S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 15? | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$250

Trades

20

Unique wallets

15

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-10-15

First seen

2026-10-15

last 10-15 19:33

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Nonstop-Knitting +50 Close-Breastplate +40 Voluminous-Lava +20 (anon) +20 (anon) +20 Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk +20 (anon) +20 Writhing-Retention +20

NO holders

(anon) +100 Snarling-Pantology +40 Criminal-Toffee +40 Essential-Establishment +20 Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk +20 (anon) +10

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -1.4¢ (top1%: 1% YES on $59 vs crowd: 2% YES on $240)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	5	$1	$59	$57
🐬 Dolphin	6	$4	$166	$163
🐟 Fish	4	$0	$10	$10

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	6	$0	$59	$58
🏆 Top 5%	3	$0	$100	$100
Below median	2	—	$48	$48
💀 Bottom 1%	4	$4	$29	$24

Wallet leaderboard (16) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0xbcbf…75a9	No	+100	$100	$100	1	10-15 19:33
Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9	Yes	+50	$0	$0	1	10-15 19:33
Close-Breastplate 0x2651…3471	Yes	+40	$1	$1	2	10-15 05:18
Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851	No	+40	$39	$39	2	10-15 05:18
Criminal-Toffee 0xbda5…fa16	No	+40	$38	$38	1	10-15 00:30
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	Yes	+20	$0	$0	1	10-15 10:39
(anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9	Yes	+20	$0	$0	1	10-15 19:33
(anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2	Yes	+20	$1	$1	1	10-15 00:30
Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc	Yes	+20	$1	$1	1	10-15 00:30
(anonymous) 0xf2f2…d1f0	Yes	+20	$1	$1	1	10-15 00:30
Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389	Yes	+20	$0	$0	1	10-15 19:33
Essential-Establishment 0xcbd0…dec4	No	+20	$20	$20	1	10-15 10:39
Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc	No	+20	$19	$19	1	10-15 00:30
Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c	Yes	+10	$0	$0	1	10-15 04:57
(anonymous) 0xf2f2…d1f0	No	+10	$10	$10	1	10-15 05:24
Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6	Yes	+10	$0	$0	1	10-15 19:33