Will Lloyds fail by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$485
$80 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$273
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-06-15
last 06-29 23:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $0 | $329 | $329 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | $136 | $136 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $347 | $347 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $136 | $136 |
| Below median | 7 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 13 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +433 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-24 05:22 |
| Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | +330 | $329 | $329 | 1 | 06-24 05:22 |
| Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | +136 | $136 | $136 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-15 12:36 |
| Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 12:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x9862…9f3d | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-22 15:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 23:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 23:31:58 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 136 | 100¢ | $136 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-29 23:31:58 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb08cc3… |
| 06-24 05:22:52 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 330 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xec1bdc… |
| 06-24 05:22:52 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 330 | 100¢ | $329 | 0xec1bdc… |
| 06-22 15:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8bbfb4… |
| 06-22 15:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x9862…9f3d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x8bbfb4… |
| 06-19 14:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04033b… |
| 06-19 14:04:40 | Tender-Multimedia 0x8d98…b6ae | Yes | SELL | 95 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04033b… |
| 06-15 12:36:16 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa0975b… |
| 06-15 12:36:16 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa0975b… |