Strange-Undertaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

5,892

lifetime

Volume

$19.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 05-16 18:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

51% 29% $-8

Politics

39% 56% $-10

Tech

6% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% 33% $-2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	165	$500	391	379	+13	open	—	03-08 20:14
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	84	$410	212	212	+0	open	—	03-10 13:02
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	80	$400	205	205	+0	open	—	03-14 15:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	71	$348	191	191	+0	open	—	03-10 13:02
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	97	$316	246	239	+7	open	—	02-24 03:02
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	54	$270	135	135	+0	open	—	03-10 13:01
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	53	$255	135	135	+0	open	—	03-08 19:29
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	54	$214	160	160	+0	open	—	04-17 16:41
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	42	$205	105	105	+0	open	—	03-10 13:01
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	56	$198	153	158	-5	open	—	03-14 15:53
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	39	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	03-10 13:02
will nicolai hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	38	$189	95	95	+0	open	—	03-08 19:41
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	76	$186	173	166	+7	open	—	03-09 09:41
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	41	$185	105	99	+6	open	—	03-08 19:02
will mrbeast hit 500 million subscribers by march 31 553 452 464 445 672 654 894 237 216	36	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	03-10 13:02
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	40	$172	95	95	+0	open	—	03-14 17:07
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	40	$170	97	96	+1	open	—	03-09 09:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	43	$170	135	135	+0	open	—	04-24 23:27
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	32	$169	85	85	+0	open	—	03-12 06:38
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	34	$165	85	85	+0	open	—	03-09 09:41
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	36	$151	89	89	+0	open	—	03-08 20:23
will patrick cantlay win the 2026 masters tournament	29	$148	75	75	+0	open	—	03-08 19:46
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	30	$147	75	75	+0	open	—	03-11 19:26
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	30	$141	75	75	+0	open	—	03-10 12:17
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	28	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	03-07 16:09
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	32	$138	106	92	+13	open	—	02-23 21:00
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	40	$133	104	104	+0	open	—	03-09 13:32
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	27	$132	70	70	+0	open	—	03-08 19:24
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	28	$128	136	141	-5	open	—	02-22 07:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	28	$128	70	70	+0	open	—	03-10 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 18:33:38	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xfd2f09…
05-16 18:32:16	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xed86ba…
05-16 18:21:35	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x40f356…
05-16 18:03:50	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x008041…
05-16 17:45:53	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xbc05c3…
05-16 16:37:05	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xba9583…
05-16 16:32:44	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xfab9c6…
05-16 15:29:57	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x387284…
05-16 15:21:26	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x6222bd…
05-16 15:03:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x86f940…
05-16 12:12:38	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xaa504e…
05-16 12:11:26	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd09be5…
05-16 12:08:52	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x9468d4…
05-16 12:01:14	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa1b6ca…
05-16 11:59:41	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xac3e18…
05-16 11:43:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x1caee1…
05-16 11:39:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc0026c…
05-16 11:11:12	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x5dc929…
05-16 11:05:35	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x0e92b4…
05-16 10:51:28	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb9b83c…
05-16 10:41:50	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xad2bc4…
05-16 10:33:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0x878e8a…
05-16 10:30:10	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xea59b7…
05-16 10:21:55	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x2aa8e2…
05-16 10:14:22	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xfaee5e…
05-16 10:07:41	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf961f7…
05-16 09:33:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe6c3b0…
05-16 09:33:00	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2ac036…
05-08 18:14:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbdd380…
05-08 18:01:57	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0fbbb3…
05-08 18:01:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7a3f96…
05-08 17:36:52	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x27fce8…
05-08 10:22:05	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xaadcb0…
05-07 22:22:03	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x643c29…
05-07 21:52:27	Will MrBeast hit 494 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7d3f63…
05-07 20:01:21	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x7bd833…
05-07 11:07:50	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7ee2a3…
05-07 10:44:09	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc1a9e4…
05-07 01:33:18	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x315c91…
05-06 23:38:25	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x3b4c30…
05-06 16:55:22	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9de328…
05-06 16:52:18	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xa23df5…
05-06 13:36:32	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x82c4ce…
05-06 12:50:58	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x166708…
05-06 11:38:24	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc91abc…
05-06 10:55:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xeac918…
05-06 10:55:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x51345d…
05-06 08:52:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xda8cf6…
05-06 08:52:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x464dc6…
05-06 03:16:12	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xcef051…
05-06 03:10:26	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6bb428…
05-06 02:19:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x09fb3a…
05-06 02:18:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x233b8b…
05-06 00:50:26	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2687ac…
05-06 00:47:52	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xb5f2a8…
05-05 22:57:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xdc34e8…
05-05 22:57:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9f41dc…
05-05 22:55:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x92c372…
05-05 21:21:32	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xedf3b9…
05-05 20:11:30	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xdff647…
05-05 18:03:12	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9069ab…
05-05 16:51:46	Will MrBeast hit 494 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x58d122…
05-05 15:59:04	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x3ce03d…
05-05 15:30:22	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5a1daa…
05-05 15:16:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x19ca13…
05-05 14:28:12	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb08779…
05-05 14:18:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x95af9a…
05-05 14:18:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2b4fcd…
05-05 14:16:06	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xff8a4c…
05-05 14:15:58	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x70d5e5…
05-05 14:09:48	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9f42e5…
05-05 14:09:28	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6622b3…
05-05 12:47:48	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xca1957…
05-05 12:22:52	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9b647f…
05-05 12:04:08	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdc0ebe…
05-05 11:50:46	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5816f4…
05-05 08:58:06	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x84ad1f…
05-05 07:40:00	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe57734…
05-05 03:43:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x0ffce2…
05-05 01:22:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xaacbfa…
05-05 00:59:50	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x551817…
05-04 23:10:12	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x45ec4e…
05-04 23:04:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xf17519…
05-04 18:42:22	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x54c68d…
05-04 15:43:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa347f2…
05-04 14:40:10	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x3f85be…
05-04 14:13:22	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x9ef089…
05-04 13:22:48	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x58f92b…
05-04 13:22:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x658d42…
05-04 13:22:36	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x290ed1…
05-04 12:31:04	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xaaa26c…
05-04 11:56:02	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xcba3a3…
05-04 11:55:42	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x9be246…
05-04 11:04:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf06fba…
05-04 10:03:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x75fc84…
05-04 09:15:48	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x99a41a…
05-04 08:52:10	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xdf658f…
05-04 08:38:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xc01411…
05-04 08:37:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x3410f6…
05-04 07:08:52	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xbc4757…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	597	$261.0K	54,592	05-08 12:28
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	578	$1.38M	112,667	06-01 03:47
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	548	$3.26M	69,411	06-01 00:34
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	517	$73.4K	18,362	05-31 15:41
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	497	$611.9K	63,311	04-09 12:16
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	495	$1.23M	93,834	06-01 13:24
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	459	$330.9K	33,285	06-02 12:37
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	439	$220.1K	4,550	06-02 00:10