Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on November 3?
No won
Total volume
$780
Trades
48
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-11-01
last 11-03 15:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.5¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $44
vs crowd: 0% YES on $680)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $0 | $641 | $641 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $0 | $38 | $38 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $0 | $43 | $43 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $0 | $558 | $558 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $38 | $38 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $0 | $40 | $40 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +517 | $516 | $516 | 5 | 11-03 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x3713…5753 | Yes | +512 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 11-03 15:39 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +93 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-01 19:05 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-01 19:05 |
| Intent-Plantation 0x5093…272c | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-03 14:54 |
| Scarce-Med 0x3bab…eceb | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 8 | 11-03 14:21 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +27 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 11-03 14:21 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 11-03 14:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-03 14:42 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 11-03 14:42 |
| Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-03 14:21 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-01 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-01 19:05 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-01 19:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-03 15:41:52 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x81abed… |
| 11-03 15:41:52 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x81abed… |
| 11-03 15:41:52 | (anonymous) 0xf8db…ca1d | Yes | SELL | 38 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x81abed… |
| 11-03 15:39:00 | (anonymous) 0x3713…5753 | Yes | BUY | 219 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd464d7… |
| 11-03 15:39:00 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 181 | 100¢ | $181 | 0xd464d7… |
| 11-03 15:39:00 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xd464d7… |
| 11-03 15:39:00 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xd464d7… |
| 11-03 15:03:06 | Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x414eb1… |
| 11-03 15:03:06 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x414eb1… |
| 11-03 14:54:03 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xab8eae… |
| 11-03 14:54:03 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 64 | 100¢ | $64 | 0xab8eae… |
| 11-03 14:54:03 | Intent-Plantation 0x5093…272c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab8eae… |
| 11-03 14:53:58 | Intent-Plantation 0x5093…272c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8536fa… |
| 11-03 14:53:58 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x8536fa… |
| 11-03 14:43:55 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x913e49… |
| 11-03 14:43:55 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x913e49… |
| 11-03 14:43:55 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | SELL | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x913e49… |
| 11-03 14:42:13 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6136dc… |
| 11-03 14:42:13 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x6136dc… |
| 11-03 14:21:13 | Scarce-Med 0x3bab…eceb | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5a0c66… |
| 11-03 14:21:13 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5a0c66… |
| 11-03 14:21:12 | Scarce-Med 0x3bab…eceb | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xfbc2f0… |
| 11-03 14:21:12 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfbc2f0… |
| 11-03 14:01:21 | Scarce-Med 0x3bab…eceb | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xf99c72… |
| 11-03 14:01:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf99c72… |
| 11-03 14:01:15 | Scarce-Med 0x3bab…eceb | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xd2af5d… |
| 11-03 14:01:15 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2af5d… |
| 11-03 14:00:15 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9152a0… |
| 11-03 14:00:15 | Scarce-Med 0x3bab…eceb | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9152a0… |
| 11-03 14:00:09 | Scarce-Med 0x3bab…eceb | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xedd831… |
| 11-03 14:00:09 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedd831… |
| 11-03 14:00:04 | Scarce-Med 0x3bab…eceb | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3fa5ad… |
| 11-03 14:00:04 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fa5ad… |
| 11-03 14:00:04 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f2b06… |
| 11-03 14:00:04 | Scarce-Med 0x3bab…eceb | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6f2b06… |
| 11-03 13:52:16 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xab6880… |
| 11-03 13:52:16 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | SELL | 58 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab6880… |
| 11-03 13:52:16 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xab6880… |
| 11-03 13:52:16 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab6880… |
| 11-03 13:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x3713…5753 | Yes | BUY | 293 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab6880… |
| 11-03 13:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab6880… |
| 11-01 19:05:40 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f2310… |
| 11-01 19:05:40 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f2310… |
| 11-01 19:05:40 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f2310… |
| 11-01 19:05:40 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f2310… |
| 11-01 19:05:40 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 248 | 100¢ | $248 | 0x6f2310… |
| 11-01 19:05:40 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f2310… |
| 11-01 19:05:40 | (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f2310… |