Hurtful-Shoreline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

404

Trades

1,046

lifetime

Volume

$174.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

$119

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-26 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

69% 59% +$9,794

Sports

16% 77% +$12,271

Crypto

14% 75% -$4,880

Politics

1% 50% -$128

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+126	$110	94¢	$119	+$9	10-16 11:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will switzerland win the gold medal for winter olympics 2026 womens ice hockey at the 2026 milano cortina winter olympics	2	$10.2K	13,032	13,032	+0	No	+$9,383	02-09 05:14
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	2	$7.8K	5,504	5,504	+0	Yes	+$3,155	02-16 06:16
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$7.3K	4,639	4,639	+0	Yes	+$46	01-30 15:38
laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	8	$5.9K	12,197	12,176	+21	No	-$3,744	09-10 15:15
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	1	$5.7K	5,699	0	+5,699	No	+$28	02-16 09:30
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	5	$5.2K	3,457	3,457	+0	Yes	+$471	07-07 11:52
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	47	$4.9K	7,050	0	+7,050	Yes	+$2,142	10-26 12:41
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	4	$4.7K	4,196	4,196	+0	Yes	+$98	02-14 13:52
msft close above 490 on january 30 2026	1	$4.4K	4,439	0	+4,439	No	+$4	01-30 16:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$4.3K	4,848	4,767	+81	No	+$207	09-11 10:38
lol fn 3bl 2026 02 11 game1	2	$3.7K	3,647	3,647	+0	FN Esports	+$3,209	02-09 05:20
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	1	$3.3K	4,292	0	+4,292	No	+$987	07-18 15:07
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	1	$3.1K	4,360	0	+4,360	Yes	-$3,150	07-12 00:27
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	3	$3.1K	5,989	0	+5,989	Under	-$3,072	07-13 08:04
Chris Moore: 2+ Touchdowns	2	$3.0K	30,030	30,030	+0	No	+$2,973	10-04 12:43
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game handicap away 1pt5	3	$3.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$998	07-09 12:48
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	53	$3.0K	2,999	2,999	+0	No	+$76	07-22 14:08
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	6	$3.0K	6,851	6,851	+0	open	—	08-19 22:44
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game1	4	$2.7K	1,353	1,353	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$9	07-09 08:36
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	79	$2.5K	2,183	2,183	+0	No	+$275	07-16 03:06
bitcoin above 90k on january 16	1	$2.5K	2,491	0	+2,491	Yes	+$2	01-16 14:27
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 460 479	1	$2.5K	2,489	0	+2,489	No	+$14	01-16 00:38
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	5	$2.4K	2,116	2,116	+0	No	+$172	02-07 11:41
will bitcoin reach 100k january 12 18	7	$2.3K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	-$1,199	01-16 00:29
bitcoin above 74k on february 15	1	$2.3K	2,343	0	+2,343	No	+$2	02-15 13:45
bitcoin above 66k on february 14	1	$2.3K	2,341	0	+2,341	Yes	+$2	02-14 15:16
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	5	$2.3K	4,793	0	+4,793	Under	+$2,540	07-06 15:04
lol blg hle1 2026 07 12 total games 3pt5	2	$2.2K	1,250	1,250	+0	Over	+$249	07-12 13:42
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	3	$2.2K	2,865	2,865	+0	No	-$716	08-23 16:08
msft close above 500 on january 30 2026	1	$2.2K	2,208	0	+2,208	No	+$2	01-30 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 12:41:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe79833…
10-26 12:39:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xeb5c87…
10-26 12:39:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf37b9a…
10-26 12:39:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xeacaaf…
10-26 12:39:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	109	70¢	$77	0xa98ec0…
10-26 12:39:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x7ed865…
10-26 12:39:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x5d4c14…
10-26 12:39:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x4e6ff1…
10-26 12:39:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x19b729…
10-26 12:39:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xed0a40…
10-26 12:39:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xcbe5a1…
10-26 12:39:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x42ed34…
10-26 12:39:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x184754…
10-26 12:39:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x0f9949…
10-26 12:39:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x066a21…
10-26 12:39:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	160	70¢	$112	0x014a33…
10-26 12:39:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xbbfbe3…
10-26 12:39:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	38	70¢	$27	0x3d1053…
10-26 12:38:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xdad00e…
10-26 12:38:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x6743a2…
10-26 12:38:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xff48ee…
10-26 12:38:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xccc4b5…
10-26 12:35:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	813	70¢	$571	0x077b96…
10-26 12:34:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x9d3d1c…
10-26 12:33:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc056f4…
10-26 12:33:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	61	70¢	$43	0xaa9846…
10-26 12:33:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	77	70¢	$54	0xd2d9a3…
10-26 12:33:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xd3b7d7…
10-26 12:33:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	56	70¢	$39	0x38a4a1…
10-26 12:33:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x91826e…
10-26 12:33:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf7e57e…
