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Realized P&L
-$132
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
46.1%
Resolved
234
Trades
769
lifetime
Volume
$3.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$81
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 05-29 07:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
39% 45% -$19
Crypto
28% 41% -$125
Politics
23% 57% +$10
Tech
10% 60% +$4
Sports
0% 0% -$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +48 $21 94¢ $45 +$24 05-03 02:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +29 $17 97¢ $28 +$11 05-03 05:12
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -4 -$2 76¢ $-3 -$1 05-01 00:09
US recession by end of 2026? No -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 04-28 13:50
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 05-01 00:10
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-01 00:10
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 04-30 18:57
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 05-01 21:50
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 05-01 20:54
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 05-01 18:20
Trump out as President before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 05-01 22:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +0 $2 62¢ $0 -$2 05-03 06:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 $1 94¢ $0 -$1 05-02 20:03
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 $0 04-30 16:39
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-03 02:50