Moist-Grandmom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$201

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-09 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

50% 50% +$0

Politics

24% — —

Sports

23% 0% $-1

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	-710	$-206	26¢	$-188	+$18	05-30 08:00
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	+129	$12	9¢	$12	$-0	06-09 20:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+0	$0	82¢	$0	$-0	06-05 16:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	05-30 17:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$926	470	470	+0	No	+$0	04-07 03:20
Will Alberta join the US?	10	$807	422	422	+0	open	—	06-07 21:13
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	9	$704	1,374	1,374	+0	open	—	06-07 09:07
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	20	$702	1,660	1,659	+1	No	$-1	04-13 10:34
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$645	338	338	+0	open	—	04-25 22:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$631	326	326	+0	open	—	03-25 20:53
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$623	592	592	+0	open	—	04-25 11:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$615	320	320	+0	open	—	04-26 20:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$572	389	388	+1	open	—	05-21 13:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	3	$466	530	530	+0	open	—	05-28 11:38
Iran leadership change by June 30?	9	$438	644	644	+0	open	—	06-07 00:59
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$406	450	450	+0	open	—	04-22 02:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	5	$403	246	246	+0	open	—	06-05 16:28
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$387	197	197	+0	No	$-0	04-05 09:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	9	$363	753	753	+0	open	—	05-19 07:40
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$347	906	906	+0	open	—	05-29 20:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	17	$344	336	336	+0	open	—	05-30 17:53
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$342	173	173	+0	open	—	04-07 01:35
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$340	172	172	+0	open	—	04-20 22:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	4	$340	216	926	-710	open	—	05-30 08:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$333	627	627	+0	open	—	04-09 20:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$322	273	273	+0	open	—	05-28 23:55
will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$309	490	490	+0	open	—	03-17 20:02
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$306	155	155	+0	No	$-0	03-27 05:44
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	4	$302	163	163	+0	open	—	03-23 00:53
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$297	153	153	+0	open	—	03-19 10:46
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$290	147	147	+0	open	—	04-11 06:09
Iran leadership change by May 31?	4	$290	151	151	+0	open	—	05-22 00:41
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$281	219	219	+0	open	—	03-27 14:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$203	0	323	-323	open	—	05-24 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:27:43	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x812e8d…
06-09 02:55:31	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	518	10¢	$52	0x1acdee…
06-09 00:34:28	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	662	10¢	$66	0x04e4d0…
06-08 17:24:22	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xd06eb1…
06-08 15:19:24	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$2	0xf30ce2…
06-07 21:13:42	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x7697b7…
06-07 21:13:42	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	179	96¢	$171	0x5bb212…
06-07 19:51:22	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xb29fdc…
06-07 19:51:22	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	175	96¢	$167	0x610f38…
06-07 19:51:22	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x46cffd…
06-07 17:40:00	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0xfd0dbd…
06-07 17:39:58	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	145	96¢	$139	0xccd851…
06-07 14:40:24	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcec543…
06-07 14:40:24	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x26b2b9…
06-07 14:40:24	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	198	96¢	$189	0x074590…
06-07 09:07:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	247	18¢	$45	0xf927ac…
06-07 09:07:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	101	18¢	$19	0x604c1d…
06-07 05:23:52	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	348	19¢	$65	0x959945…
06-07 00:59:24	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x44f4bc…
06-07 00:59:03	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	194	4¢	$8	0xcc67d3…
06-07 00:59:03	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xb2b094…
06-07 00:59:03	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	209	4¢	$8	0x2983b3…
06-06 21:45:31	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	433	4¢	$17	0x84c2e9…
06-05 16:28:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0xd9a879…
06-05 16:28:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0x1dfd1e…
06-05 13:55:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	196	82¢	$160	0xd82a1d…
06-05 09:51:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x764c63…
06-05 09:50:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	238	82¢	$195	0x601e3e…
06-05 08:45:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	115	19¢	$22	0xb405eb…
06-05 08:45:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	465	19¢	$89	0x614d50…
06-05 04:47:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	580	19¢	$111	0xa5268d…
06-04 23:37:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	157	96¢	$150	0x8fd811…
06-04 23:37:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x600abe…
06-04 23:37:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x00e2f8…
