Will South Africa win on 2026-10-04?
Yes won
Total volume
$48,989
Trades
751
Unique wallets
159
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-10-03
last 10-04 21:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.9¢
(top1%: 56% YES on $22.0K
vs crowd: 60% YES on $42.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 54 | $20.9K | $15.7K | +$5.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 33 | $3.5K | $870 | +$2.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 33 | $736 | $394 | +$341 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $387 | $55 | +$332 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 28 | $12.3K | $9.7K | +$2.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 17 | $377 | $522 | $145 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $88 | $1 | +$86 |
| Median | 8 | $28 | $7 | +$22 |
| Below median | 34 | $473 | $86 | +$388 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $2.3K | $138 | +$2.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 18 | $151 | $655 | $505 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 35 | $9.8K | $5.9K | +$3.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | +8,068 | $4,422 | $4,422 | 21 | 10-04 19:38 |
| Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | Yes | +7,457 | $2,882 | $2,882 | 16 | 10-04 19:46 |
| Subtle-Trumpet 0x6550…8451 | No | +6,407 | $2,360 | $2,360 | 28 | 10-04 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | +5,690 | $2,443 | $2,443 | 20 | 10-04 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c26…98b9 | Yes | +5,449 | $3,433 | $3,433 | 1 | 10-04 19:38 |
| Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | No | +5,398 | $1,846 | $1,846 | 17 | 10-04 19:48 |
| Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | +3,490 | $3,486 | $3,486 | 22 | 10-04 21:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc2a…9563 | No | +3,330 | $422 | $422 | 5 | 10-04 20:06 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | No | +3,121 | $2,410 | $2,410 | 15 | 10-04 20:06 |
| Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | Yes | +3,087 | $2,451 | $2,451 | 7 | 10-04 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | +2,597 | $1,974 | $1,974 | 2 | 10-04 19:48 |
| Frank-Straw 0xb17e…22be | Yes | +2,242 | $2,195 | $2,195 | 3 | 10-04 20:06 |
| Subtle-Trumpet 0x6550…8451 | Yes | +1,213 | $776 | $776 | 12 | 10-04 19:59 |
| Ironclad-Housework 0x9703…69c2 | No | +1,189 | $975 | $975 | 6 | 10-04 12:17 |
| Big-Hearted-Something 0xc291…5d74 | No | +1,101 | $689 | $689 | 5 | 10-04 19:38 |
| Generous-Impudence 0x658e…d758 | No | +1,084 | $293 | $293 | 1 | 10-04 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d88…2818 | Yes | +1,082 | $194 | $194 | 1 | 10-04 12:17 |
| Periodic-Hornet 0x52d9…fb1a | No | +1,064 | $391 | $391 | 4 | 10-04 19:55 |
| Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319 | No | +588 | $388 | $388 | 14 | 10-04 19:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x81a7…7042 | Yes | +584 | $159 | $159 | 11 | 10-04 19:49 |
| Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | +559 | $27 | $27 | 14 | 10-04 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x664a…fc5f | No | +550 | $37 | $52 | 4 | 10-04 20:06 |
| Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319 | Yes | +330 | $93 | $93 | 10 | 10-04 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x39f2…0c26 | Yes | +300 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 10-04 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | +266 | $198 | $198 | 20 | 10-04 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x089c…4dc4 | No | +238 | $88 | $88 | 16 | 10-04 19:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xc632…09c4 | No | +233 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-04 17:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa301…2479 | Yes | +230 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 10-04 14:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1e3…f1bd | No | +225 | $123 | $123 | 10 | 10-04 19:48 |
| Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | No | +214 | $179 | $179 | 5 | 10-04 16:55 |
| Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | Yes | +210 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 10-04 17:56 |
| Euphoric-Pup 0xda77…683f | Yes | +190 | $162 | $162 | 6 | 10-04 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | +189 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 10-04 17:27 |
| Sorrowful-Bellows 0xa9f5…937f | No | +166 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-04 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6db…3155 | Yes | +162 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 10-04 17:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6db…3155 | No | +148 | $125 | $125 | 2 | 10-04 17:27 |
| Euphoric-Pup 0xda77…683f | No | +145 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 10-04 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x20ad…f368 | No | +127 | $65 | $65 | 27 | 10-04 19:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | No | +124 | $11 | $11 | 12 | 10-04 20:06 |
| Well-Made-Ordination 0x4e81…b4ce | No | +114 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-04 18:29 |
| Hard-Ironclad 0xb595…5922 | Yes | +110 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 10-04 20:07 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +98 | $8 | $8 | 8 | 10-04 20:02 |
| Accomplished-Equal 0xf1f2…8c8d | No | +95 | $55 | $55 | 4 | 10-04 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x2002…a75e | No | +92 | $79 | $79 | 4 | 10-04 18:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d2c…00b5 | No | +83 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 10-04 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | Yes | +80 | $58 | $58 | 6 | 10-04 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8b…13e6 | No | +76 | $55 | $55 | 3 | 10-04 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d2c…00b5 | Yes | +70 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 10-04 20:06 |
