Unripe-Exhaustion 0x154e1f…c2911f Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$784
Unrealized P&L
+$229
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved (30d)
132
Trades (30d)
346
2,088 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$8.21K
$46.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$2.95K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-02 15:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
41% 57% -$267
Politics
22% 61% +$118
Sports
22% 57% +$1,060
Tech
15% 62% +$1,741
Crypto
0% 33% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +300 $236 82¢ $248 +$12 08-03 19:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +225 $167 88¢ $197 +$30 10-15 03:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $154 88¢ $175 +$20 10-02 04:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -151 -$140 98¢ $-148 -$9 07-03 13:18
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $127 74¢ $147 +$20 10-13 23:20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +200 $124 72¢ $145 +$21 10-09 21:55
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +140 $110 89¢ $125 +$15 10-07 07:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +100 $81 100¢ $100 +$19 09-12 00:52
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +114 $100 86¢ $97 -$3 10-25 04:13
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +98 $73 97¢ $95 +$22 10-26 19:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +100 $93 94¢ $94 +$2 10-20 05:57
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +100 $74 93¢ $93 +$19 08-28 09:18
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$4 07-19 09:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +100 $87 90¢ $90 +$4 10-28 01:00
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +140 $64 62¢ $88 +$24 11-01 12:16
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +169 $72 50¢ $84 +$12 10-25 04:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +95 $82 88¢ $83 +$1 09-12 11:27
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $72 80¢ $80 +$7 10-07 15:10
Bears vs. Seahawks Seahawks +124 $77 62¢ $78 +$1 11-01 12:33
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +103 $60 74¢ $76 +$16 10-17 03:27
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +115 $70 64¢ $73 +$3 10-31 08:00
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +252 $66 29¢ $72 +$6 10-25 04:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -68 -$68 96¢ $-65 +$2 10-25 04:32
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +94 $56 68¢ $64 +$8 10-21 00:23
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? No +120 $84 53¢ $64 -$21 08-06 14:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +60 $55 100¢ $60 +$5 09-23 06:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -60 -$54 96¢ $-57 -$3 06-17 16:39
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes +100 $56 56¢ $56 +$1 11-01 14:59
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? No +56 $51 97¢ $54 +$3 07-22 04:05
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +221 $63 24¢ $52 -$11 11-01 12:29