Powerful-Stew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.36K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

7,395

Trades

21,579

lifetime

Volume

$138.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-17 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 67% -$1,407

Politics

6% 50% +$19

Tech

4% 50% +$58

Other

1% 41% -$23

Sports

0% 43% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+0	$7	55¢	$0	-$7	06-16 13:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	23	$4.4K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$19	05-30 12:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	60	$3.4K	3,024	3,024	+0	Yes	+$10	05-31 04:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	36	$3.0K	1,645	1,645	+0	Yes	+$19	06-03 15:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	14	$2.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	06-16 13:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	58	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-29 16:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$940	535	535	+0	No	+$3	06-01 04:10
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	7	$448	226	226	+0	No	+$0	06-02 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2AM ET	3	$255	330	0	+330	Up	-$15	04-26 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:05 UTC	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-17 06:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:10 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	04-17 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:10 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	04-17 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:15 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	04-17 05:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 22:45 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	04-16 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:20 UTC	2	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	04-17 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:35 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-17 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:15 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-17 07:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 22:05 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-16 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:10 UTC	3	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-17 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 01:50 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-17 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 23:40 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-16 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:45 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-17 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:05 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	04-16 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 13:45 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-16 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 20:50 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	04-16 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:25 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-16 17:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 20:35 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-16 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:30 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	04-17 05:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:15 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-16 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:55 UTC	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	04-16 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 01:05 UTC	8	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	04-17 01:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 06:24:05	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xab975d…
06-17 06:23:58	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd5a1e9…
06-17 06:23:50	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x7757a3…
06-17 06:23:41	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xacce37…
06-17 06:23:32	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x24ba27…
06-17 06:23:23	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xaa502d…
06-17 06:23:13	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x4ae24a…
06-16 13:22:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	83	69¢	$57	0x54afdc…
06-16 13:13:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	29	69¢	$20	0xc435bc…
06-16 13:09:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0x4e224d…
06-16 13:07:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xaa635c…
06-16 12:54:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xc76aa1…
06-16 12:31:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	534	69¢	$369	0xc35f75…
06-16 09:10:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x44fe45…
06-16 08:54:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	90	69¢	$62	0x43b5de…
06-16 05:38:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	114	69¢	$79	0x9b2c4c…
06-14 04:44:36	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x95296a…
06-14 04:24:49	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	63	4¢	$3	0x2e1091…
06-14 03:07:21	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x5ebf67…
06-14 03:05:01	Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x98d197…
06-14 03:04:04	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7804c2…
06-13 00:32:36	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xa73ee9…
06-13 00:32:27	Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x37ef82…
06-13 00:32:13	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x0619c0…
06-13 00:32:01	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xc2828e…
06-13 00:28:34	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb65a41…
06-12 08:26:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x02437e…
06-12 08:24:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x8e0270…
06-12 04:09:49	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd5304f…
06-12 04:09:27	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x003cc5…
06-12 03:47:42	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x32ed96…
06-12 03:47:28	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xba3d0d…
06-11 07:22:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x888565…
06-10 17:44:39	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x71caa4…
06-10 15:48:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x50fa6a…
06-10 15:46:13	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x98f7dd…
06-10 15:44:49	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x75093d…
06-10 13:58:49	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0xe5e1b5…
06-10 12:47:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x9cc5ed…
06-10 12:06:43	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xdfc6c0…
06-10 12:06:28	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfc5c8e…
06-10 12:06:15	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5d184c…
06-10 12:05:57	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x409a8b…
06-10 12:05:01	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xdf9ae8…
06-10 12:04:49	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd9d49a…
06-10 12:04:15	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x1e685b…
06-10 11:50:31	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x9a9b56…
06-10 11:40:52	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x531e57…
06-10 11:35:18	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xa2c123…
06-10 11:31:43	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x85d286…
06-07 15:54:31	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x5f8438…
06-06 16:28:42	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x0afbb7…
06-06 12:39:03	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x611bf3…
06-06 12:04:39	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xd27bd4…
06-06 12:04:31	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x13286c…
06-06 12:04:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x24f306…
06-06 11:47:54	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd23799…
06-06 11:47:54	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb909c4…
06-06 11:40:00	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x91368c…
06-06 11:25:03	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x2d8369…
06-06 11:21:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x28b240…
06-05 15:41:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x808134…
06-05 15:38:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	77¢	$20	0x3740d9…
06-05 15:37:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	77¢	$57	0x45fe07…
06-05 15:37:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xdc5e91…
06-05 15:17:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x1683fa…
06-05 13:10:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	56	72¢	$40	0x2ca3a8…
06-05 08:02:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	57	72¢	$41	0x1cb2b1…
06-04 02:05:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0x986770…
06-03 17:37:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	900	75¢	$675	0xdedc33…
06-03 15:55:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x63c686…
06-03 14:11:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xbda74e…
06-02 17:05:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	900	75¢	$675	0xb4e30e…
06-02 12:44:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	95¢	$380	0x37f260…
06-02 07:52:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xff4131…
06-02 07:52:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$104	0xeddf38…
06-02 07:52:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	115	99¢	$115	0x9b241b…
06-01 14:46:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0xc0b5a0…
06-01 11:21:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x300ffa…
06-01 11:20:02	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xc9afad…
06-01 11:18:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xea8528…
06-01 11:16:44	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xb529c7…
06-01 09:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9dac83…
06-01 09:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x39a90f…
06-01 09:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x259ab1…
06-01 09:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x83a746…
06-01 09:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xff0395…
06-01 09:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb32599…
06-01 09:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa96caa…
06-01 09:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x159bb8…
06-01 09:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x79b824…
06-01 09:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xc3f012…
06-01 09:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe43a5e…
06-01 08:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x6c6164…
06-01 08:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x48db75…
06-01 08:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf72fb9…
06-01 08:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x77b213…
06-01 08:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x7ca97f…
06-01 08:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8e0483…
06-01 08:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x03192f…