| Clueless-Father 0x8d0c…c90a | Yes | +70 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 10-04 17:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5628…abbc | Yes | +69 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 10-04 17:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe67…a2e8 | Yes | +66 | $27 | $27 | 5 | 10-04 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x089c…4dc4 | Yes | +66 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 10-04 19:35 |
| Dim-Joke 0x1f62…76f6 | No | +64 | $52 | $268 | 7 | 10-04 17:59 |
| Frightened-Oak 0x8ca3…2d23 | Yes | +62 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-04 17:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x22a7…e4c9 | No | +60 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 10-04 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a80…11c5 | Yes | +58 | $51 | $51 | 9 | 10-04 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xacf3…64be | Yes | +51 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 10-04 20:02 |
| Tinted-Latex 0x8e9a…dcc1 | Yes | +47 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-04 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc2a…9563 | Yes | +40 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 10-04 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x2002…a75e | Yes | +37 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 10-04 19:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 21:59:43 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa593a3… |
| 10-04 21:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x76f9…8ea0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa593a3… |
| 10-04 21:56:34 | Punctual-Motor 0xf7f6…e517 | Yes | SELL | 274 | 100¢ | $274 | 0x00ac3b… |
| 10-04 21:56:34 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 274 | 100¢ | $274 | 0x00ac3b… |
| 10-04 20:43:55 | (anonymous) 0x53ad…ccac | Yes | SELL | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0x3f59f4… |
| 10-04 20:43:55 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0x3f59f4… |
| 10-04 20:18:17 | (anonymous) 0x5127…17fe | Yes | SELL | 111 | 100¢ | $111 | 0xcf0789… |
| 10-04 20:18:17 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 100¢ | $111 | 0xcf0789… |
| 10-04 20:14:52 | (anonymous) 0xc6fd…53df | Yes | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x3c823b… |
| 10-04 20:14:52 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x3c823b… |
| 10-04 20:14:16 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x58eb14… |
| 10-04 20:14:16 | (anonymous) 0x32c0…e76a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x58eb14… |
| 10-04 20:13:50 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 100¢ | $53 | 0xa6e058… |
| 10-04 20:13:50 | (anonymous) 0xfd4f…a4d3 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 100¢ | $53 | 0xa6e058… |
| 10-04 20:12:05 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5f6e1e… |
| 10-04 20:12:05 | (anonymous) 0x82c9…8af5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5f6e1e… |
| 10-04 20:11:10 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 112 | 100¢ | $112 | 0xa41f25… |
| 10-04 20:11:10 | (anonymous) 0x1e89…85fb | Yes | SELL | 112 | 100¢ | $112 | 0xa41f25… |
| 10-04 20:10:47 | (anonymous) 0x3a1a…40cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x66b56f… |
| 10-04 20:10:47 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x66b56f… |
| 10-04 20:10:46 | (anonymous) 0xbe0b…48fd | Yes | SELL | 57 | 100¢ | $57 | 0xee7017… |
| 10-04 20:10:46 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 100¢ | $57 | 0xee7017… |
| 10-04 20:09:46 | Vigilant-Twins 0x331e…458c | Yes | SELL | 258 | 100¢ | $258 | 0xee4ec8… |
| 10-04 20:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x5712…720f | Yes | SELL | 410 | 100¢ | $410 | 0x97ef2e… |
| 10-04 20:09:46 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 410 | 100¢ | $410 | 0x97ef2e… |
| 10-04 20:09:46 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 258 | 100¢ | $258 | 0xee4ec8… |
| 10-04 20:09:08 | (anonymous) 0x6770…c3bd | Yes | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xbbe6f9… |
| 10-04 20:09:08 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xbbe6f9… |
| 10-04 20:08:50 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 1,990 | 100¢ | $1,988 | 0xa46200… |
| 10-04 20:08:50 | (anonymous) 0x916d…bf9a | Yes | SELL | 1,990 | 100¢ | $1,988 | 0xa46200… |
| 10-04 20:08:49 | Flimsy-Nightgown 0x3f34…ed6a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x2fdbea… |
| 10-04 20:08:49 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x2fdbea… |
| 10-04 20:08:44 | (anonymous) 0x42a1…a8e9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x353499… |
| 10-04 20:08:44 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x43c60a… |
| 10-04 20:08:44 | (anonymous) 0x3efd…bb79 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x43c60a… |
| 10-04 20:08:44 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x353499… |
| 10-04 20:08:34 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x5c85db… |
| 10-04 20:08:34 | (anonymous) 0xb2f8…0e89 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x5c85db… |
| 10-04 20:08:31 | (anonymous) 0x2fe2…eb81 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x2d0d40… |
| 10-04 20:08:31 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x2d0d40… |
| 10-04 20:08:20 | (anonymous) 0x0c22…8781 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xfc46a9… |
| 10-04 20:08:20 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xfc46a9… |
| 10-04 20:08:10 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x225d91… |
| 10-04 20:08:10 | Victorious-Tritone 0x14e7…a32c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x225d91… |
| 10-04 20:07:20 | Hard-Ironclad 0xb595…5922 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 99¢ | $109 | 0x519bf1… |
| 10-04 20:07:20 | Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | BUY | 110 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x519bf1… |
| 10-04 20:07:16 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xe5ae11… |