10-26 12:33:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x59619a…
10-26 12:33:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xbcca0b…
10-26 12:33:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	70¢	$351	0x0664ec…
10-26 12:31:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xdd4eda…
10-26 12:31:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xda31b7…
10-26 12:31:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,000	70¢	$1,394	0x4dee59…
10-26 12:19:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$20	0xa72891…
10-26 12:19:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0x75d4f0…
10-26 12:19:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	62	69¢	$43	0x080bb9…
10-26 12:19:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa12faa…
10-26 12:18:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	263	69¢	$181	0x229d82…
10-26 12:03:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	69¢	$688	0xef0a04…
10-26 12:03:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	24	69¢	$16	0x4f78d0…
10-26 12:03:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	63	69¢	$43	0x8b26bc…
10-26 12:03:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0x4459b0…
10-26 12:03:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	723	69¢	$497	0x3437a6…
10-16 11:28:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	126	87¢	$110	0xa26c8b…
10-10 11:10:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x08714b…
10-06 11:48:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x0cdefc…
10-05 11:48:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xca0586…
10-04 12:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc794a6…
10-04 12:48:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 5?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x81cfa2…
10-04 12:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd54c61…
10-04 12:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2bb5ad…
10-04 12:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 5?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2dfda2…
10-04 12:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x770a62…
10-04 12:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfa7425…
10-04 12:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4dd06d…
10-04 12:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 5?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa233ff…
10-04 12:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x761649…
10-04 12:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x146f16…
10-04 12:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae54eb…
10-04 12:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa492c4…
10-04 12:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x508551…
10-04 12:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 81°F or below on October 5?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x11bf63…
10-04 12:47:13	Will XRP dip to $1.20 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe4676d…
10-04 12:47:10	Will XRP dip to $1.30 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x167aa5…
10-04 12:47:07	Will XRP dip to $1.40 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xb18afa…
10-04 12:47:05	Will XRP reach $1.60 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x8f1dee…
10-04 12:47:02	Will XRP reach $1.70 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8986e…
10-04 12:46:59	Will XRP reach $1.80 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e4d79…
10-04 12:46:55	Will Solana dip to $100 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3bafd5…
10-04 12:46:52	Will Solana dip to $110 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf33adf…
10-04 12:46:50	Will Solana reach $130 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x74bbbc…
10-04 12:46:46	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x635a61…
10-04 12:46:43	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71d01b…
10-04 12:46:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd9899b…
10-04 12:46:37	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x88b732…
10-04 12:46:35	will bitcoin dip to 82k september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd42dcf…
10-04 12:46:32	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x37d904…
10-04 12:46:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5c217e…
10-04 12:46:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x59e4a3…
10-04 12:46:17	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa3c3ca…
10-04 12:43:56	Chris Moore: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	SELL	30,030	10¢	$3,003	0x855045…
10-04 12:39:43	Chris Moore: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	BUY	30,030	0¢	$30	0xe5534e…
10-03 11:53:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 3?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$98	0x929282…
10-03 11:53:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8b432…
10-03 11:52:44	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on October 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x314762…
09-19 01:05:19	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x2539e0…
09-17 13:40:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x67bad3…
09-11 10:38:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	81	39¢	$32	0x1b91b5…
09-10 15:15:46	LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5cb806…
09-10 15:15:37	laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01e8e5…
09-10 15:15:25	LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa8bcfa…
09-09 13:23:18	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	280	7¢	$20	0x389536…
09-09 13:22:57	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	11,896	9¢	$1,031	0x4339c9…
09-09 12:23:42	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	63	38¢	$24	0xf896c7…
09-09 12:23:16	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	6,246	41¢	$2,559	0x9a8685…
09-09 12:22:58	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	195	39¢	$76	0x46ddca…