XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8PM ET
open
Total volume
$68
Trades
28
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$712
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 00:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.8¢
(top1%: 26% YES on $17
vs crowd: 51% YES on $67)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $4 | $12 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $30 | $20 | +$10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $4 | $12 | $8 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| Below median | 3 | $3 | $12 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| unranked | 2 | $3 | $5 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Down | +42 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-12 00:43 |
| Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Down | +24 | $12 | $12 | 9 | 05-11 23:59 |
| Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7 | Down | +15 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-12 00:43 |
| Specific-Lode 0xd3c9…b568 | Down | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-12 00:48 |
| Deficient-Adaptation 0x9556…7525 | Up | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-12 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | +6 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-12 00:33 |
| Keen-Profession 0xf441…2573 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Quarterly-Popsicle 0x8941…83d7 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 00:13 |
| Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Concerned-Plaintiff-Pack 0x1b71…e683 | Up | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-12 00:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 00:48:35 | Deficient-Adaptation 0x9556…7525 | Up | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x28fed3… |
| 05-12 00:48:17 | Deficient-Adaptation 0x9556…7525 | Up | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x4c1b11… |
| 05-12 00:48:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xd43bfe… |
| 05-12 00:43:53 | Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | Up | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xb7f14d… |
| 05-12 00:43:51 | Concerned-Plaintiff-Pack 0x1b71…e683 | Up | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x6ad5a5… |
| 05-12 00:43:49 | Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x84095d… |
| 05-12 00:43:49 | Concerned-Plaintiff-Pack 0x1b71…e683 | Up | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xa20c96… |
| 05-12 00:43:49 | Concerned-Plaintiff-Pack 0x1b71…e683 | Up | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x70259c… |
| 05-12 00:43:48 | Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf00148… |
| 05-12 00:43:48 | Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x5b1e62… |
| 05-12 00:43:48 | Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Down | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd60f75… |
| 05-12 00:38:54 | Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Up | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x0b26fd… |
| 05-12 00:33:04 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x616e6f… |
| 05-12 00:28:03 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | BUY | 4 | 56¢ | $2 | 0x0f266e… |
| 05-12 00:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x8dfaa6… |
| 05-12 00:13:43 | Quarterly-Popsicle 0x8941…83d7 | Up | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xbbf6a0… |
| 05-12 00:13:05 | Silent-Complexity 0x1647…f879 | Down | BUY | 27 | 40¢ | $11 | 0x4185a6… |
| 05-12 00:08:37 | Specific-Lode 0xd3c9…b568 | Down | BUY | 12 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x2683a7… |
| 05-12 00:02:19 | Keen-Profession 0xf441…2573 | Up | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xbb9da0… |
| 05-11 23:59:08 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Down | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x0a1f5f… |
| 05-11 23:58:11 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Down | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xb3c8ae… |
| 05-11 23:51:09 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Down | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x8bb786… |
| 05-11 23:49:08 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Down | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x2c2389… |
| 05-11 23:48:10 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Down | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x17eac4… |
| 05-11 23:13:09 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Down | BUY | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | 0xbca820… |
| 05-11 23:09:09 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Down | BUY | 6 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x697901… |
| 05-11 23:08:09 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Down | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x0e8706… |
| 05-11 23:07:10 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Down | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x453d07… |