| 10-04 20:07:16 | (anonymous) 0x7615…64e7 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xe5ae11… |
| 10-04 20:06:59 | (anonymous) 0xcc2a…9563 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xf41034… |
| 10-04 20:06:59 | (anonymous) 0xf3d3…77a0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xf41034… |
| 10-04 20:06:49 | (anonymous) 0x2d2c…00b5 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0xe99b61… |
| 10-04 20:06:49 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | No | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe99b61… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | (anonymous) 0x91e6…0a20 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x2c5199… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | (anonymous) 0x91e6…0a20 | No | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2d8ee7… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | (anonymous) 0x664a…fc5f | No | SELL | 130 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x2c5199… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | Euphoric-Pup 0xda77…683f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x2c5199… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…43a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x6fdb38… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | (anonymous) 0x664a…fc5f | No | BUY | 177 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x2d8ee7… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | (anonymous) 0xcc2a…9563 | No | BUY | 1,500 | 2¢ | $30 | 0x2d8ee7… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2d8ee7… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | Euphoric-Pup 0xda77…683f | No | BUY | 88 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2d8ee7… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | No | BUY | 170 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x2c5199… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | Frank-Straw 0xb17e…22be | Yes | BUY | 2,222 | 98¢ | $2,175 | 0x2d8ee7… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | No | SELL | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2c5199… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | Euphoric-Pup 0xda77…683f | Yes | BUY | 87 | 94¢ | $82 | 0x6fdb38… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | Sorrowful-Bellows 0xa9f5…937f | No | BUY | 166 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x2d8ee7… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | No | BUY | 92 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x6fdb38… |
| 10-04 20:06:46 | Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2d8ee7… |
| 10-04 20:06:41 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | No | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x847bc6… |
| 10-04 20:06:41 | Euphoric-Pup 0xda77…683f | No | BUY | 52 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x847bc6… |
| 10-04 20:06:41 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…43a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x6a7117… |
| 10-04 20:06:41 | Euphoric-Pup 0xda77…683f | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6a7117… |
| 10-04 20:06:41 | (anonymous) 0x53ad…ccac | Yes | BUY | 102 | 94¢ | $95 | 0x847bc6… |
| 10-04 20:06:41 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | No | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x847bc6… |
| 10-04 20:06:41 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x847bc6… |
| 10-04 20:06:31 | (anonymous) 0xe0df…f8a1 | No | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa63e24… |
| 10-04 20:06:31 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | No | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa63e24… |
| 10-04 20:05:11 | Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | BUY | 82 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1f8084… |
| 10-04 20:05:11 | (anonymous) 0xe0df…f8a1 | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f8084… |
| 10-04 20:05:11 | Euphoric-Pup 0xda77…683f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x85754c… |
| 10-04 20:05:11 | (anonymous) 0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xe46329… |
| 10-04 20:05:11 | (anonymous) 0x22a7…e4c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe46329… |
| 10-04 20:05:11 | Vigilant-Twins 0x331e…458c | Yes | BUY | 253 | 99¢ | $250 | 0x1f8084… |
| 10-04 20:05:11 | (anonymous) 0x8a80…11c5 | No | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x85754c… |
| 10-04 20:05:11 | (anonymous) 0x1619…eb70 | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1f8084… |
| 10-04 20:05:11 | (anonymous) 0x91e6…0a20 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x85754c… |
| 10-04 20:05:10 | (anonymous) 0x22a7…e4c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf74537… |
| 10-04 20:05:10 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xf74537… |
| 10-04 20:04:11 | (anonymous) 0xe0df…f8a1 | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x74ef75… |
| 10-04 20:04:11 | Frank-Straw 0xb17e…22be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x74ef75… |
| 10-04 20:04:11 | (anonymous) 0xe0df…f8a1 | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb3ad6e… |
| 10-04 20:04:11 | Frank-Straw 0xb17e…22be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xb3ad6e… |
| 10-04 20:03:31 | (anonymous) 0x32c0…e76a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7fa996… |
| 10-04 20:03:31 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7fa996… |
| 10-04 20:03:29 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3d737c… |
| 10-04 20:03:29 | (anonymous) 0x0c22…8781 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x3d737c… |
| 10-04 20:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x117598… |
| 10-04 20:02:31 | (anonymous) 0xc010…7424 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x117598… |
| 10-04 20:02:10 | (anonymous) 0x3efd…bb79 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa85686… |
| 10-04 20:02:10 | Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa85686… |