Will Trump say "Egghead" in May?
open
Total volume
$339
Trades
58
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$157
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-04-29
last 06-01 06:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9
vs crowd: 6% YES on $324)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $9 | $65 | $56 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $5 | $71 | $66 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $2 | $145 | $144 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $2 | $24 | $22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $15 | $8 | +$7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $82 | $81 |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $115 | $114 |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | $17 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $56 | $56 |
| unranked | 2 | $0 | $7 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | +155 | $1 | $1 | 9 | 06-01 06:04 |
| Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-01 06:01 |
| Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | +67 | $64 | $64 | 4 | 05-29 07:07 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +56 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-01 06:04 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +52 | $9 | $9 | 7 | 05-31 20:32 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 07:07 |
| Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | +22 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 05-24 01:34 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-01 04:00 |
| Better-Consensus 0xeee3…4696 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-01 06:04 |
| Sarcastic-Commandment 0x8ebf…83ce | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-01 06:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ac3…28f0 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-31 08:37 |
| Ruddy-Con 0x2ebb…0614 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 09:56 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-30 06:22 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-29 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd94f…b250 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x870c…6292 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 06:04 |
| Mammoth-Tributary 0x9142…3a18 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x30e8…f099 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-30 06:22 |
| True-Cannibal 0x9961…3983 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-18 14:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-31 04:18 |
| Wary-Gentleman 0xc90d…c9d2 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-30 03:41 |
| Physical-Eternity 0xbb30…43d6 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-29 08:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-29 08:03 |
| Other-Experimentation 0xdde4…7bfd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 20:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 06:29:30 | Sarcastic-Commandment 0x8ebf…83ce | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xce163d… |
| 06-01 06:29:30 | Bite-Sized-Farmer 0xae69…282f | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xce163d… |
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 56 | 100¢ | $56 | 0xaa54bd… |
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaa54bd… |
| 06-01 06:04:02 | (anonymous) 0x870c…6292 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf6b728… |
| 06-01 06:04:02 | (anonymous) 0x30e8…f099 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x674a8a… |
| 06-01 06:04:02 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6b728… |
| 06-01 06:04:02 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x674a8a… |
| 06-01 06:04:01 | Mammoth-Tributary 0x9142…3a18 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x49736d… |
| 06-01 06:04:01 | Better-Consensus 0xeee3…4696 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd4198c… |
| 06-01 06:04:01 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4198c… |
| 06-01 06:04:01 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x49736d… |
| 06-01 06:01:44 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf87e14… |
| 06-01 06:01:44 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xf87e14… |
| 06-01 04:00:35 | Better-Consensus 0xeee3…4696 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe87ed6… |
| 06-01 04:00:35 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe87ed6… |
| 06-01 04:00:35 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd1d299… |
| 06-01 04:00:35 | (anonymous) 0xd94f…b250 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd1d299… |
| 05-31 20:32:52 | Other-Experimentation 0xdde4…7bfd | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xaa2811… |
| 05-31 20:32:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xaa2811… |
| 05-31 08:37:33 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x151969… |
| 05-31 08:37:33 | (anonymous) 0x9ac3…28f0 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x151969… |
| 05-31 04:18:40 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0aa380… |
| 05-31 04:18:40 | Wealthy-Forage 0xdaca…0d85 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x0aa380… |
| 05-30 06:22:33 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x59f2f3… |
| 05-30 06:22:33 | (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x59f2f3… |
| 05-30 06:22:33 | (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x59f2f3… |
| 05-30 03:41:42 | (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4f714f… |
| 05-30 03:41:42 | Wary-Gentleman 0xc90d…c9d2 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4f714f… |
| 05-29 17:00:20 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x634ab2… |
| 05-29 17:00:20 | Kosher-Twig 0xceb5…f397 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x634ab2… |
| 05-29 07:07:50 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0x404852… |
| 05-29 07:07:50 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x404852… |
| 05-29 07:07:50 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x404852… |
| 05-29 07:04:27 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb22c4c… |
| 05-29 07:04:27 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb22c4c… |
| 05-29 04:31:30 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $11 | 0x0f9552… |
| 05-29 04:31:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0f9552… |
| 05-29 04:31:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc3ed50… |
| 05-29 04:31:25 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xc3ed50… |
| 05-24 01:34:57 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x89854b… |
| 05-24 01:34:57 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x89854b… |
| 05-24 01:30:45 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x7ba5ea… |
| 05-24 01:30:45 | Wealthy-Forage 0xdaca…0d85 | No | BUY | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0x7ba5ea… |
| 05-19 21:40:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xa22302… |
| 05-19 21:40:18 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xa22302… |
| 05-19 21:39:01 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 11 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xe8ea28… |
| 05-19 21:39:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xe8ea28… |
| 05-18 14:48:28 | True-Cannibal 0x9961…3983 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x49f082… |
| 05-18 14:48:28 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x49f082… |
| 05-06 15:03:15 | Kosher-Twig 0xceb5…f397 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x2ba2ee… |
| 05-06 15:03:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2ba2ee… |
| 05-06 09:56:24 | Ruddy-Con 0x2ebb…0614 | No | BUY | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0xb1d9eb… |
| 05-06 09:56:24 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 40¢ | $3 | 0xb1d9eb… |
| 05-05 22:42:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x391013… |
| 05-05 22:42:48 | Bite-Sized-Farmer 0xae69…282f | No | BUY | 9 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x391013… |
| 04-29 08:03:02 | Physical-Eternity 0xbb30…43d6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xfe0347… |
| 04-29 08:03:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xfe0347… |