Will Marcos Llorente be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
open
Total volume
$1,217
Trades
79
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$1
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-06-02
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-25 10:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-78.5¢
(top1%: 11% YES on $85
vs crowd: 90% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $170 | $49 | +$121 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $91 | $65 | +$26 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $397 | $3 | +$394 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $380 | — | +$380 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $10 | $75 | $65 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $395 | — | +$395 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Median | 1 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| Below median | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $64 | $2 | +$63 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $11 | $4 | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $160 | $26 | +$134 |
| unranked | 6 | $375 | — | +$375 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | +298 | $26 | $26 | 6 | 05-25 00:45 |
| Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | No | +283 | $53 | $53 | 4 | 05-24 20:55 |
| Infinite-Likelihood 0xcba9…f82b | Yes | +273 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 05-24 18:16 |
| Grubby-Ballet 0x8496…27b6 | Yes | +271 | $242 | $242 | 6 | 05-25 09:39 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +164 | $22 | $22 | 6 | 05-25 00:42 |
| Thunderous-Process 0xeae0…5ea9 | Yes | +141 | $137 | $137 | 2 | 05-25 00:52 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | +100 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 05-23 17:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-22 12:45 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +67 | $51 | $105 | 5 | 05-25 02:18 |
| Key-Shade 0x437b…fab1 | Yes | +65 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 05-25 10:17 |
| Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | No | +60 | $0 | $3 | 7 | 05-25 10:17 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +55 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-25 00:52 |
| Ill-Moment-Fact 0x1491…2997 | Yes | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-23 18:39 |
| Shocking-Nightclub 0x3f8f…75ee | Yes | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-23 18:35 |
| Ringed-Skull 0x7b73…e9f3 | Yes | +35 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-24 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 10:17 |
| Enlightened-Worshiper 0x2ef9…7a60 | Yes | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-24 10:52 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +18 | $1 | $10 | 5 | 05-25 06:56 |
| Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | +11 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-24 20:15 |
| All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | Yes | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-21 16:10 |
| Astonishing-Merit 0x12ca…bd2d | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-25 06:56 |
| Thunderous-Clutch 0x3c15…45a0 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-24 20:15 |
| Visible-Tone 0x0c09…fdc6 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-24 18:52 |
| Crowded-Acceptance 0xa34d…b57f | Yes | +1 | $1 | $10 | 3 | 05-25 06:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 10:17:54 | Key-Shade 0x437b…fab1 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x0ca1ab… |
| 05-25 10:17:54 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | No | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0ca1ab… |
| 05-25 10:17:45 | Key-Shade 0x437b…fab1 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xca86fd… |
| 05-25 10:17:45 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xca86fd… |
| 05-25 09:39:17 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | No | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x62af8b… |
| 05-25 09:39:17 | Grubby-Ballet 0x8496…27b6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x62af8b… |
| 05-25 09:39:06 | Grubby-Ballet 0x8496…27b6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x687f2c… |
| 05-25 09:39:06 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | No | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x687f2c… |
| 05-25 06:56:18 | Crowded-Acceptance 0xa34d…b57f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x15ca54… |
| 05-25 06:56:18 | Astonishing-Merit 0x12ca…bd2d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x65ac02… |
| 05-25 06:56:18 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 1 | 40¢ | $0 | 0x15ca54… |
| 05-25 06:56:18 | Crowded-Acceptance 0xa34d…b57f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x65ac02… |
| 05-25 02:18:17 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x0784e5… |
| 05-25 02:18:17 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 79¢ | $7 | 0x0784e5… |
| 05-25 02:18:17 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x0784e5… |
| 05-25 02:17:12 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x477f49… |
| 05-25 02:17:12 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x477f49… |
| 05-25 01:16:00 | Decent-Corporal 0xb8ee…9e81 | No | BUY | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x415e58… |
| 05-25 01:16:00 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | No | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x415e58… |
| 05-25 00:52:58 | Crowded-Acceptance 0xa34d…b57f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x26c9f5… |
| 05-25 00:52:58 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x26c9f5… |
