Realized P&L
-$84
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
250
lifetime
Volume
$2.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$170
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-14 14:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65% 0% $-84
Other
31%
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +77 $57 86¢ $66 +$9 06-14 06:30
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -51 $-37 79¢ $-40 $-3 06-14 06:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -14 $-17 98¢ $-14 +$3 06-13 18:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +16 $15 72¢ $12 $-3 06-08 08:08
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -9 $-8 80¢ $-7 +$0 06-05 01:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -7 $-6 100¢ $-7 $-1 06-14 14:52
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -7 $-6 93¢ $-6 $-0 06-02 00:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +10 $2 62¢ $6 +$4 06-10 22:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +10 $5 42¢ $4 $-1 05-28 13:26
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? Yes -36 $-4 $-3 +$1 05-28 08:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +9 $7 24¢ $2 $-4 06-06 11:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +35 $20 $1 $-18 06-13 17:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -16 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-10 08:53