 27?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x75ccbd…
04-25 14:35:14	Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 800M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe925e6…
04-25 14:34:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	102	98¢	$101	0x9092b2…
04-24 18:24:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ff720…
04-23 23:26:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xb0e95e…
04-23 09:58:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xfeddad…
04-23 09:58:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb1037b…
04-23 09:57:48	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x68dfa7…
04-22 18:07:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd80b22…
04-22 09:15:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	202	99¢	$201	0x914f19…
04-21 13:49:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb93b45…
04-20 10:40:58	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x62f180…
04-18 10:48:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x250d98…
04-18 10:48:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	95¢	$103	0x02f2a2…
04-17 10:37:30	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xeac755…
04-17 10:36:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	302	100¢	$301	0xbfeb44…
04-15 22:41:46	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x84bca6…
04-14 23:31:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe430b8…
04-14 23:31:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0xcc68c2…
04-14 23:30:24	highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 22c	No	SELL	106	97¢	$103	0xc056d3…
04-14 12:32:05	highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 22c	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xac5c40…
04-14 12:10:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0bd991…
04-14 09:23:19	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x465e64…
04-13 10:00:49	highest temperature in mexico city on april 14 2026 22corhigher	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0c43ef…
04-11 23:51:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xea804e…
04-10 18:09:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$200	0xc5378b…
04-10 18:09:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	102	98¢	$101	0x504f3d…
04-10 13:16:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x92da39…
04-10 10:19:03	lol lng edg 2026 04 10	LNG Esports	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x999ec9…
04-09 22:19:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0x7e69c8…
04-09 10:35:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7363f0…
04-08 07:36:51	will wti crude oil settle at 70 on april 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f295c…
04-08 07:36:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	207	98¢	$203	0xdcde28…
04-08 07:36:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa12a99…
04-07 22:28:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd933ce…
04-06 10:59:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xb578af…
04-05 21:44:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x8c041f…
04-05 14:11:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2015d4…
04-03 21:07:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xa619ff…
04-03 10:57:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	202	100¢	$201	0x3c0e17…
04-03 10:57:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8ce9f9…
04-03 10:56:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf53a6b…
04-02 19:24:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xab6720…
04-01 09:56:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1195e3…
03-31 22:10:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x781ef0…
03-31 11:30:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x464fcc…
03-30 22:02:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x65f768…
03-30 22:01:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x29af49…
03-30 22:01:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x139c7f…
03-30 11:21:28	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x671f9c…
03-30 09:09:04	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x84b37b…
03-30 09:02:52	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	111	100¢	$110	0x2eec93…
03-29 12:27:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8699b4…
03-28 12:36:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x0d6bd3…
03-27 09:26:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xc59809…
03-27 09:26:35	Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd266c5…
03-27 09:26:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xdc26a2…
03-25 23:40:37	Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19da2f…
03-25 13:48:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc1505f…
03-25 10:37:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe681ac…
03-24 15:32:15	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb224cf…
03-24 11:03:37	will hyperliquid dip to 24 in march	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x837816…
03-24 11:03:33	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 23corhigher	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd63dba…
03-24 11:03:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x23ba62…
03-23 23:10:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x430773…