| 05-25 00:52:51 | Thunderous-Process 0xeae0…5ea9 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 95¢ | $52 | 0xe9a5f1… |
| 05-25 00:52:51 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xe9a5f1… |
| 05-25 00:51:55 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | No | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xff065e… |
| 05-25 00:51:55 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0xff065e… |
| 05-25 00:46:33 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | No | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc5ceef… |
| 05-25 00:46:33 | Grubby-Ballet 0x8496…27b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc5ceef… |
| 05-25 00:45:58 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x9d33f9… |
| 05-25 00:45:58 | Grubby-Ballet 0x8496…27b6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x9d33f9… |
| 05-25 00:42:17 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 17 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xc42cab… |
| 05-25 00:42:17 | Grubby-Ballet 0x8496…27b6 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 87¢ | $15 | 0xc42cab… |
| 05-25 00:41:30 | Grubby-Ballet 0x8496…27b6 | Yes | BUY | 128 | 86¢ | $110 | 0x92d582… |
| 05-25 00:41:30 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x92d582… |
| 05-25 00:41:30 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x92d582… |
| 05-25 00:41:30 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x92d582… |
| 05-25 00:41:30 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 92 | 14¢ | $13 | 0x92d582… |
| 05-24 20:55:08 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 9 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x9c146c… |
| 05-24 20:55:08 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x9c146c… |
| 05-24 20:55:08 | Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | No | BUY | 28 | 26¢ | $7 | 0x9c146c… |
| 05-24 20:54:37 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x52b441… |
| 05-24 20:54:37 | Astonishing-Merit 0x12ca…bd2d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x52b441… |
| 05-24 20:15:53 | Thunderous-Clutch 0x3c15…45a0 | No | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9ed590… |
| 05-24 20:15:53 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x9ed590… |
| 05-24 18:52:38 | Thunderous-Clutch 0x3c15…45a0 | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf05ab2… |
| 05-24 18:52:38 | Visible-Tone 0x0c09…fdc6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf05ab2… |
| 05-24 18:16:51 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 18 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xea3114… |
| 05-24 18:16:51 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xea3114… |
| 05-24 18:16:51 | Infinite-Likelihood 0xcba9…f82b | Yes | BUY | 273 | 88¢ | $240 | 0xea3114… |
| 05-24 18:16:51 | Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | No | BUY | 55 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xea3114… |
| 05-24 12:19:28 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x54423e… |
| 05-24 12:19:28 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x54423e… |
| 05-24 12:19:28 | Ringed-Skull 0x7b73…e9f3 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 87¢ | $30 | 0x54423e… |
| 05-24 10:52:54 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x521117… |
| 05-24 10:52:54 | Enlightened-Worshiper 0x2ef9…7a60 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x521117… |
| 05-24 10:52:47 | Enlightened-Worshiper 0x2ef9…7a60 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x8b4399… |
| 05-24 10:52:47 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x8b4399… |
| 05-24 10:44:16 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1bf673… |
| 05-24 10:44:16 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1bf673… |
| 05-23 18:39:46 | Ill-Moment-Fact 0x1491…2997 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x5ecd65… |
| 05-23 18:39:46 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x5ecd65… |
| 05-23 18:35:32 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x8706d8… |
| 05-23 18:35:32 | Shocking-Nightclub 0x3f8f…75ee | Yes | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x8706d8… |
| 05-23 18:35:32 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8706d8… |
| 05-23 17:04:53 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 78¢ | $78 | 0x2add84… |
| 05-23 17:04:53 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0xa57f11… |
| 05-23 17:04:53 | Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | No | BUY | 100 | 18¢ | $18 | 0xa57f11… |
| 05-23 17:04:53 | Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | No | BUY | 100 | 22¢ | $22 | 0x2add84… |
| 05-22 12:45:27 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 86 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa87eb1… |
| 05-22 12:45:27 | Thunderous-Process 0xeae0…5ea9 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 99¢ | $85 | 0xa87eb1… |
| 05-21 16:10:27 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x84a3ea… |
| 05-21 16:10:27 | All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x84a3ea… |
| 05-19 05:33:36 | Tidy-Reparation 0xbebc…2b94 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x723c11… |
| 05-19 05:33:36 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x723c11… |
| 05-14 16:36:07 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | No | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9a9ea5… |
| 05-14 16:36:07 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x9a9ea5… |
| 05-12 18:22:15 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xb584a7… |
| 05-12 18:22:15 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb584a7… |
| 05-06 08:29:34 | Tidy-Reparation 0xbebc…2b94 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xeef1e4… |
| 05-06 08:29:34 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeef1e4… |