Realized P&L
-$5.70K
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
60.9%
Resolved
986
Trades
2,740
lifetime
Volume
$248.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$61
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 10-29 13:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Other
55% 61% -$758
Sports
44% 52% -$4,873
Politics
1% 67% -$28
Crypto
0% 51% -$39
Tech
0% 67% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -9 -$8 97¢ $-8 $0 06-24 12:47
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -8 -$7 98¢ $-8 $0 06-06 08:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $8 70¢ $7 -$1 10-29 13:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11 $7 66¢ $7 $0 06-01 19:36
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +22 $8 30¢ $6 -$2 10-29 13:24
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -6 -$6 96¢ $-6 $0 06-24 12:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $6 30¢ $6 $0 10-29 13:14
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 $0 06-24 08:14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$0 06-08 21:48
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +8 $5 18¢ $1 -$4 05-26 17:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $0 97¢ $1 +$0 06-06 10:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 05-23 14:18
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -35 -$6 1¢ $-0 +$6 07-22 22:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 05-30 15:47
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +7 $5 3¢ $0 -$5 05-16 05:56
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-07 01:13
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 06-14 01:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 07-12 14:04