06-04 19:39:36	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	211	96¢	$202	0x422e7e…
06-04 18:25:57	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	592	2¢	$9	0xdc9e1a…
06-04 13:45:21	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	592	1¢	$8	0xb718b8…
05-30 17:53:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x74aa1c…
05-30 17:41:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x614df5…
05-30 17:41:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa8e020…
05-30 17:39:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x16e0a6…
05-30 17:37:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x9fdbef…
05-30 17:36:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x73a2e1…
05-30 17:36:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$39	0x23407c…
05-30 17:35:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xfad84d…
05-30 17:33:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0xb27f5e…
05-30 17:32:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x67780f…
05-30 17:28:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xd1a479…
05-30 17:25:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xde633c…
05-30 17:23:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa8853b…
05-30 17:18:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x6bb240…
05-30 12:19:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	171	98¢	$167	0x6cf5c9…
05-30 08:00:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	216	31¢	$67	0x3c6804…
05-30 06:42:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	216	31¢	$67	0x412ea7…
05-29 20:15:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	659	3¢	$22	0x8cd6fd…
05-29 17:46:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	659	5¢	$34	0x3d7d39…
05-29 10:05:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	453	29¢	$131	0xd5b23b…
05-29 10:05:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	257	29¢	$75	0xc26862…
05-28 23:55:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	177	59¢	$104	0x7bc71b…
05-28 23:55:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	96	59¢	$57	0x69fa42…
05-28 22:09:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	177	59¢	$104	0xbf5ff5…
05-28 22:09:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	96	59¢	$57	0xa7e51f…
05-28 17:03:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	165	3¢	$4	0xc723ea…
05-28 15:08:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0x0ceaf4…
05-28 11:38:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	279	44¢	$123	0x5ad2bb…
05-28 11:38:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	251	44¢	$110	0x10ab10…
05-28 09:42:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	530	44¢	$233	0xa611cc…
05-28 06:55:45	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	169	38¢	$64	0xd1f50f…
05-28 06:55:45	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	277	38¢	$106	0x6ec204…
05-28 03:26:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	446	41¢	$183	0xf3035f…
05-24 06:23:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	233	63¢	$147	0xb7680b…
05-24 06:23:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	63¢	$23	0x1e2115…
05-24 06:23:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	63¢	$33	0x0e69af…
05-23 10:50:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xddb9ba…
05-23 09:46:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x19c576…
05-22 23:48:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xc49a63…
05-22 00:41:46	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	124	96¢	$119	0xaaf18e…
05-22 00:41:46	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x695172…
05-21 22:04:15	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xd48d25…
05-21 22:04:15	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	92	96¢	$88	0x5ef926…
05-21 13:28:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	63	96¢	$60	0x98319f…
05-21 13:28:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	77	96¢	$74	0x837b9a…
05-21 13:27:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0x147d32…
05-21 09:26:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	93	4¢	$3	0xf8d53b…
05-21 09:26:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	164	4¢	$6	0xe65e65…
05-21 05:36:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	258	4¢	$11	0x474f29…
05-20 22:21:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xed7404…
05-20 22:20:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xbb3204…
05-20 22:20:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	78	5¢	$4	0x669dfa…
05-20 20:11:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	92	4¢	$4	0xf803df…
05-20 07:10:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	157	94¢	$148	0x81033d…
05-20 04:51:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	157	94¢	$147	0x8464fa…
05-19 22:12:31	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x19df0d…
05-19 20:02:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$1	0xb5f8fa…
05-19 20:01:34	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	235	58¢	$136	0xf880a0…
05-19 19:59:16	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	247	60¢	$148	0xad6904…
05-19 07:40:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x65f9be…
05-19 07:40:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	2¢	$4	0x2be4c0…
05-19 04:39:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	2¢	$4	0x062b5b…
05-18 13:52:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xca6815…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	39	$169.7K	13,229	06-10 04:56
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	37	$478.2K	6,702	06-10 03:51
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	34	$75.6K	905	06-09 08:04
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	33	$96.8K	33,851	06-10 04:56
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	30	$3.17K	1,175	06-08 23:04
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	29	$5.65K	2,563	06-08 17:00
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	28	$1.95K	1,944	06-10 03:36
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	27	$8.95K	4,859	06-03 20:09