Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$549
$1,288 in 24h
Trades
69
Unique wallets
52
Liquidity
$256
Latest YES mid
95¢
Latest NO mid
5¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 13:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $41 | $22 | +$19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 47 | $223 | $163 | +$60 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $221 | $88 | +$133 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | — | $41 | $41 |
| Median | 9 | $9 | $8 | +$1 |
| Below median | 11 | $12 | $11 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $18 | $33 | $15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $4 | $7 | $3 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | Yes | +116 | $109 | $109 | 2 | 05-14 11:39 |
| Both-Scraper 0x8961…ab1a | No | +103 | $62 | $62 | 4 | 05-13 23:01 |
| Unfinished-Chaos 0x726e…aafb | Yes | +39 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-14 10:40 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | Yes | +35 | $28 | $28 | 5 | 05-14 11:05 |
| Intrepid-Constraint 0x11a9…4182 | No | +33 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-14 03:48 |
| Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | Yes | +31 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 05-14 11:39 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-13 22:06 |
| Faint-Pirate 0x9ed8…cad8 | No | +28 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-14 05:16 |
| Buoyant-Postage 0x3972…a677 | No | +27 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 07:16 |
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +26 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +17 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 21:31 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +16 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-14 13:03 |
| Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | +15 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-14 11:14 |
| Ill-Fated-Stepgrandmother 0xe260…3f01 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 19:12 |
| Cuddly-Rowboat 0x7327…64f4 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 11:14 |
| Crafty-Flat 0x5337…222b | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 20:07 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 19:12 |
| Unwilling-Squirrel-Password 0x88fc…2041 | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 10:09 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 20:00 |
| Dimpled-Boy 0x98d9…2c8c | Yes | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 12:47 |
| Even-Income 0x4478…7f8a | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 01:35 |
| Miniature-Soda 0xed54…4967 | Yes | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 09:09 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-14 00:46 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 06:39 |
| Firm-Passenger 0x40de…66bd | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 11:04 |
| Normal-Address 0xd345…31c5 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 23:34 |
| Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 12:42 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 21:31 |
| Tepid-Pepperoni 0x7581…2ca4 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 03:05 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 23:55 |
| Vivid-Bowling 0x68e1…d73b | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:14 |
| Insubstantial-Mantel-Waste 0xb633…51d4 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 23:36 |
| Yellowish-Melatonin 0x1b8f…e17e | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 11:54 |
| Plaintive-Bob 0x0820…4b09 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5340…ba2b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 11:39 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 08:34 |
| Fickle-Finding 0xdf69…a33f | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:19 |
| Attentive-Inauguration 0x518f…df4c | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:57 |
| Euphoric-Spray 0xc1a0…4a06 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:03:07 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xdfeac1… |
| 05-14 12:47:38 | Dimpled-Boy 0x98d9…2c8c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x7e2cb1… |
| 05-14 12:42:37 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x50cbb2… |
| 05-14 12:42:31 | Bouncy-Timpani 0x41e0…6087 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 92¢ | $55 | 0x642c75… |
| 05-14 12:05:27 | Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xba25ab… |
| 05-14 11:57:24 | Attentive-Inauguration 0x518f…df4c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x857055… |
| 05-14 11:54:24 | Yellowish-Melatonin 0x1b8f…e17e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x41db14… |
| 05-14 11:39:33 | Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x45cbf1… |
| 05-14 11:39:31 | (anonymous) 0x5340…ba2b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xe21b3f… |
| 05-14 11:39:28 | Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | Yes | BUY | 110 | 94¢ | $103 | 0x120a66… |
| 05-14 11:39:26 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xeada51… |
| 05-14 11:35:04 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x8723aa… |
| 05-14 11:22:08 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 84¢ | $22 | 0x564636… |
