Our-Length — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.6%

Resolved

Trades

578

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-26 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 50% $-2

Politics

33% 0% $-2

Other

20% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	25	$243	154	154	+0	open	—	05-02 22:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$116	74	74	+0	open	—	05-02 10:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	10	$112	60	60	+0	Yes	$-0	05-02 08:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	10	$89	50	50	+0	Yes	$-0	05-07 12:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	6	$75	39	39	+0	No	$-0	05-02 11:04
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	6	$57	79	79	+0	open	—	04-01 08:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$51	32	32	+0	open	—	04-23 11:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	5	$47	39	39	+0	Yes	$-4	05-03 02:50
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$39	24	24	+0	open	—	03-25 12:56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	2	$39	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 22:51
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$29	29	15	+14	open	—	05-01 21:52
btc updown 5m 1773597900	6	$28	24	23	+0	open	—	03-15 18:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	$-0	05-01 16:06
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$26	40	37	+2	open	—	03-19 14:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 06:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	7	$22	76	76	+0	open	—	05-01 11:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 00:08
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$20	34	34	+0	open	—	03-18 08:48
eth updown 15m 1773512100	9	$20	30	15	+15	open	—	03-14 18:24
eth updown 15m 1773575100	8	$18	252	0	+252	open	—	03-15 11:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$16	178	178	+0	open	—	05-01 14:26
btc updown 15m 1773597600	4	$16	27	17	+10	open	—	03-15 18:08
btc updown 15m 1773505800	7	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	03-14 16:42
bitcoin up or down march 14 11am et	8	$15	32	17	+15	open	—	03-14 15:54
btc updown 5m 1773503100	6	$14	20	10	+10	open	—	03-14 15:49
btc updown 4h 1773619200	4	$14	12	11	+0	open	—	03-16 03:24
btc updown 5m 1773507300	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	03-14 16:59
btc updown 15m 1773506700	8	$14	25	15	+10	open	—	03-14 16:53
btc updown 15m 1773596700	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-15 18:00
eth updown 5m 1773627300	5	$14	27	0	+27	open	—	03-16 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 17:30:39	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9a0228…
05-14 10:34:01	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x336370…
05-07 14:49:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0x81c3e3…
05-07 12:05:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x76a174…
05-03 07:28:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x484f78…
05-03 06:42:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$11	0xfe56da…
05-03 03:45:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x0969b7…
05-03 02:50:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xe2b41a…
05-03 01:51:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	16	53¢	$9	0x3dee6a…
05-02 22:52:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	32	64¢	$20	0xec4043…
05-02 22:51:12	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0x91cf2d…
05-02 22:50:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0x82b49a…
05-02 22:01:42	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x50b10a…
05-02 19:31:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$23	0x87603d…
05-02 12:48:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	78¢	$21	0xe3e785…
05-02 11:04:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x52e82d…
05-02 10:10:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x895e4d…
05-02 10:00:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	31	79¢	$25	0x794854…
05-02 08:07:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf8518e…
05-02 08:07:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb0f595…
05-02 08:07:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3c4570…
05-02 08:05:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	93¢	$22	0x4f9818…
05-02 07:45:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4585a0…
05-02 07:45:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0xe3c450…
05-02 07:33:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x325fc4…
05-02 06:34:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xef1a4e…
05-02 06:34:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x0eb8c7…
05-02 06:34:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xfc04d3…
05-02 06:24:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x64d83a…
05-02 06:15:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6d18f6…
05-02 06:02:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xa0fd49…
05-02 05:40:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x8217e3…
05-02 05:40:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x24fed5…
05-02 05:12:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x8944d3…
05-02 05:12:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x6b85a4…
05-02 04:50:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x5e0da3…
05-02 04:39:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	11	79¢	$8	0x8c7bcd…
05-02 04:38:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x79c9a3…
05-02 04:30:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x127c31…
05-02 04:10:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe411eb…
05-02 04:09:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xe08de9…
05-02 04:09:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0xa2c488…
05-02 03:00:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xa6665b…
05-02 00:23:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xd28631…
05-01 23:21:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xb2bd5a…
05-01 23:19:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0xb31949…
05-01 22:23:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xaf540b…
05-01 22:22:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xab5ae2…
05-01 21:52:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xe73adb…
05-01 21:52:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xb023c8…
05-01 21:51:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x54c91e…
05-01 20:55:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x66f9fa…
05-01 18:21:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x3a88b4…
05-01 18:20:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xba6cdd…
05-01 18:11:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x1f9524…
05-01 18:10:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0xd8d0ef…
05-01 18:10:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	12	71¢	$8	0x222a91…
05-01 17:55:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xb7c8a9…
05-01 17:41:32	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	12	72¢	$8	0x97d7c6…
05-01 16:40:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0xf57413…
05-01 16:06:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x5a874b…
05-01 14:26:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0xa1e7e0…
05-01 14:26:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	178	4¢	$7	0x7390ac…
05-01 14:17:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	178	5¢	$9	0x887db0…
05-01 13:42:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x329790…
05-01 13:36:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x8d1f32…
05-01 11:40:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0x2ed336…
05-01 11:26:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	23	82¢	$18	0xcf070d…
05-01 11:18:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x25128f…
05-01 10:46:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x5926f3…
05-01 10:32:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x7b22d5…
05-01 08:03:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0xf91d37…
05-01 05:57:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x0f16cf…
05-01 02:08:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x0beaf2…
05-01 01:57:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3d5761…
05-01 01:32:00	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x706896…
05-01 01:30:38	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x4ebff9…
05-01 01:29:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x8e98c2…
05-01 01:28:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x434629…
05-01 01:28:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x29e678…
05-01 01:28:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8d0695…
05-01 01:28:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x604b90…
05-01 01:17:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	46	19¢	$9	0x9f6579…
05-01 00:36:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	910	0¢	$1	0x4045e1…
05-01 00:10:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	911	0¢	$3	0x926890…
05-01 00:09:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x04b0d7…
05-01 00:09:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x6aa16b…
05-01 00:08:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xd15204…
04-30 22:58:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x2299af…
04-30 22:19:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x0fb217…
04-30 21:25:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x793541…
04-30 21:24:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x90fa77…
04-30 19:24:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x350721…
04-30 19:23:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x4c601b…
04-30 19:23:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x65b75b…
04-30 18:15:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x9dbb6e…
04-30 17:42:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	80¢	$20	0x73a162…
04-30 17:39:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe36601…
04-30 17:36:06	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2b2bb…
04-30 16:43:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xa40a08…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	147	$79.8K	10,084	04-05 04:35
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	145	$100.8K	5,567	03-26 09:08
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	145	$52.2K	10,087	03-26 09:08
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	145	$45.4K	8,076	03-24 15:38
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	144	$153.7K	27,572	03-16 02:27
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	144	$12.9K	5,327	03-16 02:27
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	141	$23.0K	4,689	03-26 09:08
(anonymous) 0x5487…a014	136	$7.94K	3,207	03-16 02:27