Realized P&L
-$374
Unrealized P&L
-$314
Hit rate
33.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
5,092
lifetime
Volume
$110.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$1.36K
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 07-20 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
69% 40% $-354
Other
29% 0% $-19
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +532 $355 83¢ $441 +$87 07-20 14:40
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -445 $-359 84¢ $-372 $-12 07-05 20:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -222 $-185 72¢ $-161 +$24 07-14 19:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +230 $123 68¢ $155 +$33 07-03 18:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +106 $55 64¢ $68 +$13 06-17 07:02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +109 $54 52¢ $57 +$2 07-20 17:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +100 $59 55¢ $54 $-4 07-07 01:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,587 $550 $23 $-527 07-11 14:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -20 $-97 82¢ $-16 +$80 06-24 00:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -33 $3 12¢ $-4 $-8 07-14 10:49
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 $-0 07-11 06:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -2 $-1 99¢ $-2 $-1 06-01 13:11