Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$120

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved (30d)

300

Trades (30d)

1,656

1,656 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$5.95K

$5.95K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-25

last 11-01 03:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

43% 48% -$144

Sports

30% 54% +$41

Crypto

27% 46% -$18

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 721 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	+140	$11	8¢	$11	+$0	10-28 16:57
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+218	$5	5¢	$10	+$5	10-30 11:09
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	+211	$5	4¢	$9	+$4	10-28 16:55
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+67	$0	2¢	$2	+$2	10-30 03:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	14	$600	843	843	+0	open	—	10-29 14:00
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	7	$329	244	244	+0	open	—	10-30 16:32
Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	50	$155	308	0	+308	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	+$38	10-27 08:09
Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine Paolini	37	$148	378	0	+378	Naomi Osaka	-$8	10-27 09:46
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$136	87	87	-0	open	—	10-29 10:29
Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	37	$130	288	0	+288	Dayana Yastremska	+$83	10-27 08:47
Warriors vs. Nuggets	43	$129	294	0	+294	Warriors	+$76	10-27 02:52
Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	38	$123	359	0	+359	Hubert Hurkacz	-$38	10-27 12:59
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	29	$99	253	0	+253	Grizzlies	-$24	10-27 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	54	$94	210	0	+210	Down	+$116	10-28 00:42
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	31	$91	249	0	+249	Alex de Minaur	-$53	10-26 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	41	$88	160	0	+160	Down	-$88	10-28 00:58
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley	13	$84	81	35	+46	Jacob Fearnley	-$3	10-25 14:17
Brest: Moez Echargui vs Francesco Maestrelli	25	$79	397	0	+397	Francesco Maestrelli	-$28	10-27 11:53
Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	17	$69	255	0	+255	Yulia Putintseva	-$4	10-27 05:49
Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Koki Matsuda	25	$68	199	0	+199	Terence Atmane	-$13	10-27 06:38
Hawks vs. Rockets	25	$66	150	0	+150	Rockets	-$23	10-27 02:15
Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	21	$64	134	0	+134	Tommy Paul	-$32	10-27 13:51
Pacers vs. Bucks	20	$62	120	0	+120	Bucks	-$21	10-27 02:05
Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume	21	$59	731	0	+731	Leylah Fernandez	-$24	10-27 07:34
Steelers vs. Saints	20	$59	179	0	+179	Steelers	+$3	10-25 16:18
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	10-30 11:57
Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State	3	$56	46	46	+0	Iowa State	+$35	11-01 03:17
Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	17	$54	98	0	+98	Claire Liu	+$22	10-27 10:02
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar	18	$52	199	0	+199	Rafael Jodar	-$37	10-27 14:06
Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson	17	$50	70	0	+70	Talia Gibson	+$6	10-26 05:02
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	7	$50	140	140	+0	open	—	10-29 14:45
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5	17	$48	100	0	+100	Over	+$34	10-27 13:54
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	11	$47	220	0	+220	Lilli Tagger	-$7	10-27 10:57
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5	16	$45	91	0	+91	Over	-$39	10-27 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 03:17:12	Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State	Iowa State	SELL	46	100¢	$45	0x59cf2b…
10-31 15:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd4bbeb…
10-31 15:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4d02b8…
10-31 15:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xd56ad1…
10-31 15:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xd183c2…
10-31 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xe5071d…
10-31 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe04c34…
10-31 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xba569e…
10-31 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xa8084b…
10-31 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa463b8…
10-31 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xa15f8f…
10-31 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x767c15…
10-31 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6b14c7…
10-31 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x62f217…
10-31 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x38e5e1…
10-31 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x06ece2…
10-31 15:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfd66c1…
10-31 15:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xefe121…
10-31 15:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xed3bcf…
10-31 15:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x439d17…
10-31 15:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x0b822c…
10-31 15:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x045bfe…
10-31 15:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x678b7a…
10-31 15:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe3d753…
10-31 15:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x16e761…
10-31 15:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xdcddbc…
10-31 15:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9a867f…
10-31 15:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x888b26…
10-31 15:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd257f4…
10-31 15:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x5bd083…
10-31 15:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb81e8d…
10-31 15:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe8a8c4…
10-31 14:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x0cfd7c…
10-31 14:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x300a1d…
10-31 14:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x7c4610…
10-31 14:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x003c06…
10-31 14:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa9915c…
10-31 13:49:48	Counter-Strike: naocopulas vs paiN - Map 1 Winner	naocopulas	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xfe0e52…
10-31 13:40:55	Counter-Strike: naocopulas vs paiN - Map 1 Winner	naocopulas	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x374ff0…
10-31 13:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc2b680…
10-31 13:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x9fb615…
10-31 13:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x62a7a7…
10-31 13:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5e9cc8…
10-31 13:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x45975d…
10-31 13:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf5fbd1…
10-31 13:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x20fc23…
10-31 12:04:25	Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State	Iowa State	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xde5334…
10-31 12:04:25	Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State	Iowa State	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x08b7ba…
10-31 12:03:57	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Flames	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0xd26b43…
10-31 12:03:57	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Flames	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x9fa001…
10-31 12:03:24	Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)	Flames	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x69536c…
10-31 12:03:24	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Flames	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x5ab02b…
10-31 11:54:10	Spread: Penguins (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf73975…
10-31 11:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x38946b…
10-31 11:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x0b5adb…
10-31 11:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x84dc8b…
10-31 11:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa0d313…
10-30 16:32:09	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	72	78¢	$56	0xde769f…
10-30 11:57:19	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xc8df8b…
10-30 11:09:03	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	72	8¢	$6	0x3cb02f…
10-30 03:32:04	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x814208…
10-29 14:45:59	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	135	19¢	$26	0xc94130…
10-29 14:27:52	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x56fbec…
10-29 14:00:44	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	643	38¢	$244	0x34c899…
10-29 12:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe85331…
10-29 12:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd22723…
10-29 12:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4fab55…
10-29 12:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2c3e7a…
10-29 12:17:11	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	72	79¢	$57	0xc1a42a…
10-29 10:29:41	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x33cc1c…
10-29 10:29:08	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	87	84¢	$73	0x245bd0…
10-29 10:20:47	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x59d366…
10-29 10:20:05	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	190	40¢	$76	0x3572c7…
10-29 02:31:23	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbc38e9…
10-29 00:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x724a98…
10-29 00:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xde5f97…
10-29 00:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd8c89a…
10-29 00:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb77886…
10-29 00:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2530c2…
10-29 00:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa6c7f1…
10-29 00:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x79a03a…
10-29 00:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x7498e5…
10-29 00:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3ae93e…
10-29 00:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xfb43af…
10-29 00:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd1598b…
10-28 23:03:25	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xf5d71a…
10-28 21:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd13a38…
10-28 21:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5fc56d…
10-28 21:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2c8e33…
10-28 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfa44f9…
10-28 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x97189b…
10-28 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8a3024…
10-28 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x733d38…
10-28 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5e75db…
10-28 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5a1815…
10-28 19:20:53	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xa0d2e0…
10-28 18:46:59	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0xb335a0…
10-28 17:18:41	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x40f723…
10-28 16:57:23	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x2897bd…
10-28 16:55:01	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x023fff…