Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 7?
No won
Total volume
$417
Trades
54
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-07
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 20:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $34 | $312 | $278 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $38 | $38 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | $218 | $218 |
| Median | 8 | — | $34 | $34 |
| Below median | 7 | $2 | $16 | $14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $4 | $37 | $34 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $28 | — | +$28 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disguised-Doe 0x0032…e886 | No | +153 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-07 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4ba…c5d8 | Yes | +135 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 12:45 |
| Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-07 13:06 |
| Flat-Cradle 0x15d0…1284 | Yes | +50 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 05-07 11:38 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-07 12:05 |
| Fatal-Plate 0xd3ce…618d | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-07 14:06 |
| Grubby-Pagan 0x17e0…64e7 | No | +14 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 07:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-06 22:41 |
| Icy-Pride 0x9317…5a5f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-07 13:05 |
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 06:04 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 12:05 |
| Prize-Lollipop 0xd338…9fd3 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-06 06:05 |
| Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 13:09 |
| Impressive-Hoof 0xec7c…7ad4 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4f6…eada | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 13:05 |
| Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 13:05 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 15:27 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 12:05 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-07 13:59 |
| Humiliating-Recovery 0x293e…9962 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 13:05 |
| Jagged-Statistics 0x737d…d0fe | No | +2 | $0 | $12 | 2 | 05-07 12:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 20:56:25 | Smug-Pinkie 0x9fd3…0060 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xca629a… |
| 05-07 14:06:34 | Fatal-Plate 0xd3ce…618d | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0xeee56c… |
| 05-07 13:59:53 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x969fce… |
| 05-07 13:46:40 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd2059b… |
| 05-07 13:09:12 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6d5f5f… |
| 05-07 13:09:03 | Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xb5da44… |
| 05-07 13:06:29 | Svelte-Gaffe 0xcef8…5121 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3d61ac… |
| 05-07 13:06:13 | Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xfaaa7c… |
| 05-07 13:05:54 | Icy-Pride 0x9317…5a5f | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x70f918… |
| 05-07 13:05:54 | (anonymous) 0xb4f6…eada | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x87a235… |
| 05-07 13:05:54 | Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x95915e… |
| 05-07 13:05:50 | Humiliating-Recovery 0x293e…9962 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xd990bc… |
| 05-07 13:05:42 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfed1e3… |
| 05-07 13:05:42 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xddbd6b… |
| 05-07 13:05:42 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4662e3… |
| 05-07 13:05:42 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdbb80a… |
| 05-07 13:05:42 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd6bfef… |
| 05-07 13:05:42 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x46be57… |
| 05-07 13:05:42 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb60788… |
| 05-07 13:05:38 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb80a45… |
| 05-07 13:05:38 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5bf86b… |
| 05-07 13:05:38 | Disguised-Doe 0x0032…e886 | No | BUY | 153 | 98¢ | $150 | 0x4dc6cf… |
| 05-07 13:05:38 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa3c12a… |
| 05-07 13:05:38 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf8905e… |
| 05-07 13:05:33 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0df8b2… |
| 05-07 12:56:18 | Icy-Pride 0x9317…5a5f | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xfa6cb1… |
| 05-07 12:45:55 | (anonymous) 0xa4ba…c5d8 | Yes | BUY | 135 | 7¢ | $10 | 0xfcefa6… |
| 05-07 12:40:42 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x926052… |
| 05-07 12:40:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf6be0d… |
| 05-07 12:40:33 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3e9a12… |
| 05-07 12:16:19 | Jagged-Statistics 0x737d…d0fe | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x86c5be… |
| 05-07 12:11:07 | Smug-Pinkie 0x9fd3…0060 | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x618094… |
| 05-07 12:05:26 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x644bee… |
| 05-07 12:05:26 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x182fd7… |
| 05-07 12:05:26 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xeae624… |
| 05-07 12:05:26 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xec1912… |
| 05-07 12:05:26 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x011d60… |
| 05-07 12:05:26 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xc25c9e… |
| 05-07 11:38:33 | Flat-Cradle 0x15d0…1284 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xb10f0c… |
| 05-07 10:06:10 | Political-Gown-Sunset 0x5938…7788 | No | SELL | 1 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x4837ba… |
| 05-07 07:59:37 | Flat-Cradle 0x15d0…1284 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x9b6a21… |
| 05-07 07:23:55 | Grubby-Pagan 0x17e0…64e7 | No | BUY | 14 | 69¢ | $9 | 0x25d455… |
| 05-07 07:08:21 | Jagged-Statistics 0x737d…d0fe | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $6 | 0xdbed77… |
| 05-07 06:53:11 | Flat-Cradle 0x15d0…1284 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xb29eb5… |
| 05-06 22:41:38 | (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | BUY | 12 | 66¢ | $8 | 0x9631a4… |
| 05-06 22:01:40 | Impressive-Hoof 0xec7c…7ad4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xdf277f… |
| 05-06 17:22:01 | Flat-Cradle 0x15d0…1284 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xd266b0… |
| 05-06 17:21:56 | Flat-Cradle 0x15d0…1284 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x1a1869… |
| 05-06 15:27:59 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xe94b09… |
| 05-06 06:24:54 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x0d70e7… |
| 05-06 06:24:54 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x541e52… |
| 05-06 06:24:28 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xe807b1… |
| 05-06 06:05:02 | Prize-Lollipop 0xd338…9fd3 | No | BUY | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0xe2a25d… |
| 05-06 06:04:08 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x3e62d1… |