Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$399
$580 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$146
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 16:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $27
vs crowd: 12% YES on $398)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $137 | $137 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $48 | $213 | $166 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $27 | $27 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $21 | $233 | $212 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $22 | $20 |
| Median | 5 | $4 | $3 | +$1 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $44 | $43 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| unranked | 3 | $21 | $7 | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | +107 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 05-08 14:29 |
| Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | +100 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-08 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-08 16:01 |
| Reasonable-Protection 0xb94a…d680 | No | +69 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 05-08 15:16 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +39 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-08 09:29 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +38 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-08 08:10 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-08 09:29 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-08 08:10 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-08 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2ed…9d98 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 15:16 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 20:01 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 15:16 |
| Intrepid-Stone 0x2845…b637 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 15:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ba5…191e | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 11:24 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 04:43 |
| Posh-Octagon 0x5cf5…c655 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 15:16 |
| Mammoth-Lever 0xbe60…c2f7 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 15:16 |
| Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 05:37 |
| Essential-Shell 0x164c…3e39 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 11:24 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 10:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x3213…7421 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 15:16 |
| Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x1250…db19 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 07:59 |
| Decisive-Nanoparticle 0x9623…1cfe | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xa824…a606 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 15:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 16:01:05 | (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x090b09… |
| 05-08 15:42:18 | Another-Journey 0xe752…2200 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6358fc… |
| 05-08 15:27:25 | Woozy-Retina 0x658b…84bf | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7469b5… |
| 05-08 15:16:50 | Intrepid-Stone 0x2845…b637 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x36c12f… |
| 05-08 15:16:48 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x163c63… |
| 05-08 15:16:43 | Posh-Octagon 0x5cf5…c655 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x4ce2d0… |
| 05-08 15:16:43 | (anonymous) 0xa2ed…9d98 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x9082b4… |
| 05-08 15:16:43 | Mammoth-Lever 0xbe60…c2f7 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x4ad0bd… |
| 05-08 15:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x3213…7421 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x66a750… |
| 05-08 15:16:43 | (anonymous) 0xa824…a606 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x1bf8d7… |
| 05-08 15:16:40 | Reasonable-Protection 0xb94a…d680 | No | BUY | 69 | 88¢ | $61 | 0xe7c5bd… |
| 05-08 14:29:53 | Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x03a1d3… |
| 05-08 14:29:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xc47c62… |
| 05-08 12:44:58 | Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 19¢ | $18 | 0xac6198… |
| 05-08 12:44:48 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | BUY | 100 | 18¢ | $18 | 0x1f6e0d… |
| 05-08 11:24:39 | (anonymous) 0x0ba5…191e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x96060b… |
| 05-08 11:24:35 | Essential-Shell 0x164c…3e39 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8cdacb… |
| 05-08 10:29:24 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xfc7ae6… |
| 05-08 09:34:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x89040f… |
| 05-08 09:29:44 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xeb3104… |
| 05-08 09:29:44 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 39 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x2446ee… |
| 05-08 08:10:13 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 38 | 95¢ | $36 | 0xed0bec… |
| 05-08 08:10:12 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 28 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x42e037… |
| 05-08 05:37:53 | Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x18dd1b… |
| 05-08 04:32:17 | Dearest-Cue 0x9987…fc18 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x5aaa43… |
| 05-07 23:21:19 | Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x18a158… |
| 05-07 21:55:09 | Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xb855c8… |
| 05-07 20:01:49 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 11 | 56¢ | $6 | 0xf29b8e… |
| 05-07 12:55:43 | Decisive-Nanoparticle 0x9623…1cfe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x93b181… |
| 05-07 07:59:35 | (anonymous) 0x1250…db19 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xf1b0ac… |
| 05-07 04:43:34 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x1105d6… |