(anonymous) 0x14a90a…2e879b Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$363
Unrealized P&L
-$191
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved
18
Trades
148
lifetime
Volume
$3.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$751
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-07
last 11-13 18:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
80% 17% +$443
Tech
9% 0% -$1
Politics
7% 50% +$26
Crypto
2% 0% -$75
Sports
1% 0% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +4,342 $120 2¢ $93 -$27 11-09 05:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +4,796 $81 1¢ $70 -$11 11-13 13:05
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +1,322 $79 5¢ $68 -$11 11-12 19:37
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +295 $50 18¢ $53 +$3 11-12 14:54
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,423 $50 4¢ $50 $0 11-13 13:08
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? Yes +6,085 $140 1¢ $49 -$91 11-13 01:01
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +427 $50 11¢ $46 -$4 11-08 02:32
Will Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Yes +1,000 $50 4¢ $45 -$5 11-12 17:38
Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $30 8¢ $24 -$6 11-12 01:57
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +1,388 $50 2¢ $22 -$28 11-08 02:34
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30? Yes +923 $17 2¢ $21 +$4 11-13 02:09
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? Yes +222 $20 9¢ $20 +$0 11-11 03:44
Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the summit? Yes +105 $20 18¢ $19 -$1 11-13 19:16
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026? Yes +222 $17 7¢ $16 -$1 11-12 02:58
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes +217 $5 7¢ $16 +$11 11-10 16:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +167 $15 8¢ $14 -$1 11-10 03:27
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes +1,172 $20 1¢ $13 -$7 11-08 02:21
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +101 $10 12¢ $12 +$2 11-13 01:04
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T? Yes +382 $20 3¢ $12 -$8 11-12 14:16
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? Yes +91 $10 11¢ $10 +$0 11-13 03:34
Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO? Yes +40 $10 24¢ $10 $0 11-12 03:32
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? Yes +83 $10 11¢ $9 -$1 11-13 02:41
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +125 $3 7¢ $8 +$5 11-13 03:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +83 $10 10¢ $8 -$1 11-11 15:04
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +377 $10 2¢ $8 -$2 11-12 16:20
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +526 $10 2¢ $8 -$2 11-13 03:42
Will Jensen Huang join Anthropic or OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Yes +226 $10 3¢ $8 -$2 11-12 02:00
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m? Yes +190 $15 4¢ $7 -$8 11-10 09:57
Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the summit? Yes +115 $5 5¢ $6 +$1 11-13 02:47
Will Dune: Messiah have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +267 $5 2¢ $6 +$1 11-09 17:54