Unripe-Exhaustion 0x154e1f…c2911f Create alert
hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.89K
Unrealized P&L
+$161
Hit rate
74.6%
Resolved
627
Trades
2,103
lifetime
Volume
$47.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$2.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-05 11:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
41% 56% -$302
Politics
22% 62% +$535
Sports
21% 56% +$945
Tech
15% 62% +$1,741
Crypto
0% 33% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +300 $236 88¢ $262 +$26 08-03 19:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +200 $189 97¢ $193 +$4 11-05 01:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +225 $167 86¢ $192 +$25 10-15 03:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $154 90¢ $181 +$26 10-02 04:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -151 -$140 98¢ $-148 -$9 07-03 13:18
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +140 $110 88¢ $124 +$14 10-07 07:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +100 $81 100¢ $100 +$19 09-12 00:52
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +98 $73 97¢ $95 +$22 10-26 19:48
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +100 $74 92¢ $92 +$18 08-28 09:18
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +100 $86 92¢ $92 +$6 07-19 09:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +100 $87 88¢ $88 +$2 10-28 01:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +95 $82 92¢ $88 +$6 09-12 11:27
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +103 $60 72¢ $75 +$15 10-17 03:27
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026? No +110 $64 60¢ $67 +$3 11-04 01:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -68 -$68 97¢ $-65 +$2 10-25 04:32
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +94 $56 66¢ $63 +$7 10-21 00:23
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? No +120 $84 52¢ $62 -$23 08-06 14:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +60 $55 100¢ $60 +$5 09-23 06:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -60 -$54 97¢ $-58 -$4 06-17 16:39
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? No +56 $51 96¢ $54 +$3 07-22 04:05
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -50 -$46 98¢ $-49 -$4 06-23 23:31
Trump out as President before 2027? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 $0 07-19 13:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$2 10-20 01:13
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026? No +60 $45 79¢ $47 +$2 11-03 12:08
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026? No +60 $30 76¢ $46 +$16 11-03 00:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +50 $38 78¢ $39 +$1 10-21 11:47
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South? Yes +157 $50 23¢ $36 -$14 10-17 03:28
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +40 $29 86¢ $35 +$6 10-08 03:38
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +80 $36 29¢ $23 -$13 10-07 16:12
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? No +50 $22 40¢ $20 -$2 11-04 14:04