Realized P&L
-$306
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
402
Trades
1,159
lifetime
Volume
$9.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$157
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 08-19 02:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 76 days
Categories
Other
69% 47% -$265
Politics
28% 51% -$46
Tech
1% 50% +$4
Sports
1% 29% +$4
Crypto
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -74 -$66 94¢ $-70 -$3 05-21 07:18
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -29 -$25 97¢ $-28 -$3 05-11 11:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -21 -$15 80¢ $-17 -$2 05-21 04:09
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$10 96¢ $-11 $0 05-24 14:26
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -10 -$8 97¢ $-10 -$1 05-23 22:39
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -7 -$6 92¢ $-7 -$1 05-28 05:56
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 Yes +25 $5 18¢ $5 $0 07-30 01:27
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -26 -$5 16¢ $-4 +$1 06-21 13:05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -18 -$4 16¢ $-3 +$1 07-02 06:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +44 $10 6¢ $2 -$8 05-24 04:20
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +90 $9 1¢ $1 -$8 08-19 02:16
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -3 -$1 5¢ $-0 +$1 07-02 06:31
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +0 $3 90¢ $0 -$3 06-24 10:44