Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

278

Trades

1,598

lifetime

Volume

$5.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$36

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-25

last 10-30 16:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

44% 46% -$179

Sports

30% 54% +$75

Crypto

26% 55% +$19

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 721 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+218	$5	6¢	$12	+$7	10-30 11:09
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	+140	$11	8¢	$12	+$1	10-28 16:57
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	+211	$5	5¢	$11	+$6	10-28 16:55
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+67	$0	2¢	$2	+$2	10-30 03:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	14	$600	843	843	+0	open	—	10-29 14:00
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	7	$329	244	244	+0	open	—	10-30 16:32
Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	50	$155	308	0	+308	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	+$38	10-27 08:09
Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine Paolini	37	$148	378	0	+378	Naomi Osaka	-$8	10-27 09:46
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$136	87	87	-0	open	—	10-29 10:29
Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	37	$130	288	0	+288	Dayana Yastremska	+$83	10-27 08:47
Warriors vs. Nuggets	43	$129	294	0	+294	Warriors	+$76	10-27 02:52
Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	38	$123	359	0	+359	Hubert Hurkacz	-$38	10-27 12:59
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	29	$99	253	0	+253	Grizzlies	-$24	10-27 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	54	$94	210	0	+210	Down	+$116	10-28 00:42
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	31	$91	249	0	+249	Alex de Minaur	-$53	10-26 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	41	$88	160	0	+160	Down	-$88	10-28 00:58
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley	13	$84	81	35	+46	Jacob Fearnley	-$3	10-25 14:17
Brest: Moez Echargui vs Francesco Maestrelli	25	$79	397	0	+397	Francesco Maestrelli	-$28	10-27 11:53
Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	17	$69	255	0	+255	Yulia Putintseva	-$4	10-27 05:49
Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Koki Matsuda	25	$68	199	0	+199	Terence Atmane	-$13	10-27 06:38
Hawks vs. Rockets	25	$66	150	0	+150	Rockets	-$23	10-27 02:15
Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	21	$64	134	0	+134	Tommy Paul	-$32	10-27 13:51
Pacers vs. Bucks	20	$62	120	0	+120	Bucks	-$21	10-27 02:05
Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume	21	$59	731	0	+731	Leylah Fernandez	-$24	10-27 07:34
Steelers vs. Saints	20	$59	179	0	+179	Steelers	+$3	10-25 16:18
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	10-30 11:57
Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	17	$54	98	0	+98	Claire Liu	+$22	10-27 10:02
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar	18	$52	199	0	+199	Rafael Jodar	-$37	10-27 14:06
Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson	17	$50	70	0	+70	Talia Gibson	+$6	10-26 05:02
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	7	$50	140	140	+0	open	—	10-29 14:45
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5	17	$48	100	0	+100	Over	+$34	10-27 13:54
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	11	$47	220	0	+220	Lilli Tagger	-$7	10-27 10:57
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5	16	$45	91	0	+91	Over	-$39	10-27 13:02
Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova	15	$44	53	0	+53	Han Shi	+$4	10-26 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:32:09	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	72	78¢	$56	0xde769f…
10-30 11:57:19	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xc8df8b…
10-30 11:09:03	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	72	8¢	$6	0x3cb02f…
10-30 03:32:04	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x814208…
10-29 14:45:59	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	135	19¢	$26	0xc94130…
10-29 14:27:52	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x56fbec…
10-29 14:00:44	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	643	38¢	$244	0x34c899…
10-29 12:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe85331…
10-29 12:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd22723…
10-29 12:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4fab55…
10-29 12:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2c3e7a…
10-29 12:17:11	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	72	79¢	$57	0xc1a42a…
10-29 10:29:41	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x33cc1c…
10-29 10:29:08	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	87	84¢	$73	0x245bd0…
10-29 10:20:47	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x59d366…
10-29 10:20:05	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	190	40¢	$76	0x3572c7…
10-29 02:31:23	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbc38e9…
10-29 00:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x724a98…
10-29 00:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xde5f97…
10-29 00:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd8c89a…
10-29 00:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb77886…
10-29 00:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2530c2…
10-29 00:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa6c7f1…
10-29 00:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x79a03a…
10-29 00:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x7498e5…
10-29 00:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3ae93e…
10-29 00:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xfb43af…
10-29 00:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd1598b…
10-28 23:03:25	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xf5d71a…
10-28 21:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd13a38…
10-28 21:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5fc56d…
10-28 21:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2c8e33…
10-28 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfa44f9…
10-28 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x97189b…
10-28 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8a3024…
10-28 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x733d38…
10-28 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5e75db…
10-28 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5a1815…
10-28 19:20:53	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xa0d2e0…
10-28 18:46:59	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0xb335a0…
10-28 17:18:41	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x40f723…
10-28 16:57:23	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x2897bd…
10-28 16:55:01	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x023fff…
10-28 16:54:50	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x1c159a…
10-28 16:45:07	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xce73d7…
10-28 16:13:31	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x99afc8…
10-28 16:09:04	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xaa40ad…
10-28 15:56:32	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xe2916b…
10-28 15:47:53	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe9eff2…
10-28 15:31:40	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	47	73¢	$34	0x9dbdeb…
10-28 15:17:59	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x911cef…
10-28 15:10:26	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5da069…
10-28 15:06:34	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xcebbe2…
10-28 15:05:43	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x0d2431…
10-28 14:53:07	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x01b4d3…
10-28 13:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x9996bb…
10-28 13:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x3d09a7…
10-28 11:29:19	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xb00d8c…
10-28 11:24:07	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x185e7f…
10-28 11:19:35	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x2853de…
10-28 11:07:38	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	279	36¢	$100	0x53bb2a…
10-28 11:06:59	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xed2a1b…
10-28 11:06:35	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x1177c1…
10-28 11:05:14	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x319035…
10-28 11:04:14	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	74	34¢	$26	0x781cb6…
10-28 11:00:46	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x8fdfe1…
10-28 10:59:55	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x436839…
10-28 07:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xdb02ff…
10-28 07:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x456655…
10-28 07:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x13d4d9…
10-28 07:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x828a48…
10-28 07:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x4fd762…
10-28 07:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x53c44b…
10-28 00:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xd96e26…
10-28 00:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x2a5658…
10-28 00:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x878456…
10-28 00:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x7a6356…
10-28 00:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x71dde0…
10-28 00:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa22c60…
10-28 00:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x83847d…
10-28 00:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xf088cc…
10-28 00:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xa8f8d6…
10-28 00:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6853e7…
10-28 00:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x256f11…
10-28 00:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x039cb3…
10-28 00:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf306f7…
10-28 00:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7fe793…
10-28 00:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xec486b…
10-28 00:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8034a5…
10-28 00:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x67b333…
10-28 00:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x349b2d…
10-28 00:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa20f27…
10-28 00:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3896a1…
10-28 00:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xba668c…
10-28 00:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x83a160…
10-28 00:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x838b2f…
10-28 00:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x42795b…
10-28 00:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3ea16d…
10-28 00:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x2de04f…
10-28 00:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x87c797…