Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$43,002
Trades
3,530
Unique wallets
803
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
33¢
Latest NO mid
67¢
End date
2026-10-22
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-22 00:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.4¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $20.7K
vs crowd: 18% YES on $40.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 184 | $4.3K | $19.2K | $14.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 222 | $1.6K | $10.5K | $8.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 245 | $749 | $2.8K | $2.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 152 | $374 | $481 | $108 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 177 | $4.1K | $16.5K | $12.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 108 | $349 | $4.0K | $3.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 48 | $55 | $850 | $795 |
| Median | 37 | $61 | $67 | $5 |
| Below median | 166 | $358 | $988 | $630 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 97 | $231 | $2.1K | $1.9K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 107 | $659 | $3.9K | $3.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 63 | $1.2K | $4.5K | $3.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x6c8b…645c | Up | +6,000 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +3,038 | $2,779 | $2,779 | 38 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xa35d…d57b | Down | +2,324 | $2,100 | $2,100 | 5 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e77…25f8 | Down | +2,000 | $1,980 | $1,980 | 1 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Worse-Rectangle 0x6ba2…8d0e | Up | +1,500 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | +1,500 | $1,485 | $1,485 | 10 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +1,491 | $558 | $558 | 31 | 10-22 00:13 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Down | +1,427 | $657 | $657 | 31 | 10-22 00:10 |
| Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | +1,200 | $1,188 | $1,188 | 1 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Down | +997 | $987 | $987 | 6 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Edible-Terrapin 0xf786…197f | Up | +996 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x8296…b820 | Up | +934 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb72…1ac1 | Down | +856 | $847 | $847 | 8 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +818 | $194 | $194 | 34 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | +800 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | +800 | $792 | $792 | 2 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | +775 | $767 | $767 | 3 | 10-22 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +732 | $201 | $201 | 48 | 10-22 00:13 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +700 | $7 | $7 | 15 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +665 | $444 | $444 | 30 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Coarse-Nonsense 0x8231…c02e | Down | +663 | $656 | $656 | 3 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +656 | $96 | $96 | 25 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +577 | $311 | $311 | 48 | 10-22 00:13 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +547 | $217 | $217 | 22 | 10-22 00:11 |
| Remote-Banjo 0xff4a…ffae | Up | +540 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +539 | $345 | $345 | 36 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xd689…6ec7 | Up | +535 | $289 | $289 | 1 | 10-22 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +514 | $186 | $186 | 26 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x6940…1c6c | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 1 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 2 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +480 | $68 | $68 | 34 | 10-22 00:13 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +458 | $296 | $296 | 22 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +457 | $185 | $185 | 23 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Down | +437 | $310 | $310 | 7 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +422 | $266 | $266 | 24 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +413 | $5 | $5 | 19 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +385 | $49 | $49 | 24 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4cd…c041 | Up | +364 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e8…ac4c | Down | +357 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 10-22 00:10 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +351 | $63 | $63 | 19 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x62c2…81a8 | Up | +347 | $175 | $175 | 12 | 10-22 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Up | +336 | $37 | $37 | 10 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | +332 | $253 | $253 | 6 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5326…7510 | Up | +320 | $3 | $3 | 10 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x71c8…768a | Up | +319 | $40 | $160 | 2 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Up | +316 | $37 | $37 | 8 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Up | +315 | $18 | $18 | 6 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xddfa…915d | Up | +310 | $22 | $22 | 6 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x7612…0073 | Up | +307 | $22 | $22 | 7 | 10-22 00:13 |
| Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Down | +300 | $294 | $294 | 1 | 10-22 00:14 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +295 | $280 | $280 | 2 | 10-22 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xac92…4ad7 | Down | +283 | $280 | $280 | 3 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +275 | $86 | $86 | 9 | 10-22 00:14 |
| Grubby-Min 0x5ca0…fc36 | Down | +255 | $252 | $252 | 2 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9587…c10a | Down | +250 | $248 | $248 | 1 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b89…cb5a | Down | +250 | $248 | $248 | 1 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +249 | $187 | $187 | 10 | 10-22 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +248 | $167 | $167 | 8 | 10-22 00:13 |
| Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Down | +223 | $212 | $488 | 4 | 10-22 00:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 00:16:20 | (anonymous) 0x2c18…bc7a | Down | SELL | 69 | 100¢ | $69 | 0x4a6aa8… |
| 10-22 00:16:20 | Quarterly-Lag 0xba8c…e77d | Down | BUY | 69 | 100¢ | $69 | 0x4a6aa8… |
| 10-22 00:16:17 | Quarterly-Lag 0xba8c…e77d | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x75610a… |
| 10-22 00:16:17 | Yawning-Neonate 0x4e13…b20b | Down | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x75610a… |
| 10-22 00:16:15 | Advanced-Semester-Compress 0x85a4…c4af | Down | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xc837c4… |
| 10-22 00:16:15 | Quarterly-Lag 0xba8c…e77d | Down | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xc837c4… |
| 10-22 00:15:02 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 44 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x91c1dc… |
| 10-22 00:15:02 | (anonymous) 0x9a92…8c3d | Down | SELL | 44 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x91c1dc… |
| 10-22 00:14:45 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x2353f1… |
| 10-22 00:14:45 | Jaunty-Parachute 0xc8fc…6a69 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2353f1… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | (anonymous) 0xda43…61ee | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | (anonymous) 0x8e77…25f8 | Down | BUY | 2,000 | 99¢ | $1,980 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | Neighboring-Transmission-Week 0x0936…672e | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 1,200 | 99¢ | $1,188 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 631 | 99¢ | $625 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | (anonymous) 0x6940…1c6c | Down | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $495 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | (anonymous) 0xfb72…1ac1 | Down | BUY | 107 | 99¢ | $106 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | (anonymous) 0x6c8b…645c | Up | BUY | 6,000 | 1¢ | $60 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | (anonymous) 0xda43…61ee | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | Grubby-Min 0x5ca0…fc36 | Down | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 57 | 99¢ | $56 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | (anonymous) 0xbc04…6bb0 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:44 | Welcome-Crest 0xf357…10b6 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x4961ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:36 | (anonymous) 0x4704…7358 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xf1b675… |
