Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$25,939
Trades
2,837
Unique wallets
661
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
39¢
Latest NO mid
61¢
End date
2026-10-10
First seen
2026-10-10
last 10-10 20:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.3¢
(top1%: 32% YES on $14.5K
vs crowd: 33% YES on $23.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 140 | $4.4K | $10.6K | $6.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 189 | $2.2K | $3.7K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 195 | $693 | $1.1K | $419 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 137 | $462 | $507 | $44 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 153 | $4.6K | $9.9K | $5.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 67 | $419 | $1.2K | $778 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 31 | $94 | $293 | $200 |
| Median | 49 | $77 | $323 | $247 |
| Below median | 133 | $416 | $518 | $102 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 94 | $443 | $694 | $250 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 92 | $724 | $1.3K | $615 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 42 | $1.0K | $1.6K | $579 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +1,653 | $702 | $702 | 7 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +1,495 | $1,003 | $1,003 | 7 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +1,415 | $858 | $858 | 41 | 10-10 20:34 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +1,404 | $869 | $869 | 48 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +1,390 | $549 | $549 | 63 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x418e…edca | Up | +1,262 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 10-10 20:34 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | +1,038 | $63 | $63 | 28 | 10-10 20:33 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +572 | $347 | $347 | 3 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +498 | $283 | $283 | 14 | 10-10 20:33 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +498 | $289 | $289 | 1 | 10-10 20:33 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +496 | $270 | $270 | 36 | 10-10 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e51…d214 | Up | +494 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 10-10 20:32 |
| Sore-Stepuncle 0x76b8…6aa1 | Up | +488 | $200 | $600 | 3 | 10-10 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Up | +481 | $228 | $228 | 4 | 10-10 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xa9a7…fa09 | Down | +479 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-10 20:33 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +467 | $209 | $209 | 32 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | +415 | $391 | $391 | 2 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 10-10 20:34 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +392 | $11 | $11 | 31 | 10-10 20:34 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +374 | $370 | $370 | 12 | 10-10 20:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +355 | $244 | $244 | 13 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +341 | $147 | $147 | 13 | 10-10 20:33 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +320 | $125 | $125 | 39 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +313 | $167 | $167 | 13 | 10-10 20:33 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +304 | $197 | $197 | 36 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Down | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-10 20:34 |
| Watchful-Milk 0xdb1d…b6c2 | Up | +300 | $126 | $126 | 5 | 10-10 20:29 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +298 | $192 | $192 | 9 | 10-10 20:34 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +288 | $119 | $119 | 11 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +283 | $121 | $121 | 23 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +274 | $115 | $115 | 8 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +270 | $146 | $146 | 20 | 10-10 20:32 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +270 | $75 | $75 | 19 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd131…2ee7 | Down | +266 | $240 | $240 | 4 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x32e0…58be | Down | +243 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 10-10 20:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Up | +222 | $71 | $71 | 20 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +221 | $102 | $102 | 6 | 10-10 20:33 |
| Equatorial-Dwelling 0x3c03…474f | Up | +220 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 10-10 20:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x424e…263b | Down | +220 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xd901…8e14 | Down | +213 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 10-10 20:33 |
| Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf | Up | +205 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Down | +203 | $150 | $150 | 6 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x14fe…38de | Up | +200 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 10-10 20:34 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Down | +200 | $196 | $196 | 2 | 10-10 20:34 |
| Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d8d…1167 | Down | +198 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-10 20:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +198 | $124 | $124 | 22 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +198 | $78 | $78 | 23 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | +198 | $138 | $138 | 19 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5324…cc22 | Up | +192 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-10 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | +192 | $186 | $186 | 6 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +189 | $129 | $129 | 28 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bdf…1eb3 | Down | +179 | $173 | $173 | 3 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +179 | $122 | $122 | 18 | 10-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Up | +176 | $60 | $60 | 23 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +174 | $74 | $74 | 9 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | +169 | $55 | $55 | 17 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | +162 | $33 | $33 | 23 | 10-10 20:34 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +162 | $70 | $70 | 19 | 10-10 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +156 | $63 | $63 | 17 | 10-10 20:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:35:12 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 48 | 99¢ | $48 | 0x0f77f1… |
| 10-10 20:35:12 | (anonymous) 0xe52d…dba3 | Down | SELL | 48 | 99¢ | $48 | 0x0f77f1… |
| 10-10 20:34:49 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xcf7290… |
| 10-10 20:34:49 | (anonymous) 0xdcf8…dca4 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xcf7290… |
| 10-10 20:34:49 | (anonymous) 0x1cfc…1ff1 | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xa885c2… |
| 10-10 20:34:49 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xa885c2… |
| 10-10 20:34:40 | (anonymous) 0xf06b…3533 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5c5bc5… |
| 10-10 20:34:40 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5c5bc5… |
| 10-10 20:34:33 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x7494b3… |
| 10-10 20:34:33 | (anonymous) 0x59a6…4f4f | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0a6e92… |
| 10-10 20:34:33 | Gleaming-Initialise 0xa6b7…2309 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x7494b3… |
| 10-10 20:34:33 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0a6e92… |
| 10-10 20:34:31 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x0cf55a… |
| 10-10 20:34:31 | Ringed-Jute 0x8f95…8e86 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x31b8d9… |
