Realized P&L
-$374
Unrealized P&L
+$101
Hit rate
33.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
4,686
lifetime
Volume
$104.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$3.46K
22 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-29 22:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
70% 40% $-354
Other
28% 0% $-19
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -996 $-968 100¢ $-995 $-27 06-24 20:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +532 $355 76¢ $402 +$47 06-14 17:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -452 $-377 86¢ $-391 $-13 06-01 04:05
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -373 $-367 100¢ $-372 $-6 06-13 17:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +823 $351 36¢ $292 $-59 06-28 21:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +209 $175 100¢ $208 +$34 06-22 15:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +200 $120 100¢ $199 +$79 05-31 19:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -180 $-137 100¢ $-180 $-43 06-19 17:11
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +155 $77 60¢ $92 +$15 06-29 02:29
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -99 $-81 82¢ $-82 $-1 06-23 13:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +375 $38 18¢ $66 +$28 06-25 13:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +106 $55 57¢ $61 +$6 06-17 07:02
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -45 $-46 100¢ $-44 +$2 06-18 14:18
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +33 $30 100¢ $33 +$2 06-05 19:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -20 $-97 72¢ $-14 +$82 06-24 00:54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +57 $11 24¢ $13 +$3 06-25 00:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -13 $-13 100¢ $-13 $-0 06-15 13:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -2 $-1 64¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 13:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -10 $6 12¢ $-1 $-7 06-19 13:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -366 $26 $-1 $-27 06-18 20:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +39 $14 $0 $-14 06-16 13:19
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? Yes -21 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-26 05:40