Unripe-Exhaustion 0x154e1f…c2911f
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$12
Unrealized P&L
+$230
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved (7d)
17
Trades (7d)
65
2,060 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.86K
$45.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$2.90K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-30 04:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
41% 57% -$315
Sports
22% 57% +$1,114
Politics
21% 60% +$47
Tech
15% 60% +$1,594
Crypto
0% 33% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +300 $236 82¢ $248 +$12 08-03 19:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +225 $167 86¢ $195 +$28 10-15 03:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $154 90¢ $179 +$24 10-02 04:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -151 -$140 98¢ $-148 -$9 07-03 13:18
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $127 72¢ $143 +$16 10-13 23:20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +200 $124 72¢ $143 +$19 10-09 21:55
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +140 $110 84¢ $118 +$9 10-07 07:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +100 $81 100¢ $100 +$19 09-12 00:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +100 $92 99¢ $99 +$7 09-03 19:42
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +100 $92 99¢ $99 +$7 10-07 04:46
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +114 $100 87¢ $99 -$1 10-25 04:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +100 $93 94¢ $94 +$0 10-20 05:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +98 $73 96¢ $93 +$20 10-26 19:48
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$4 07-19 09:53
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +100 $74 90¢ $90 +$16 08-28 09:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +100 $87 88¢ $88 +$2 10-28 01:00
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +95 $82 86¢ $82 $0 09-12 11:27
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $72 78¢ $78 +$5 10-07 15:10
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +169 $72 44¢ $75 +$3 10-25 04:10
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +252 $66 30¢ $74 +$8 10-25 04:12
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? No +120 $84 54¢ $64 -$20 08-06 14:40
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -68 -$68 94¢ $-64 +$4 10-25 04:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +60 $55 100¢ $60 +$5 09-23 06:10
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +94 $56 62¢ $59 +$3 10-21 00:23
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +103 $60 56¢ $58 -$2 10-17 03:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -60 -$54 94¢ $-56 -$3 06-17 16:39
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? No +56 $51 96¢ $54 +$3 07-22 04:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +50 $32 100¢ $50 +$17 05-17 16:59
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -50 -$46 97¢ $-49 -$3 06-23 23:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +50 $12 97¢ $48 +$36 08-01 22:07