Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Yes won
Total volume
$732
$594 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-02-04
last 05-13 20:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $150
vs crowd: 94% YES on $712)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $187 | $7 | +$180 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $478 | $6 | +$472 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $5 | $23 | $18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $150 | — | +$150 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $6 | $9 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| Below median | 6 | $5 | $19 | $14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $437 | $3 | +$434 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $73 | — | +$73 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | +444 | $435 | $435 | 5 | 05-13 18:21 |
| Silly-Men 0x695c…10a1 | No | +225 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-13 18:21 |
| Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | Yes | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-13 20:13 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 20:13 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | +79 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-13 18:07 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | +51 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 03-27 05:18 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 20:13 |
| Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | +47 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-13 18:21 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +45 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 05-13 18:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +32 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 03-27 05:18 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +27 | $21 | $48 | 2 | 05-05 06:09 |
| Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | No | +27 | $-1 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 06:09 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x98fe…bc9e | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 02-16 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x98fe…bc9e | No | +7 | $6 | $13 | 4 | 02-16 16:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x75d1…7a5f | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-16 13:57 |
| Right-Destination 0x477f…19aa | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-04 02:03 |
| Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-19 15:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x75d1…7a5f | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-16 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c90…8fac | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-04 02:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 20:13:38 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x55ea28… |
| 05-13 20:13:38 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x55ea28… |
| 05-13 20:13:38 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x55ea28… |
| 05-13 18:21:31 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb1a34d… |
| 05-13 18:21:31 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xb1a34d… |
| 05-13 18:21:18 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0xf3d940… |
| 05-13 18:21:18 | Silly-Men 0x695c…10a1 | No | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xf3d940… |
| 05-13 18:21:17 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf603fd… |
| 05-13 18:21:17 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | BUY | 23 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf603fd… |
| 05-13 18:21:17 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | BUY | 161 | 98¢ | $158 | 0xf603fd… |
| 05-13 18:21:17 | Silly-Men 0x695c…10a1 | No | BUY | 75 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xf603fd… |
| 05-13 18:07:46 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 39 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x95fff7… |
| 05-13 18:07:46 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 95¢ | $37 | 0x95fff7… |
| 05-13 18:06:15 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x2b0e39… |
| 05-13 18:06:15 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2b0e39… |
| 05-13 18:06:15 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2b0e39… |
| 05-13 18:06:15 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 95¢ | $68 | 0x2b0e39… |
| 05-05 06:09:14 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xe27971… |
| 05-05 06:09:14 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | No | SELL | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe27971… |
| 05-03 10:27:04 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | No | BUY | 42 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4473b1… |
| 05-03 10:27:04 | (anonymous) 0xde7d…62b2 | No | SELL | 42 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4473b1… |
| 04-15 23:01:54 | (anonymous) 0xde7d…62b2 | No | BUY | 42 | 18¢ | $8 | 0xb1ec5a… |
| 04-15 23:01:54 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 82¢ | $34 | 0xb1ec5a… |
| 03-27 05:18:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 19 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe666e3… |
| 03-27 05:18:01 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe666e3… |
| 03-27 05:18:01 | Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 83¢ | $22 | 0xe666e3… |
| 03-10 01:59:03 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xd2fc6a… |
| 03-10 01:59:03 | Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 81¢ | $13 | 0xd2fc6a… |
| 03-10 01:59:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xd2fc6a… |
| 02-19 15:16:56 | Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x81daa8… |
| 02-19 15:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x78d2…7a2b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x81daa8… |
| 02-16 16:06:55 | (anonymous) 0x98fe…bc9e | No | SELL | 12 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xfaa3b3… |
| 02-16 16:06:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 12 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xfaa3b3… |
| 02-16 13:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x98fe…bc9e | No | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xc6652f… |
| 02-16 13:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x75d1…7a5f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xc6652f… |
| 02-16 13:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x75d1…7a5f | No | BUY | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xd1c6ab… |
| 02-16 13:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x98fe…bc9e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xd1c6ab… |
| 02-16 13:34:33 | (anonymous) 0x98fe…bc9e | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x5e0040… |
| 02-16 13:34:33 | (anonymous) 0x78d2…7a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x5e0040… |
| 02-16 13:33:41 | Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 48¢ | $4 | 0x972446… |
| 02-16 13:33:41 | (anonymous) 0x98fe…bc9e | No | BUY | 9 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x972446… |
| 02-04 02:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x5c90…8fac | No | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xf7ef0f… |
| 02-04 02:03:46 | Right-Destination 0x477f…19aa | Yes | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xf7ef0f… |