Powerful-Stew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$423

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

42.3%

Resolved

1,621

Trades

21,173

lifetime

Volume

$130.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$115

1 position

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-12 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 58% $-423

Politics

6% — —

Other

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 1470 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		-115	$-114	100¢	$-115	$-1	06-02 07:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	23	$4.4K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-30 12:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	59	$3.2K	2,724	3,024	-300	open	—	05-31 04:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	58	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-29 16:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$940	535	535	+0	open	—	06-01 04:10
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	5	$334	111	226	-115	open	—	06-02 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2AM ET	3	$255	330	0	+330	open	—	04-26 06:59
btc updown 5m 1776377100	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 22:10
btc updown 5m 1776378000	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 22:25
btc updown 5m 1776348900	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 14:18
btc updown 5m 1776384600	3	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-17 00:15
btc updown 5m 1776402900	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-17 05:21
btc updown 5m 1776400500	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-17 04:40
btc updown 5m 1776399000	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-17 04:15
btc updown 5m 1776408900	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-17 07:00
btc updown 5m 1776410100	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-17 07:21
btc updown 5m 1776347100	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 13:48
btc updown 5m 1776360900	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 17:40
btc updown 5m 1776387900	8	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-17 01:11
btc updown 5m 1776376500	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 22:00
btc updown 5m 1776405900	2	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-17 06:10
btc updown 5m 1776393900	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-17 02:50
btc updown 5m 1776362400	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 18:05
btc updown 5m 1776353100	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 15:29
btc updown 5m 1776397500	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-17 03:50
btc updown 5m 1776382800	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 23:45
btc updown 5m 1776372600	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 20:55
btc updown 5m 1776407100	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-17 06:30
btc updown 5m 1776360300	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 17:30
btc updown 5m 1776390600	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-17 01:55
btc updown 5m 1776369600	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 08:26:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x02437e…
06-12 08:24:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x8e0270…
06-11 07:22:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x888565…
06-10 17:44:39	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x71caa4…
06-10 15:48:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x50fa6a…
06-10 15:46:13	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x98f7dd…
06-10 15:44:49	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x75093d…
06-10 13:58:49	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0xe5e1b5…
06-10 12:47:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x9cc5ed…
06-07 15:54:31	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x5f8438…
06-06 16:28:42	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x0afbb7…
06-06 12:39:03	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x611bf3…
06-06 12:04:39	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xd27bd4…
06-06 12:04:31	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x13286c…
06-06 12:04:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x24f306…
06-06 11:47:54	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd23799…
06-06 11:47:54	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb909c4…
06-06 11:40:00	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x91368c…
06-06 11:25:03	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x2d8369…
06-06 11:21:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x28b240…
06-05 15:41:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x808134…
06-05 15:38:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	77¢	$20	0x3740d9…
06-05 15:37:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	77¢	$57	0x45fe07…
06-05 15:37:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xdc5e91…
06-05 15:17:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x1683fa…
06-02 07:52:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xff4131…
06-02 07:52:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$104	0xeddf38…
06-02 07:52:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	115	99¢	$115	0x9b241b…
06-01 11:21:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x300ffa…
06-01 11:16:44	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xb529c7…
06-01 09:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9dac83…
06-01 09:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x39a90f…
06-01 09:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x259ab1…
06-01 09:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x83a746…
06-01 09:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xff0395…
06-01 09:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb32599…
06-01 09:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa96caa…
06-01 09:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x159bb8…
06-01 09:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x79b824…
06-01 09:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xc3f012…
06-01 09:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe43a5e…
06-01 08:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x6c6164…
06-01 08:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x48db75…
06-01 08:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf72fb9…
06-01 08:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x77b213…
06-01 08:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x7ca97f…
06-01 08:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8e0483…
06-01 08:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x03192f…
06-01 08:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6acb8d…
06-01 08:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xdd5311…
06-01 08:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb1356e…
06-01 08:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x374a91…
06-01 08:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xeba4da…
06-01 08:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4add2f…
06-01 08:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0f74ee…
06-01 08:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x746ff5…
06-01 08:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x80aa2d…
06-01 08:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x3b3245…
06-01 08:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x66b116…
06-01 08:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xfaaf60…
06-01 08:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa1e594…
06-01 07:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xc37608…
06-01 07:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x680125…
06-01 07:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x121cda…
06-01 07:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc51ba4…
06-01 07:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x66b6af…
06-01 07:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x866df7…
06-01 07:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xdf6ad0…
06-01 07:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xafda29…
06-01 07:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x645ac5…
06-01 07:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x14e5fe…
06-01 07:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x9d0c23…
06-01 07:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x18bf45…
06-01 06:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xd44f31…
06-01 06:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x09ce32…
06-01 06:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xbc39a1…
06-01 06:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa27af6…
06-01 06:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xfd9cd8…
06-01 06:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa33e4d…
06-01 06:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x59160b…
06-01 06:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfe9b15…
06-01 06:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x18d85c…
06-01 06:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x5fd7c6…
06-01 06:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x96109c…
06-01 06:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x57bfe5…
06-01 06:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5dc202…
06-01 06:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfcc7ea…
06-01 06:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x6e919e…
06-01 06:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4362f9…
06-01 06:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc3bcc8…
06-01 06:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9f9319…
06-01 06:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa0ce3d…
06-01 06:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc7d7a0…
06-01 06:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xaf5ba6…
06-01 06:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1d17b4…
06-01 06:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x8a684d…
06-01 05:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2db694…
06-01 05:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x75751f…
06-01 05:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x735bed…
06-01 05:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf7e4d6…