| 10-10 20:34:31 | (anonymous) 0x1ff0…1b4f | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x0cf55a… |
| 10-10 20:34:31 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x31b8d9… |
| 10-10 20:34:30 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x8acd0b… |
| 10-10 20:34:30 | (anonymous) 0x6da0…5499 | Down | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x8acd0b… |
| 10-10 20:34:28 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd68cc4… |
| 10-10 20:34:28 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd68cc4… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | (anonymous) 0x8046…623a | Up | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x52cfe4… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdb41b7… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xca3834… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 268 | 99¢ | $265 | 0xf08428… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | (anonymous) 0x5577…7d35 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdb41b7… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3a88a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xca3834… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3a88a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | Half-Swing 0x3547…31fd | Down | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x76f2e3… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x52cfe4… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3a88a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | (anonymous) 0x43e2…22d2 | Down | SELL | 268 | 99¢ | $265 | 0xf08428… |
| 10-10 20:34:27 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x76f2e3… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x1ea7…42e2 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xff3667… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Down | BUY | 303 | 99¢ | $300 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Dark-Hassock 0xffad…614c | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1b97a9… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6dde42… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Puzzling-Banana 0xe8d6…1535 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Cultured-Teacher 0x2d64…e55f | Down | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0x6dde42… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x6a52…b465 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xff3667… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0xf06b…3533 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfb70e2… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5ebcbe… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Posh-Sake 0x62f4…c090 | Down | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x73d4…9006 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b97a9… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb9dec4… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfb70e2… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 61 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x4305…9a79 | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x6a52…b465 | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0xbe82…90ed | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0xd8ea…a8e7 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 117 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb9dec4… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Knowledgeable-Expense 0x96b0…ffa5 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x1629…442e | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | Flawed-Singular 0xbe62…a45a | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x5747…8b6e | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x2d0a…b542 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x5ebcbe… |
| 10-10 20:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x48e4…55cb | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bb041… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdf793e… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x6002…df2f | Down | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x693b19… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Immense-Memorial 0x020f…bb13 | Down | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x36a254… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0xff3b…0061 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa53a11… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Well-Documented-Harmonize 0x28f7…678f | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb87a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Down | BUY | 165 | 98¢ | $161 | 0xfb87a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x441c9b… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb87a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x78fe6d… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x41d2a0… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x6a52…b465 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0ac006… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x109c9f… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x109c9f… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa53a11… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0xd304…cafa | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x0ac006… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Jumbo-Vernacular 0x6f5e…9c8d | Up | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfb87a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0xdcad…dede | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb87a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x41d2a0… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Popular-Emery 0xc0a6…5bdf | Up | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb87a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x5cd4…e18d | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x441c9b… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x494e…32b4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0ac006… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x693b19… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x109c9f… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Impractical-Society-Seeder 0xecb5…a8c6 | Up | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdf793e… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0xd304…cafa | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x109c9f… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xae80f6… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xae80f6… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Darling-Nudge 0xbc7d…066a | Up | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfb87a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x9a5a…c58e | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb87a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x78fe6d… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x36a254… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 61 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x693b19… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb87a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x2e95…398f | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb87a5… |
| 10-10 20:34:22 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xc052ad… |
| 10-10 20:34:22 | Uneven-Advancement 0xe5a9…5d3c | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x67890d… |
| 10-10 20:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x8948…b414 | Up | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4574f9… |
| 10-10 20:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x2bdf…1eb3 | Down | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0x4574f9… |
| 10-10 20:34:22 | (anonymous) 0xdcad…dede | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x623419… |