Will 2+ contenders win the jackpot at The American Rodeo Championship Weekend 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,367
$97 in 24h
Trades
49
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,401
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-24 09:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $8
vs crowd: 96% YES on $2.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $521 | $65 | +$456 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $1.6K | — | +$1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $46 | $3 | +$43 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $10 | $23 | $13 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1.5K | $1 | +$1.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $3 | $2 | +$1 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 4 | $35 | $20 | +$16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $12 | $65 | $52 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $102 | — | +$102 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $509 | — | +$509 |
| unranked | 2 | $8 | $2 | +$6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-24 09:58 |
| Steep-Question 0x6a2c…136b | Yes | +1,496 | $1,495 | $1,495 | 1 | 05-24 09:42 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +500 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-24 09:15 |
| Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | +122 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-11 02:36 |
| First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | +64 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-18 15:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xff3e…7db7 | Yes | +44 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-23 19:43 |
| Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 03:04 |
| Brief-Keeper 0x7713…06fd | No | +37 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-11 02:26 |
| Striking-Threshold 0xe372…5048 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:16 |
| Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:04 |
| Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-24 09:58 |
| Adventurous-Cape 0x5522…7695 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 08:17 |
| Ugly-Hill 0xbc6f…7393 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 08:17 |
| Adventurous-Cape 0x5522…7695 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 09:58:15 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6d67a… |
| 05-24 09:58:15 | Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | Yes | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xe6d67a… |
| 05-24 09:42:14 | Steep-Question 0x6a2c…136b | Yes | BUY | 1,496 | 100¢ | $1,495 | 0x2e24ef… |
| 05-24 09:42:14 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 1,496 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2e24ef… |
| 05-24 09:15:26 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x512632… |
| 05-24 09:15:26 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x512632… |
| 05-23 19:43:40 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 44 | 19¢ | $8 | 0xb43629… |
| 05-23 19:43:40 | (anonymous) 0xff3e…7db7 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 19¢ | $8 | 0xb43629… |
| 05-18 15:13:37 | Substantial-Pricing 0x8511…7ce7 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 19¢ | $12 | 0xa3124b… |
| 05-18 15:13:37 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 64 | 19¢ | $12 | 0xa3124b… |
| 05-18 15:11:06 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x6aea7e… |
| 05-18 15:11:06 | Substantial-Pricing 0x8511…7ce7 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x6aea7e… |
| 05-17 14:02:42 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xfd6df8… |
| 05-17 14:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x6c8c…82a7 | No | SELL | 4 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xfd6df8… |
| 05-15 07:20:25 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | SELL | 64 | 18¢ | $12 | 0x95ae79… |
| 05-15 07:20:25 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 18¢ | $12 | 0x95ae79… |
| 05-15 06:56:30 | Substantial-Pricing 0x8511…7ce7 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x9868d2… |
| 05-15 06:56:30 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | BUY | 64 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x9868d2… |
| 05-15 06:44:28 | Substantial-Pricing 0x8511…7ce7 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 19¢ | $12 | 0xa55f22… |
| 05-15 06:44:28 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 19¢ | $12 | 0xa55f22… |
| 05-13 15:11:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 49 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xd0c324… |
| 05-13 15:11:22 | Substantial-Pricing 0x8511…7ce7 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xd0c324… |
| 05-13 15:02:11 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xec735f… |
| 05-13 15:02:11 | Substantial-Pricing 0x8511…7ce7 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xec735f… |
| 05-13 03:04:27 | Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x32b8a5… |
| 05-13 03:04:27 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x32b8a5… |
| 05-13 03:04:25 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0xeef446… |
| 05-13 03:04:25 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0xeef446… |
| 05-12 17:05:38 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xbfa8a8… |
| 05-12 17:05:38 | Foolhardy-Floor 0x64a0…9d96 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xbfa8a8… |
| 05-12 17:02:18 | Foolhardy-Floor 0x64a0…9d96 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb9f9f4… |
| 05-12 17:02:18 | Wary-Seal 0x22a4…13e5 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb9f9f4… |
| 05-12 16:16:03 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x9cc6db… |
| 05-12 16:16:03 | Striking-Threshold 0xe372…5048 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x9cc6db… |
| 05-11 08:17:47 | Ugly-Hill 0xbc6f…7393 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb01a36… |
| 05-11 08:17:47 | Adventurous-Cape 0x5522…7695 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xb01a36… |
| 05-11 02:43:29 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 47¢ | $0 | 0x2aa286… |
| 05-11 02:43:29 | Adventurous-Cape 0x5522…7695 | No | BUY | 1 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x2aa286… |
| 05-11 02:36:22 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | BUY | 122 | 53¢ | $65 | 0x42ca6c… |
| 05-11 02:36:22 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 47¢ | $47 | 0x42ca6c… |
| 05-11 02:36:22 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 47¢ | $11 | 0x42ca6c… |
| 05-11 02:26:39 | Brief-Keeper 0x7713…06fd | No | BUY | 12 | 53¢ | $7 | 0x940928… |
| 05-11 02:26:39 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 47¢ | $6 | 0x940928… |
| 05-11 02:22:36 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 47¢ | $6 | 0xd84fa1… |
| 05-11 02:22:36 | Brief-Keeper 0x7713…06fd | No | BUY | 12 | 53¢ | $7 | 0xd84fa1… |
| 05-11 01:55:23 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 47¢ | $6 | 0x63e92d… |
| 05-11 01:55:23 | Brief-Keeper 0x7713…06fd | No | BUY | 12 | 53¢ | $7 | 0x63e92d… |
| 05-09 05:37:57 | (anonymous) 0x6c8c…82a7 | No | BUY | 4 | 57¢ | $2 | 0xda1db5… |
| 05-09 05:37:57 | Wary-Seal 0x22a4…13e5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xda1db5… |