| 05-14 11:14:47 | Vivid-Bowling 0x68e1…d73b | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf99a7a… |
| 05-14 11:14:19 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x02ac95… |
| 05-14 11:14:00 | Cuddly-Rowboat 0x7327…64f4 | No | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xa5d48b… |
| 05-14 11:09:17 | Hasty-Tag 0x0151…847b | No | SELL | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x0c2409… |
| 05-14 11:05:22 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x2c3ee0… |
| 05-14 11:05:19 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0xf19f2c… |
| 05-14 11:05:13 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xecfd37… |
| 05-14 11:05:13 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xfc22b6… |
| 05-14 11:05:12 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x4351fe… |
| 05-14 11:04:51 | Firm-Passenger 0x40de…66bd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x7e355a… |
| 05-14 10:40:29 | Unfinished-Chaos 0x726e…aafb | Yes | BUY | 23 | 65¢ | $15 | 0x6d5969… |
| 05-14 10:39:39 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xd19ede… |
| 05-14 10:19:54 | Fickle-Finding 0xdf69…a33f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x9201cd… |
| 05-14 10:15:07 | Daring-Haste 0x017c…00c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x8042dd… |
| 05-14 10:14:28 | Daring-Haste 0x017c…00c3 | No | SELL | 33 | 35¢ | $12 | 0x0862f1… |
| 05-14 10:14:02 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x01c341… |
| 05-14 10:09:12 | Unwilling-Squirrel-Password 0x88fc…2041 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xbebee8… |
| 05-14 10:04:54 | Unfinished-Chaos 0x726e…aafb | Yes | BUY | 16 | 61¢ | $10 | 0x2dcc06… |
| 05-14 09:09:24 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xcc012f… |
| 05-14 09:09:14 | Miniature-Soda 0xed54…4967 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0xfdecf1… |
| 05-14 06:39:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x03282a… |
| 05-14 06:39:08 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 6 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x4cd2ad… |
| 05-14 05:16:04 | Faint-Pirate 0x9ed8…cad8 | No | BUY | 28 | 62¢ | $17 | 0x20f0d0… |
| 05-14 03:48:17 | Intrepid-Constraint 0x11a9…4182 | No | BUY | 17 | 60¢ | $10 | 0x70eb5a… |
| 05-14 03:45:06 | Intrepid-Constraint 0x11a9…4182 | No | BUY | 16 | 58¢ | $9 | 0x54cffc… |
| 05-14 03:05:07 | Tepid-Pepperoni 0x7581…2ca4 | No | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x545dd7… |
| 05-14 01:35:03 | Even-Income 0x4478…7f8a | No | BUY | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x655f4e… |
| 05-14 00:46:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0xa85788… |
| 05-14 00:20:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x5692ec… |
| 05-13 23:55:05 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x9e1471… |
| 05-13 23:34:47 | Normal-Address 0xd345…31c5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x0d6cf9… |
| 05-13 23:01:24 | Both-Scraper 0x8961…ab1a | No | BUY | 26 | 63¢ | $16 | 0x1e028f… |
| 05-13 22:14:03 | Euphoric-Spray 0xc1a0…4a06 | No | BUY | 1 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xb5c087… |
| 05-13 22:12:53 | Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | No | BUY | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0xf34ea7… |
| 05-13 22:06:49 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xce2893… |
| 05-13 22:06:49 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xc13ed4… |
| 05-13 22:06:49 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x020dfd… |
| 05-13 22:06:49 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x9b6d1c… |
| 05-13 22:06:49 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0x60b480… |
| 05-13 22:06:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x9b5798… |
| 05-13 20:00:51 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | BUY | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0xb60db9… |
| 05-13 19:12:40 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | BUY | 9 | 44¢ | $4 | 0xacf1dd… |
| 05-13 19:12:38 | Ill-Fated-Stepgrandmother 0xe260…3f01 | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x4920ff… |
| 05-13 08:39:50 | Both-Scraper 0x8961…ab1a | No | BUY | 25 | 62¢ | $16 | 0x9d1c4f… |
| 05-13 08:34:14 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x6bad8e… |
| 05-13 07:16:31 | Buoyant-Postage 0x3972…a677 | No | BUY | 27 | 58¢ | $15 | 0x0cf64e… |
| 05-13 06:12:50 | Both-Scraper 0x8961…ab1a | No | BUY | 27 | 56¢ | $15 | 0x4b4ea8… |
| 05-13 06:04:09 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 26 | 43¢ | $11 | 0x109a5d… |
| 05-13 06:00:46 | Hasty-Tag 0x0151…847b | No | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x3158db… |
| 05-13 05:02:07 | Plaintive-Bob 0x0820…4b09 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x86b695… |
| 05-13 04:11:48 | Both-Scraper 0x8961…ab1a | No | BUY | 25 | 60¢ | $15 | 0x98873c… |
| 05-13 01:03:26 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | No | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xd71501… |
| 05-12 23:36:02 | Insubstantial-Mantel-Waste 0xb633…51d4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xe07842… |
| 05-12 21:31:05 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x3a9a9a… |
| 05-12 21:31:03 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 39¢ | $7 | 0x6e3efb… |
| 05-12 20:07:52 | Crafty-Flat 0x5337…222b | No | BUY | 9 | 62¢ | $6 | 0xff58ed… |