Realized P&L
-$374
Unrealized P&L
-$274
Hit rate
33.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
4,277
lifetime
Volume
$92.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$2.11K
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-10 00:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
71% 40% $-354
Other
28% 0% $-19
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +492 $458 94¢ $460 +$3 06-08 22:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -452 $-377 82¢ $-373 +$5 06-01 04:05
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -265 $-252 94¢ $-251 +$1 06-10 00:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +812 $294 26¢ $207 $-87 06-09 19:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +200 $120 90¢ $180 +$60 05-31 19:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +704 $264 18¢ $123 $-141 06-09 16:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -186 $-54 64¢ $-120 $-66 05-31 18:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +381 $110 32¢ $120 +$10 06-08 01:43
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -81 $-39 100¢ $-81 $-42 06-07 19:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -208 $-81 32¢ $-67 +$14 06-09 22:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +33 $30 96¢ $31 +$1 06-05 19:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -30 $-27 86¢ $-26 +$1 06-09 13:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -32 $-18 51¢ $-17 +$2 06-09 15:04
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -44 $-17 34¢ $-15 +$2 06-01 17:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +600 $36 $15 $-21 05-29 02:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +69 $13 18¢ $13 $-0 06-01 14:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +97 $24 10¢ $9 $-14 06-01 14:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -2 $-1 68¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 13:11