Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 10?
open
Total volume
$630
$2,241 in 24h
Trades
68
Unique wallets
46
Liquidity
$1,119
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 14:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $86 | $86 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 43 | $16 | $525 | $510 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $53 | $53 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $1 | $157 | $155 |
| Median | 13 | $3 | $135 | $132 |
| Below median | 8 | $8 | $16 | $8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $1 | $208 | $207 |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | $18 | $16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mindless-Integrity 0x8431…6291 | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 3 | 05-10 02:25 |
| Frightened-Glimpse 0x932b…a773 | Yes | +104 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 14:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2b2…4def | No | +76 | $74 | $74 | 2 | 05-10 11:04 |
| Supportive-Face 0x9801…0245 | Yes | +66 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 08:23 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:23 |
| Easy-Going-Directory 0xcac0…a0b8 | No | +49 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-10 04:02 |
| Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-10 05:32 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +35 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 05-09 00:31 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xd39e…88e2 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 06:34 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 23:45 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +26 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 05-10 13:57 |
| Reckless-Whisper 0x95fe…8c71 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-09 13:33 |
| Virtuous-Grandparent 0x4e30…9d3e | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:07 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-10 08:19 |
| Intrepid-Constraint 0x11a9…4182 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 13:42 |
| Offbeat-Molar 0x1502…922e | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 03:25 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-08 05:24 |
| Assured-Labour 0xc2b3…2230 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:43 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 11:15 |
| Descriptive-Tentacle 0x96fc…721b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:15 |
| Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 14:01 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 04:39 |
| Kooky-Mint 0xae28…8883 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 07:24 |
| Jumpy-Mortal 0x0b37…f13a | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 11:26 |
| Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 07:48 |
| Svelte-Outset 0x5953…57e6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 00:01 |
| Wide-Eyed-Character 0xc182…f8ef | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 05:24 |
| Luxurious-Flu 0x802e…9a31 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 05:07 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 23:45 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 10:15 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 14:01:16 | Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x91add4… |
| 05-10 13:57:30 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8f8280… |
| 05-10 13:42:01 | Intrepid-Constraint 0x11a9…4182 | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0xd845a2… |
| 05-10 13:10:40 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcd4720… |
| 05-10 11:26:50 | Jumpy-Mortal 0x0b37…f13a | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xf18c6c… |
| 05-10 11:15:34 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5a2f04… |
| 05-10 11:04:43 | (anonymous) 0xe2b2…4def | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0x8cb8cb… |
| 05-10 10:15:55 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x7efce6… |
| 05-10 10:10:25 | (anonymous) 0xe2b2…4def | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x869e6d… |
| 05-10 08:23:33 | Supportive-Face 0x9801…0245 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xaad6b2… |
| 05-10 08:23:10 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xaa841c… |
| 05-10 08:19:49 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9088e0… |
| 05-10 07:48:22 | Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x9809f6… |
| 05-10 06:12:58 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x5a7023… |
| 05-10 06:02:16 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x0e6277… |
| 05-10 05:32:41 | Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x72ceaf… |
| 05-10 05:07:29 | Virtuous-Grandparent 0x4e30…9d3e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe57f91… |
| 05-10 05:07:17 | Luxurious-Flu 0x802e…9a31 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x60d46f… |
| 05-10 04:02:23 | Easy-Going-Directory 0xcac0…a0b8 | No | BUY | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0x379208… |
| 05-10 03:30:29 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5fd8e8… |
| 05-10 03:25:21 | Offbeat-Molar 0x1502…922e | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x05a2b0… |
| 05-10 02:25:30 | Mindless-Integrity 0x8431…6291 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe7a558… |
| 05-10 02:15:29 | Mindless-Integrity 0x8431…6291 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x869989… |
| 05-10 02:15:28 | Descriptive-Tentacle 0x96fc…721b | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xfcd74f… |
| 05-10 01:05:14 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xd5a547… |
| 05-10 01:05:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x06d2c8… |
| 05-10 00:55:55 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbde322… |
| 05-10 00:55:55 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3655a4… |
| 05-10 00:55:55 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x742133… |
| 05-10 00:55:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc33229… |
| 05-10 00:55:55 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6a5965… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf2e251… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x984869… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe8f3cd… |
| 05-10 00:05:30 | Mindless-Integrity 0x8431…6291 | No | BUY | 149 | 96¢ | $143 | 0xd1f04f… |
| 05-10 00:01:32 | Svelte-Outset 0x5953…57e6 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe2ba50… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x03998d… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0038e4… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe4d986… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4dcd59… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x977e68… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa59d20… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd47c46… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe7bb85… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x6ff841… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa8f5f8… |
| 05-09 22:10:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d1e8f… |
| 05-09 22:10:28 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5e71b8… |
| 05-09 21:48:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe8b742… |
| 05-09 21:48:09 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2e5094… |
| 05-09 15:03:59 | Fancy-Overexertion 0x3940…9807 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbb944b… |
| 05-09 14:38:19 | Frightened-Glimpse 0x932b…a773 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xf1098d… |
| 05-09 13:33:25 | Reckless-Whisper 0x95fe…8c71 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x48f80b… |
| 05-09 07:24:59 | Kooky-Mint 0xae28…8883 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x15270c… |
| 05-09 06:34:49 | (anonymous) 0xd39e…88e2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x66e008… |
| 05-09 00:31:02 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5076f6… |
| 05-09 00:31:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfb3102… |
| 05-09 00:31:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7f7396… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xeb83e9… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe9b157… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x15a7eb… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x065c92… |
| 05-08 06:29:53 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 16 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x857d74… |
| 05-08 05:24:46 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x0f5c1b… |
| 05-08 05:24:40 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb26fda… |
| 05-08 05:24:39 | Wide-Eyed-Character 0xc182…f8ef | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x17ef91… |
| 05-08 04:43:05 | Assured-Labour 0xc2b3…2230 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2debf4… |
| 05-08 04:39:16 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7706db… |