Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$34,750

Trades

3,986

Unique wallets

794

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-08-09

First seen

2026-08-09

last 08-09 00:55

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +3,062 (anon) +2,257 Unlawful-Shear +1,905 (anon) +1,113 Popular-Insurrection +1,076 (anon) +891 (anon) +839 (anon) +576

NO holders

Unlawful-Shear +2,334 Insignificant-Summary +1,638 Popular-Insurrection +1,152 (anon) +992 (anon) +887 (anon) +853 (anon) +826 Nice-Trapdoor +809

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +1.0¢ (top1%: 65% YES on $19.0K vs crowd: 64% YES on $34.0K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	136	$11.2K	$7.7K	+$3.5K
🐬 Dolphin	214	$8.3K	$3.1K	+$5.3K
🐟 Fish	289	$1.6K	$1.2K	+$473
🦐 Shrimp	155	$536	$388	+$148

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	151	$12.3K	$6.7K	+$5.6K
🏆 Top 5%	87	$1.0K	$703	+$330
✅ Top 10%	45	$414	$207	+$206
Median	56	$115	$86	+$29
Below median	159	$667	$463	+$204
⚠️ Bottom 10%	116	$723	$563	+$160
🔻 Bottom 5%	116	$4.2K	$1.0K	+$3.2K
💀 Bottom 1%	64	$2.3K	$2.6K	$327

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x15c1…507a	Up	+3,062	$3,031	$3,031	17	08-09 00:54
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Down	+2,334	$1,207	$1,207	307	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x1086…330a	Up	+2,257	$823	$823	4	08-09 00:54
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Up	+1,905	$1,000	$1,000	283	08-09 00:54
Insignificant-Summary 0x1150…1054	Down	+1,638	$20	$20	1	08-09 00:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+1,152	$709	$709	61	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	Up	+1,113	$1,094	$1,094	25	08-09 00:55
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+1,076	$654	$654	37	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Down	+992	$454	$454	44	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Up	+891	$451	$451	27	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Down	+887	$394	$394	56	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x04ea…de3c	Down	+853	$14	$14	12	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Up	+839	$539	$539	49	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x4705…d03e	Down	+826	$462	$462	42	08-09 00:54
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Down	+809	$476	$476	44	08-09 00:54
Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df	Down	+700	$7	$7	1	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0xffb9…f50b	Down	+683	$600	$600	1	08-09 00:53
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Down	+641	$246	$246	25	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0xfcf2…f765	Up	+576	$400	$400	4	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Down	+566	$356	$356	36	08-09 00:54
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Up	+518	$205	$205	46	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	Up	+515	$460	$460	31	08-09 00:54
Determined-Mist 0xec44…9b7b	Down	+500	$40	$40	12	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	Down	+496	$268	$268	27	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Up	+482	$353	$353	38	08-09 00:54
Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b	Up	+480	$222	$222	12	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0xfcf2…f765	Down	+474	$300	$300	3	08-09 00:50
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Up	+465	$280	$280	11	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x4705…d03e	Up	+453	$126	$126	28	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x82c8…da77	Down	+447	$275	$275	28	08-09 00:52
Playful-Towtruck 0x206b…7d6a	Down	+445	$186	$186	53	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x82c8…da77	Up	+423	$156	$156	39	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x8441…bc73	Down	+412	$238	$238	60	08-09 00:54
Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123	Up	+400	$392	$392	3	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x4483…54c6	Down	+400	$24	$24	1	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x8441…bc73	Up	+352	$97	$97	25	08-09 00:54
Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604	Up	+347	$344	$344	2	08-09 00:54
Threadbare-Girdle 0x9020…5f4b	Up	+342	$333	$333	6	08-09 00:54
Threadbare-Girdle 0x9020…5f4b	Down	+342	$7	$7	16	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x9b89…8011	Down	+325	$11	$11	23	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0xca71…719a	Down	+324	$215	$215	13	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0xdb10…5080	Down	+321	$149	$149	68	08-09 00:54
Legitimate-Randomization 0x1faa…ad8a	Down	+302	$0	$13	9	08-09 00:54
Juvenile-Distance 0x081c…bfb1	Down	+302	$157	$157	6	08-09 00:54
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Up	+300	$265	$265	3	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x8d9a…50db	Down	+300	$6	$6	14	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x797f…37e8	Down	+300	$6	$6	13	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6	Up	+294	$204	$204	8	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x95a0…8b8c	Down	+294	$200	$200	2	08-09 00:52
Extroverted-Sting 0xc90e…2a62	Up	+286	$280	$280	14	08-09 00:54
Few-Still 0xbc42…712c	Up	+279	$275	$275	4	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x0f4d…2f50	Up	+265	$106	$106	16	08-09 00:51
(anonymous) 0x3eeb…7160	Down	+250	$5	$5	1	08-09 00:54
Drab-Wonder-Plight 0xa407…3e06	Down	+247	$92	$92	4	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0xc533…69a9	Up	+240	$151	$151	8	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x3fee…93f2	Up	+224	$222	$222	2	08-09 00:54
Oval-Yoyo 0xbdcc…0558	Up	+216	$200	$200	2	08-09 00:54
Actual-Gran 0xdaee…8559	Up	+215	$139	$139	3	08-09 00:54
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	Up	+201	$189	$189	5	08-09 00:54
Grave-Coconut 0x986b…bdc6	Up	+200	$127	$127	1	08-09 00:54