Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 in 2026?
closed
Total volume
$7,467
Trades
61
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$0
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-01-28
last 01-31 20:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $6.1K
vs crowd: 97% YES on $6.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $6.5K | $33 | +$6.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $15 | $17 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $56 | $183 | $128 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $49 | $4 | +$45 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $6.1K | $2 | +$6.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $364 | $17 | +$346 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $15 | $1 | +$15 |
| Median | 2 | $5 | $0 | +$5 |
| Below median | 11 | $49 | $14 | +$35 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $51 | $8 | +$43 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $176 | $176 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | +6,180 | $6,121 | $6,121 | 14 | 01-31 20:00 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +2,459 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 01-31 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4018…d14a | No | +920 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | No | +595 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | No | +523 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9b4…f03a | No | +341 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-31 19:51 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +254 | $14 | $14 | 5 | 01-31 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x161f…b075 | No | +209 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-31 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2dc…223e | No | +200 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 01-31 19:29 |
| Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | No | +123 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 01-31 19:30 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +109 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 01-31 19:29 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-31 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x1809…4eb7 | Yes | +51 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 01-28 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4575…9628 | No | +42 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 01-31 18:06 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | +33 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 01-31 19:29 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-31 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x9728…0314 | No | +26 | $88 | $264 | 5 | 01-31 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +25 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 01-31 18:06 |
| Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 01-30 20:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $126 | 3 | 01-31 19:29 |
| Friendly-Mastoid 0x293b…5d33 | No | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 01-31 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8b7…14de | No | +19 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-31 19:46 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +12 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 01-31 18:06 |
| Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-31 19:29 |
| Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-31 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x481d…e002 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-31 13:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 20:00:06 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 659 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x576021… |
| 01-31 20:00:06 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 659 | 100¢ | $659 | 0x576021… |
| 01-31 19:51:04 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 341 | 100¢ | $341 | 0x28d34a… |
| 01-31 19:51:04 | (anonymous) 0xe9b4…f03a | No | BUY | 341 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x28d34a… |
| 01-31 19:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x4018…d14a | No | BUY | 920 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x160d33… |
| 01-31 19:49:04 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 1,515 | 100¢ | $1,513 | 0x160d33… |
| 01-31 19:49:04 | (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | No | BUY | 595 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x160d33… |
| 01-31 19:46:28 | (anonymous) 0xf8b7…14de | No | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2164d2… |
| 01-31 19:46:28 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x2164d2… |
| 01-31 19:46:08 | (anonymous) 0x161f…b075 | No | BUY | 209 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x776b24… |
| 01-31 19:46:08 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 209 | 100¢ | $209 | 0x776b24… |
| 01-31 19:44:24 | (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | No | BUY | 523 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4a0b90… |
| 01-31 19:44:24 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 523 | 100¢ | $522 | 0x4a0b90… |
| 01-31 19:43:48 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89da64… |
| 01-31 19:43:48 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 130 | 100¢ | $130 | 0x89da64… |
| 01-31 19:43:48 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89da64… |
| 01-31 19:40:22 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xd5281e… |
| 01-31 19:40:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd5281e… |
| 01-31 19:39:20 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0x2f5d2c… |
| 01-31 19:39:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2f5d2c… |
| 01-31 19:36:34 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 900 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x853697… |
| 01-31 19:36:34 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 900 | 99¢ | $891 | 0x853697… |
| 01-31 19:33:00 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 900 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x747062… |
| 01-31 19:33:00 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 900 | 99¢ | $891 | 0x747062… |
| 01-31 19:30:24 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 112 | 98¢ | $109 | 0x525ed1… |
| 01-31 19:30:24 | Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | No | BUY | 112 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x525ed1… |
| 01-31 19:29:24 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 160 | 99¢ | $159 | 0x3ea997… |
| 01-31 19:29:24 | (anonymous) 0xd2dc…223e | No | BUY | 160 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3ea997… |
| 01-31 19:29:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 97¢ | $62 | 0x27b1f0… |
| 01-31 19:29:08 | (anonymous) 0xd2dc…223e | No | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x27b1f0… |
| 01-31 19:29:08 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 109 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x27b1f0… |
| 01-31 19:29:08 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x27b1f0… |
| 01-31 19:29:08 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x27b1f0… |
| 01-31 19:29:08 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x27b1f0… |
| 01-31 19:29:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x27b1f0… |
| 01-31 19:29:08 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 532 | 94¢ | $500 | 0x27b1f0… |
| 01-31 19:28:16 | (anonymous) 0x9728…0314 | No | SELL | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x13be75… |
| 01-31 19:28:16 | Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | No | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x13be75… |
| 01-31 18:07:02 | (anonymous) 0xf5d0…99f3 | Yes | SELL | 133 | 88¢ | $117 | 0x340648… |
| 01-31 18:07:02 | (anonymous) 0x9728…0314 | No | SELL | 133 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x340648… |
| 01-31 18:06:44 | Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 88¢ | $352 | 0xbc67c7… |
| 01-31 18:06:44 | Friendly-Mastoid 0x293b…5d33 | No | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xbc67c7… |
| 01-31 18:06:44 | (anonymous) 0x2b56…6431 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xbc67c7… |
| 01-31 18:06:44 | (anonymous) 0x9728…0314 | No | SELL | 557 | 13¢ | $71 | 0xbc67c7… |
| 01-31 18:06:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xbc67c7… |
| 01-31 18:06:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 60 | 13¢ | $8 | 0xbc67c7… |
| 01-31 18:06:44 | (anonymous) 0x4575…9628 | No | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xbc67c7… |
| 01-31 18:06:44 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xbc67c7… |
| 01-31 13:04:52 | (anonymous) 0x2b56…6431 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xb72e3c… |
| 01-31 13:04:52 | (anonymous) 0x481d…e002 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xb72e3c… |
| 01-30 20:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x9728…0314 | No | BUY | 213 | 23¢ | $50 | 0x68cd31… |
| 01-30 20:11:34 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x68cd31… |
| 01-30 20:11:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 76¢ | $23 | 0x68cd31… |
| 01-30 20:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xf5d0…99f3 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 76¢ | $51 | 0x68cd31… |
| 01-30 19:06:24 | (anonymous) 0x2b56…6431 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x13b24a… |
| 01-30 19:06:24 | (anonymous) 0x9728…0314 | No | BUY | 514 | 25¢ | $126 | 0x13b24a… |
| 01-30 19:06:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 76¢ | $41 | 0x13b24a… |
| 01-30 19:06:24 | Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 75¢ | $300 | 0x13b24a… |
| 01-28 11:56:47 | (anonymous) 0x1809…4eb7 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x672f39… |
| 01-28 11:56:47 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x672f39… |
| 01-28 11:56:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 44 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x672f39… |