| 10-22 00:14:36 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf1b675… |
| 10-22 00:14:35 | (anonymous) 0xe7ee…c3a4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6c6efe… |
| 10-22 00:14:35 | Spherical-Bolt 0x4b40…d1f8 | Down | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x6c6efe… |
| 10-22 00:14:35 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5f1f8b… |
| 10-22 00:14:35 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5f1f8b… |
| 10-22 00:14:35 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x865022… |
| 10-22 00:14:35 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x865022… |
| 10-22 00:14:35 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c6efe… |
| 10-22 00:14:35 | (anonymous) 0xcf5f…9a7f | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x6c6efe… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | (anonymous) 0x78f4…4dfc | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa4b7ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | Coarse-Nonsense 0x8231…c02e | Up | BUY | 105 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4c4cb1… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | (anonymous) 0xe8ad…00b8 | Down | BUY | 105 | 99¢ | $104 | 0x4c4cb1… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | (anonymous) 0xf163…0783 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xa4b7ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | Chilly-Mukluk-Handful 0x193e…22e6 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa4b7ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | Quick-Witted-Beastie 0xe807…8d4d | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xa4b7ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Down | BUY | 66 | 99¢ | $65 | 0xa4b7ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | (anonymous) 0xcf5f…9a7f | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xc42fa1… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | Wicked-Suede 0x57f0…f45b | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc42fa1… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | (anonymous) 0x5c75…23e6 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xc42fa1… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | (anonymous) 0xe8ad…00b8 | Down | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xc42fa1… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Up | BUY | 160 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa4b7ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:33 | (anonymous) 0xe8ad…00b8 | Down | BUY | 72 | 99¢ | $71 | 0xa4b7ae… |
| 10-22 00:14:32 | (anonymous) 0xd4e0…b12e | Down | SELL | 43 | 99¢ | $42 | 0x8c2dd5… |
| 10-22 00:14:32 | Crisp-Handlebar 0x0502…513b | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x8c2dd5… |
| 10-22 00:14:32 | (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Down | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x8c2dd5… |
| 10-22 00:14:30 | Dishonest-Statue 0xb8f8…0f26 | Down | SELL | 160 | 99¢ | $158 | 0x07ba78… |
| 10-22 00:14:30 | (anonymous) 0x20ca…c478 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x07ba78… |
| 10-22 00:14:30 | Crisp-Handlebar 0x0502…513b | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x07ba78… |
| 10-22 00:14:30 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Down | BUY | 135 | 99¢ | $134 | 0x07ba78… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | (anonymous) 0xac92…4ad7 | Down | BUY | 160 | 99¢ | $158 | 0x2c1bab… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | BUY | 140 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4f34f3… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 140 | 99¢ | $139 | 0x4f34f3… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | (anonymous) 0x0db9…eb5c | Down | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xd103c7… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | Remote-Banjo 0xff4a…ffae | Up | BUY | 490 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x2023b1… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | (anonymous) 0xb41b…37a2 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x2023b1… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xd103c7… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x2023b1… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | (anonymous) 0x91a9…44b8 | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x2023b1… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | (anonymous) 0x78e0…7e2e | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x2023b1… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | Forceful-Nick 0x5695…60e9 | Down | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x2023b1… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | (anonymous) 0xac92…4ad7 | Down | BUY | 98 | 99¢ | $98 | 0x2023b1… |
| 10-22 00:14:27 | (anonymous) 0x883a…0827 | Up | BUY | 160 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x2c1bab… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x6d9d5a… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x1b89…cb5a | Down | BUY | 250 | 99¢ | $248 | 0x01c373… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4800a0… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0xd749…9b2c | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x01c373… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 800 | 1¢ | $8 | 0x2f8fa0… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x91f2e9… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 731 | 99¢ | $724 | 0x4800a0… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0xb4cd…c041 | Up | BUY | 364 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xb4da66… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x91f2e9… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x01c373… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | Worse-Rectangle 0x6ba2…8d0e | Up | BUY | 1,500 | 1¢ | $15 | 0x4800a0… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Down | BUY | 800 | 99¢ | $792 | 0x2f8fa0… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | Coarse-Nonsense 0x8231…c02e | Down | BUY | 199 | 99¢ | $197 | 0x01c373… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0x4800a0… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x809f…2ef0 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4800a0… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x373b…c855 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4800a0… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0xac92…4ad7 | Down | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x91f2e9… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x01c373… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 175 | 99¢ | $173 | 0x4800a0… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x1995…08e9 | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x2c4ada… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | Coarse-Nonsense 0x8231…c02e | Down | BUY | 364 | 99¢ | $360 | 0xb4da66… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0xf163…0783 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x91f2e9… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4800a0… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0xbfeb…5df0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4800a0… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 325 | 99¢ | $322 | 0x4800a0… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x2c4ada… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x8296…b820 | Up | BUY | 934 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x01c373… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x9587…c10a | Down | BUY | 250 | 99¢ | $248 | 0x01c373… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0xe6b6…bc24 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x791955… |
| 10-22 00:14:26 | (anonymous) 0xbfa0…cd6d | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4800a0… |