Delightful-Pilgrim — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$715

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-14 20:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% 100% +$1

Politics

9% 0% $-0

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-646	$-614	94¢	$-610	+$4	06-14 15:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-108	$-101	96¢	$-103	$-3	06-08 14:16
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-1	$0	98¢	$-1	$-1	07-09 12:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	13	$5.1K	2,598	2,598	+0	open	—	03-17 05:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$1.0K	522	522	+0	open	—	04-22 09:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$680	341	341	+0	open	—	03-31 11:30
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$614	0	646	-646	open	—	06-14 15:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$601	302	302	+0	open	—	04-17 10:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$600	301	301	+0	open	—	04-23 09:58
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$600	305	306	-1	open	—	07-09 12:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$401	202	202	+0	open	—	04-03 10:57
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$401	205	205	+0	open	—	03-20 12:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	03-30 22:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	04-10 18:09
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	3	$300	211	104	+106	open	—	04-17 10:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$223	121	121	+0	open	—	04-18 10:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$221	123	103	+20	open	—	05-15 14:04
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	04-15 22:41
highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 22c	2	$203	106	106	+0	open	—	04-14 23:30
nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	03-11 12:09
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$201	102	102	+0	Yes	+$1	04-25 14:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	04-10 18:09
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-30 22:01
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-24 15:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 10:57
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$200	102	102	+0	open	—	03-23 14:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	04-23 09:58
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	03-18 21:25
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	5	$178	169	131	+38	open	—	07-06 21:19
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$164	122	122	+0	open	—	02-26 14:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	8	$121	63	63	+0	open	—	05-16 10:58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$121	11	118	-108	open	—	06-08 14:16
will hyperliquid dip to 24 in march	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	03-24 11:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 20:29:44	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x597250…
07-13 09:04:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0x687911…
07-09 12:24:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0x162af8…
07-06 21:19:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xeee036…
07-06 21:18:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	37	22¢	$8	0x99629d…
07-06 21:08:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xdeca3c…
07-06 20:01:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	94	64¢	$60	0x5e0fca…
07-05 11:51:31	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x152494…
07-04 13:51:38	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x692ce3…
07-03 10:24:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8abcfc…
07-03 10:04:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1a2fa7…
07-02 09:54:08	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x471b7f…
06-29 09:15:16	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5028ce…
06-28 12:01:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0c7985…
06-27 15:39:02	will wti dip to 50 in june 2026 932 595 332	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3cdb82…
06-26 15:05:17	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc2baf…
06-26 15:02:02	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a9eab…
06-20 19:10:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0xfbe593…
06-18 10:07:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb897d…
06-14 22:11:27	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1d523c…
06-14 21:35:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	306	98¢	$300	0xce5c5b…
06-14 15:23:12	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	646	95¢	$614	0xa3598b…
06-13 10:12:21	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5770d1…
06-13 10:11:51	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8129ea…
06-13 10:11:46	will wti crude oil wti hit high 175 in june	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xebeecc…
06-13 10:11:28	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x13b5b2…
06-13 10:11:18	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xfe91cb…
06-11 12:01:21	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x890bd2…
06-09 13:53:49	will wti crude oil wti hit high 175 in june	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4345d7…
06-08 14:17:00	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xf618fb…
06-08 14:16:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	118	94¢	$111	0x4ae273…
06-07 10:10:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x62bdf2…
06-06 10:35:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb421df…
05-31 18:47:38	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd41ab4…
05-30 23:02:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f4b09…
05-30 17:28:24	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf9f1c9…
05-30 00:01:42	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xdc1d67…
05-25 22:16:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe539bf…
05-22 11:16:56	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x493f9a…
05-20 11:28:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xed0e0a…
05-19 15:40:21	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a2ddf…
05-19 15:39:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x61f7f7…
05-17 22:30:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd59826…
05-17 14:31:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe0f1b4…
05-16 20:17:47	Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb7bc3b…
05-16 10:58:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$40	0x868f45…
05-15 22:04:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90f437…
05-15 14:04:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdba70a…
05-15 14:04:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d3a45…
05-15 00:24:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x57801d…
05-14 11:12:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32ae26…
05-13 10:24:36	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2fa830…
05-12 09:15:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2bf1eb…
05-09 10:36:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6ec422…
05-08 10:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc601e2…
05-06 17:46:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0x43f210…
05-06 17:46:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xf63aca…
05-02 12:50:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x7fea5e…
05-01 10:56:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x92ad9d…
04-30 19:21:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5e6963…
04-28 10:20:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5e002e…
04-27 09:21:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8e2005…
04-26 08:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 27?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x75ccbd…
04-25 14:35:14	Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 800M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe925e6…
04-25 14:34:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	102	98¢	$101	0x9092b2…
04-24 18:24:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ff720…
04-23 23:26:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xb0e95e…
04-23 09:58:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xfeddad…
04-23 09:58:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb1037b…
04-23 09:57:48	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x68dfa7…
04-22 18:07:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd80b22…
04-22 09:15:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	202	99¢	$201	0x914f19…
04-21 13:49:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb93b45…
04-20 10:40:58	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x62f180…
04-18 10:48:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x250d98…
04-18 10:48:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	95¢	$103	0x02f2a2…
04-17 10:37:30	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xeac755…
04-17 10:36:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	302	100¢	$301	0xbfeb44…
04-15 22:41:46	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x84bca6…
04-14 23:31:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe430b8…
04-14 23:31:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0xcc68c2…
04-14 23:30:24	highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 22c	No	SELL	106	97¢	$103	0xc056d3…
04-14 12:32:05	highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 22c	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xac5c40…
04-14 12:10:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0bd991…
04-14 09:23:19	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x465e64…
04-13 10:00:49	highest temperature in mexico city on april 14 2026 22corhigher	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0c43ef…
04-11 23:51:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xea804e…
04-10 18:09:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$200	0xc5378b…
04-10 18:09:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	102	98¢	$101	0x504f3d…
04-10 13:16:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x92da39…
04-10 10:19:03	lol lng edg 2026 04 10	LNG Esports	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x999ec9…
04-09 22:19:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0x7e69c8…
04-09 10:35:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7363f0…
04-08 07:36:51	will wti crude oil settle at 70 on april 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f295c…
04-08 07:36:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	207	98¢	$203	0xdcde28…
04-08 07:36:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa12a99…
04-07 22:28:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd933ce…
04-06 10:59:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xb578af…
04-05 21:44:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x8c041f…
04-05 14:11:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2015d4…